Cloud Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 37F with 26F DP at SEA. This won’t start off as snow, hopefully later on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Terreboner said: You guys in Western Washington kind of look like you are getting an indirect hit from a hurricane and are just getting the outer bands. Until it wobbles and moves away, perhaps to make your acquaintance again in 36 hours. Good point... the Sunday event is actually the same system. 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 17 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I think you would have to be close to the gorge to have much of a shot. Ridgefield is definitely close enough to the gorge to benefit from it. It will likely come down more to timing and precip rates on Sunday than gorge outflow exposure, anyways. It will be tough to get enough to wet bulb down to 32 during the daytime with the airmass we'll have ,but anyone north of about Woodburn appears to have a shot if something steadier does develop earlier in the day or again perhaps later in the evening. 18z NAM and Euro were definitely both a step back, though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Moderate snow and back down to 32. No rain mixed at all now. Showtime! 10 2 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Ridgefield is definitely close enough to the gorge to benefit from it. It will likely come down more to timing and precip rates on Sunday than gorge outflow exposure, anyways. It will be tough to get enough to wet bulb down to 32 during the daytime with the airmass we'll have ,but anyone north of about Woodburn appears to have a shot if something steadier does develop earlier in the day or again perhaps later in the evening. 18z NAM and Euro were definitely both a step back, though. How does upper elevations (400-600feet) of Camas/Washougel do in winter for snow? Briefly looked their for a home and had thoughts about it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Everleigh Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Temp 35.4* DP 32.7* No precipitation of any kind is currently falling, despite what the radar shows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtep Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Would anyone care to explain the mechanics behind Bellingham getting skunked snow-wise on tuesday night? I've been thinking about it all week but don't really have the knowledge or resources to figure out why it went down that way lol. Was it a matter of the warm moist air scouring out cold fraser outflow too quickly? Low placement? Were both involved? There was plenty of moisture that night but the temp just kept rising as the day went on. Just want to get an idea of what to look out for in the future. Thank you, -a fellow weenie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 And the moisture is gone..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: And the moisture is gone..... Huh? Radar looks good. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: And the moisture is gone..... What’s it been doing there? All rain so far? Looks like just a lull out there between pulses. Overall the radar looks juicy. 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive1010 Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 is it actually possible we could get 2 inches on sunday morning 2 1 Weather! Atmospheric conditions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Just now, Olive1010 said: is it actually possible we could get 2 inches on sunday morning Well the model shows it as a solution so yeah it's *theoretically* possible 1 1 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Anybody have a quick link to the Hurricane Ridge webcam? I bet it is hopping up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christensen87 Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 12 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: And the moisture is gone..... Not for long lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bishbish777 Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 00Z 3KM NAM is juiciest yet with QPF in Puget Sound with 0.5" QPF. However, it takes a few hours before the switchover from rain to snow so a lot of this does not fall as snow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingstonWX Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Terreboner said: Anybody have a quick link to the Hurricane Ridge webcam? I bet it is hopping up there. https://www.nps.gov/olym/learn/photosmultimedia/hurricane-ridge-webcam.htm Nothing to see though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, KingstonWX said: https://www.nps.gov/olym/learn/photosmultimedia/hurricane-ridge-webcam.htm Nothing to see though. Too bad they don't set it/them up in a good spot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, bishbish777 said: 00Z 3KM NAM is juiciest yet with QPF in Puget Sound with 0.5" QPF. However, it takes a few hours before the switchover from rain to snow so a lot of this does not fall as snow. That models has flip flopped back and forth between wet and dry East of Puget Sound but you’re definitely right. 00z is very moist. 6 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bishbish777 Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 HV3 GFS also significantly more QPF than it's 12Z run. Looks like temps might be the deciding factor for accumulating snow rather than precip. It's 39 here in Wallingford. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Ended up with 36/25 here today with 0.2" of snow with those flurries this morning. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 40 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: I’ll be out of the country December 27- January 7 so expecting a repeat. Oh boy. That's exactly what happened to Brennan in December 1996. He is still having nightmares about that one. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 27 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said: How does upper elevations (400-600feet) of Camas/Washougel do in winter for snow? Briefly looked their for a home and had thoughts about it. Pretty good, generally do better than most of the area in onshore flow of course and also in shallower outflow events. Can also see a lot more freezing rain if you're within 2-3 miles of the river. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Ended up with 36/25 here today with 0.2" of snow with those flurries this morning. I was 24 lastnight, your almost always colder with lows. Only 33 today. D**n impressive. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Really starting to come down hard now. About 1/2 new already 4 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive1010 Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: That models has flip flopped back and forth between wet and dry East of Puget Sound but you’re definitely right. 00z is very moist. how do you have the cities? Weather! Atmospheric conditions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Shelton reporting rain and 34. Not a great sign, typically, but then Tacoma/Seattle are closer to the cold air source with colder DPs going in...gonna be a close call. 2 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 34 in Shelton and 33 in Bremerton but both still reporting rain. Not the greatest sign but could change with heavier precip. Temps will be close tonight. 1 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Think they'll all converge over my house? 3 1 1 1 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 23 minutes ago, mtep said: Would anyone care to explain the mechanics behind Bellingham getting skunked snow-wise on tuesday night? I've been thinking about it all week but don't really have the knowledge or resources to figure out why it went down that way lol. Was it a matter of the warm moist air scouring out cold fraser outflow too quickly? Low placement? Were both involved? There was plenty of moisture that night but the temp just kept rising as the day went on. Just want to get an idea of what to look out for in the future. Thank you, -a fellow weenie It was probably the surface pressure gradient having too much of a southerly component to it. Once the Fraser outflow gets cut off Bellingham skyrockets easily. Then of course the next day the moisture was too far south. 3 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Front Ranger said: Shelton reporting rain and 34. Not a great sign, typically, but then Tacoma/Seattle are closer to the cold air source with colder DPs going in...gonna be a close call. I’m hoping that east king county has better luck. DPs in the 20s here. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Just now, Front Ranger said: Shelton reporting rain and 34. Not a great sign, typically, but then Tacoma/Seattle are closer to the cold air source with colder DPs going in...gonna be a close call. Not true. Cold air damming should be helping Shelton a whole lot more. Probably just need the entire column to cool still. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Front Ranger said: Shelton reporting rain and 34. Not a great sign, typically, but then Tacoma/Seattle are closer to the cold air source with colder DPs going in...gonna be a close call. Yeah it's strange but the snow line is very close to Shelton. I'd expect them to switch over soon. 1 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said: 34 in Shelton and 33 in Bremerton but both still reporting rain. Not the greatest sign but could change with heavier precip. Temps will be close tonight. It's snow at bremerton Airport. Girlfriend just drove by there. That's where the bremerton station is. 3 1 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gummy Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Weiner Warrior said: Think they'll all converge over my house? It is possible, but be prepared for some potential flooding, that is a lot of rain to deal with! 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said: 34 in Shelton and 33 in Bremerton but both still reporting rain. Not the greatest sign but could change with heavier precip. Temps will be close tonight. It is very cold in the Kittitas Valley which bodes well for the east winds to get quite cold later. Evaporative cooling could get me into freezing rain territory if it doesn't snow. Places NW of here and the Kitsap Pen should get snow. 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 23 minutes ago, mtep said: Would anyone care to explain the mechanics behind Bellingham getting skunked snow-wise on tuesday night? I've been thinking about it all week but don't really have the knowledge or resources to figure out why it went down that way lol. Was it a matter of the warm moist air scouring out cold fraser outflow too quickly? Low placement? Were both involved? There was plenty of moisture that night but the temp just kept rising as the day went on. Just want to get an idea of what to look out for in the future. Thank you, -a fellow weenie Low placement was a big factor. With the low centered rather closely to your NW over northern Vancouver Island upon its approach, you were at an unfortunate trajectory to really maximize the downsloping southeasterlies off of the Chuckanuts that Bellingham proper is extremely prone to. It was a relatively shallow wind field though, so Lynden and places north of Pole Road never scoured out until the low had passed. I think the same localized downslope warming occurred in some other parts of NW WA near the Cascades, including Winterdog's area, while other places a little further west benefitted from the ESE flow. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Even though snow started as a mix the snow now is MUCH dryer than the snow Tuesday night. That was really wet and heavy. 7 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: It is very cold in the Kittitas Valley which bodes well for the east winds to get quite cold later. Evaporative cooling could get me into freezing rain territory if it doesn't snow. Places NW of here and the Kitsap Pen should get snow. Absolutely dumping here now. Temp down to 31.8. 9 2 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 38 with rain here. On to the next. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said: I’m hoping that east king county has better luck. DPs in the 20s here. There will probably be a swath of the area that has just enough access to cold offshore flow and heavy enough precip to score a few inches. Wouldn't be surprised if Jim is in that area tonight, perhaps even SEA. Everywhere else will probably mainly see mixed precip and little accumulation. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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