Cloud Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Just now, TT-SEA said: By Christmas Day... And almost 2ft snow depth! What a shellacking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 12 minutes ago, Cloud said: it in! Will trend north. 1 2 3 2 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: 10 feet? Highest for Seattle ever! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: By Christmas Day... Hey @SouthHillFrostyno snow hole here! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 no way that could go wrong for us being at the very southern edge of borderline temps on the GFS at that range. Alas as Tim would point out the EPS is LOCKED IN and must REMAIN LOCKED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: By Christmas Day... LMAO, WTF? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: By Christmas Day... I feel like what they meant by “upgrading” the GFS is that they upgraded the amount of GooFuS in it. 5 2 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I can tell the GEM must be very snowy also just from the 500mb and 850s. I guess its snowy. But not 3 to 4 feet in Seattle snowy. 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Just now, Kolk1604 said: Hey @SouthHillFrostyno snow hole here! There can’t be with that map 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Does anyone have sleet/ice maps for this run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I'm betting on a GFS / ECMWF compromise from here. That would be a winner for many of us. Maybe after Wednesday or so. But EC/EPS has a decent probability track record for the Sat/Sun event timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: I mean... its snowy. But not 3 to 4 feet in Seattle snowy. But there's a 19.9 over Vancouver! It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, Dave said: I found a neighborhood above Oakridge of about 20-25 homes. 2400ft. Might be worth checking out. Gonna need to be higher than that for this. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Doinko said: Does anyone have sleet/ice maps for this run? Updated GFS snow map through Christmas night as Seattle approaches 40 inches... and sleet/ice through same time. 2 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Sorry Oregon, just had to zoom in to get a better idea of the totals. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 I need a drink after looking at this run because I want to be as drunk as it. 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Just now, 12345WeatherNerd said: Sorry Oregon, just had to zoom in to get a better idea of the totals. No worries, there isn’t anything down here to look at. 2 1 1 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, Doinko said: Does anyone have sleet/ice maps for this run? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1996 redux for Seattle but more snow. Roof collapses for sure in this scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 I’m actually more worried for folks in the PS than anything else. Could be a dangerous situation up there and they’ll need our thoughts, prayers and financial contributions. 4 2 3 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Come'on Euro. Show us the light. Warshington cannot have every last snowflake. This is the time of the year where the N/S gradient chills a bit. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 41 minutes ago, Dave said: I've been fixin to make some poutine. Look forward to the marginal eats. This is how I make poutine..... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Updated GFS snow map through Christmas night... and sleet/ice through same time. more snow in Victoria and Seattle than Whistler. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Remember the 12Z ECMWF was crazy snowy through day 10 as well. 00Z run will be interesting. 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 38 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said: Unfortunately, terrible from Portland south but not bad for WA I'll believe it when I see it for my location. Except for the day after Halloween, which was a surprise - my location this year is where snow holes form and warm noses thrive. Already losing out on snow chances on Sunday but I've tried not getting too bummed. 1 Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: 1996 redux for Seattle but more snow. Roof collapses for sure in this scenario. Remember last week when the GFS had us wondering if the NFL should come up with a contingency plan for the Seahawks game yesterday. 2 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: I’m actually more worried for folks in the PS than anything else. Could be a dangerous situation up there and they’ll need our thoughts, prayers and financial contributions. Sure have to hope the GFS's impressive string of nailing surface details from afar finally runs out with this. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 39 minutes ago, Timmy said: There's my warm nose on the Palouse. 1 Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Gfs ensembles still not really on board at all. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: more snow in Victoria and Seattle than Whistler. Mt Washington looks like a winner though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Updated GFS snow map through Christmas night as Seattle approaches 40 inches... and sleet/ice through same time. Ya, but snow depth in that run peaks at only 24.7" for Seattle. Lame.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Gfs ensembles still not really on board at all. What I find even more confusing is that the EPS and GEFS have been showing the troughing being shoved east early next week while the operational runs have it continually reforming to the north and west. Literally no idea what is going happen. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 12 minutes ago, Cloud said: And almost 2ft snow depth! What a shellacking! Good thing I serviced my generator last weekend… Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Just now, TT-SEA said: What I find even more confusing is that the EPS and GEFS have been showing the troughing being shoved east early next week while the operational runs have it continually reforming to the north and west. Literally no idea what is going happen. That looks chilly at the surface which would be nice 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, Deweydog said: I’m actually more worried for folks in the PS than anything else. Could be a dangerous situation up there and they’ll need our thoughts, prayers and financial contributions. We cant even handle 3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 JMA is kool 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Updated GFS snow map through Christmas night as Seattle approaches 40 inches... and sleet/ice through same time. RMAOFL. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Are there more model runs to analyze tomorrow or is it a day off? What a week this going to be! 3 6 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Final totals 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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