PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale

[Cloud]

Some heavier stuff heading towards me or maybe just a wee bit to the north. Hopefully it does hit. 

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Given that northward extent of precip is a known modeling issue in this type of situation and the ECMWF is showing plenty of snow for Tacoma... I am guessing you will do better than you are saying. 

Is the 6z euro showing snow? I only saw last nights run and it looked close but not far enough to get into pierce county. 

[Sandy rocks]

So the forecasts are showing sunny conditions for Thursday.  They think the snow is farther south. The models don't seem to show that. It's very confusing. We have about 1.5 inches and snowing here now. It's 33 out.

[Doinko]

ICON also looks good

[Slushy Inch]

Got lucky!

[TacomaWx]

3 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Some heavier stuff heading towards me or maybe just a wee bit to the north. Hopefully it does hit. 

Radar might be under doing this a bit. I’m at about 300’ just west of Redmond and it’s snowing hard sticking on the roads. 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Is the 6z euro showing snow? I only saw last nights run and it looked close but not far enough to get into pierce county. 

Definitely showing snow.   2+ inches in Tacoma. 

[Slushy Inch]

Weird the UW GFS actually won one.

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Definitely showing snow.   2+ inches in Tacoma. 

Even 6z underplays the band over the central sound right now.

[TacomaWx]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Definitely showing snow.   2+ inches in Tacoma. 

Woah, I hadn’t seen that. No wonder the hi-res models seem to be on board for tonight. Good timing too as it’ll be cold tomorrow and should stick around. 

[BurienSnowGlobe]

 

This is right outside of International District in Seattle. Basically at I90

[Cloud]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Definitely showing snow.   2+ inches in Tacoma. 

Wow! PDX gets buried! Good for them! I think this one is needed. 

[Weiner Warrior]

Good start

[SilverFallsAndrew]

16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z NAM is basically on board now.    Massive increase in snow for SW WA and Portland compared to previous runs.   I think the Tacoma area and all of Pierce County might get in on the action early tomorrow morning.

 

PDX proper could get skunked  

[Phishy Wx]

had maybe 2-3" but 40mph winds scoured most of it out and blew it up the street against a parallel neighbors fence. 

14 with a WC of -4

[Snownerd3000]

6 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Got lucky!

We love so close lol. Just to the east of 405. Wish this would stall over us.

[ChrisAmunRA]

Snowing here in Belltown Seattle 

[TacomaWx]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

PDX proper could get skunked  

Euro is really showing a major event down there. I trust that more than the hi-res models. I think this will be the best event since January 2017 there. 

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, Snownerd3000 said:

We love so close lol. Just to the east of 405. Wish this would stall over us.

Right? Someone in our area is going to get extra lucky.

[Phishy Wx]

this mesolow feature is still hanging out just west of Spokane.  I bet Davenport area is buried.  sat there all night

[RentonHill]

12 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Some heavier stuff heading towards me or maybe just a wee bit to the north. Hopefully it does hit. 

We are too far south. Again

[Cloud]

Nice little dusting. A bit heavier. 

[TacomaWx]

Just now, Slushy Inch said:

Right? Someone in our area is going to get extra lucky.

Looks like another band is forming to the east behind it. Smells like an overperformance in areas just north of Seattle. Glad I’m here for it!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Euro is really showing a major event down there. I trust that more than the hi-res models. I think this will be the best event since January 2017 there. 

That would be cool. Definitely a nice band across Clark county this morning. PDX had a lot of work to do with temps. 

[Doinko]

How's the ICON for snow on WB?

[Chewbacca Defense]

Snowing pretty good here in Bellingham!  See I'm in the white, that means TONS of SNOW!!!!! 

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, RentonHill said:

We are too far south. Again

Pretty much the book for this winter bro. Either too far north… or too far south. Leaving us in the dust, literally. 

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Looks like another band is forming to the east behind it. Smells like an overperformance in areas just north of Seattle. Glad I’m here for it!

It is extending past Carnation, hoping it trains over me.

[jakerepp]

Was a nice little drive into the office for a bit through South Seattle. Got to see some snowflakes flying while I'm in town. I'm happy!

[MossMan]

I just woke up (was up at 4:30 and it was clear) AND HOLY SHITTTT

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, MossMan said:

I just woke up (was up at 4:30 and it was clear) AND HOLY SHITTTT

Even the models that had this banding didn’t extend it that far north. Maybe WRF?

[Cloud]

Yup. As suspected that band headed north.

close to being done then. 

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

It is extending past Carnation, hoping it trains over me.

Close to 1” here just west of Redmond on one of my jobsites. This is just off of 520. Looks like it’s going to keep going for awhile. 

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

I just woke up (was up at 4:30 and it was clear) AND HOLY SHITTTT

Looks like more than the 0.2” you thought you’d get yesterday. Told ya there was no telling what would happen with this event. 

[runninthruda206]

How am I under this heavy band in Fremont but its just flurries

[umadbro]

Half of this falls after 4pm today

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Even the models that had this banding didn’t extend it that far north. Maybe WRF?

None of the models that I saw last night showed anything other than possibly the lightest dusting. Insane!!! Also it’s 27.9 degrees. 

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Looks like more than the 0.2” you thought you’d get yesterday. Told ya there was no telling what would happen with this event. 

You were right!! I was not expecting anything. Usually at least one model would show something usually…Not this time! 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Dry and 29.5°F.

 

[Cloud]

Must be more localized than anything but it’s coming down here pretty good right now even though radar is showing it should be nothing more than flurries as the snow moves away north. 

[Weiner Warrior]

Still snowing eventhough radar doesn't show anything over me!

[TacomaWx]

Down to 33 with light snow at Tacoma narrows. Looks like the NE winds are starting to blow good back home. 

[Doinko]

5 minutes ago, umadbro said:

Half of this falls after 4pm today

Another model showing a foot+ here

[MillCreekMike]

5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

None of the models that I saw last night showed anything other than possibly the lightest dusting. Insane!!! Also it’s 27.9 degrees. 

I was wondering how it looks like you have so much more than anywhere else when it’s pretty much been snowing for the same amount of time and then I saw your temperature! Still 32 at home and mostly just a dusting.

[Cloud]

Snow…. And sun! 
That’s a first. 

[BurienSnowGlobe]

Roads now covered here in Central District. Hardest it has snowed yet. 

[TT-SEA]

7 minutes ago, MossMan said:

None of the models that I saw last night showed anything other than possibly the lightest dusting. Insane!!! Also it’s 27.9 degrees. 

Yeah... I went back and checked the ECMWF last night and it showed only a dusting up there.

Although a couple days ago I posted a ECMWF precip map showing a solid band of precip moving westward into the Sound from Seattle northward and said we will be watching this on the radar on Wednesday morning.    I think the models might have assumed it was just slightly too warm still at this time.   But a couple degrees makes a big difference!

[TacomaWx]

-8F at Williams lake, 16F in Lytton, 23F in hope, 28F in Bellingham. High temp is projected at 41 in Tacoma. 33 now which is the low for the day. 41 seems a little high would be surprised if we hit 40. 

[Doinko]

GFS also looks good

[TT-SEA]

Massive increase in snow for the Portland area on the 12Z GFS compared to even the 06Z run.