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PNW April 2023 Weather Discussion


Cascadia_Wx

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23 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

It's not fair. Hawaii deserves to be this cold all the time too!

Maybe the worm will turn soon? 🪱

The road up to the Mauna Kea summit was actually closed the day I went, so I stopped at 9300'. 

The weather at the summit was 35 with 60mph wind gusts and several inches of snow still on the ground. Pretty impressive for almost April and not super common.

Not a great pic but one I snapped down around 6000'.

4JizHTidB-_laWqvOgDVL7dRvWMGmDM8rrrSeaZ0

 

Edited by BLI snowman
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1 hour ago, Cold Snap said:

OT but Ian got upgraded to a Cat 5. That makes five Cat 5 US landfalls now.

It was upgraded but for the time it was offshore. Was still a cat4 at landfall, apparently.

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Well, the CANsips is encouraging. NOT a hot summer if that verifies. 

Oh my goodness. Could it be? 😍 

F57A93CC-226C-4CE9-A9EF-09443DDAD81E.png

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2 hours ago, Cold Snap said:

OT but Ian got upgraded to a Cat 5. That makes five Cat 5 US landfalls now.

I lived one of them. I was 4 in homestead when Andrew hit. I remember going out at 4 am when the eye passed. My entire world basically got deleted. My dad was a house flipper. Lost all 6 houses. We moved to Tennessee a year later. 
 

My dad also worked at Turkey Point Nuclear Plant, they had just installed a new wind gauge on one of the towers. It was rated to 250 mph. It blew off the tower in the initial eye wall. 

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PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events)

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2 hours ago, T-Town said:

Well, at least “…there was no statistically significant effect on mortality—either good or bad—linked to light or moderate drinking.”

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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Looks like Mark posted this right before going on a two week vaca. He sounds pretty excited about the warmth over Easter Weekend. Not going to age well :(

April Fool’s Day features a huge Cascade snowstorm plus chilly valley showers, but warming trend headed our way (kptv.com)

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

The road up to the Mauna Kea summit was actually closed the day I went, so I stopped at 9300'. 

The weather at the summit was 35 with 60mph wind gusts and several inches of snow still on the ground. Pretty impressive for almost April and not super common.

Not a great pic but one I snapped down around 6000'.

4JizHTidB-_laWqvOgDVL7dRvWMGmDM8rrrSeaZ0

 

Fun fact: When Hawaii County once ordered a snow plow for maintaining the Mauna Kea Road, the manufacturer thought the order was a joke and ignored it.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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6 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Looks like Mark posted this right before going on a two week vaca. He sounds pretty excited about the warmth over Easter Weekend. Not going to age well :(

April Fool’s Day features a huge Cascade snowstorm plus chilly valley showers, but warming trend headed our way (kptv.com)

Go get him... he is evil!  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Ended up with a very chilly 46/34 day here. A morning flurry, early afternoon sunbreaks,  then numerous showers later this afternoon. Even had a few rainbows earlier. Overall a very active and visually stunning spring day.

Looks like VUO put up their second consecutive high in the 40s with a 48/36 spread. Meanwhile in UHI hell PDX put up a 50/38.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Looks like Mark posted this right before going on a two week vaca. He sounds pretty excited about the warmth over Easter Weekend. Not going to age well :(

April Fool’s Day features a huge Cascade snowstorm plus chilly valley showers, but warming trend headed our way (kptv.com)

Oops 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Are there more showers/storms possible tomorrow? I have seen a few areas of broad rotation on velocity. I've heard Michael Snyder say that pacific northwest showers can briefly resemble supercells and inherit their characteristics, how is that possible with weak shear?

Weather! Atmospheric conditions

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2 hours ago, Skagit Weather said:

Yeah, that was the article I was referencing, but I had forgotten about the estimated numbers up at 2,450 meters. That is just an insane amount of snow! It makes me wonder how much snowfall the NOHRSC map would have predicted for that location in 1998-99.

That articles also used a new snow estimate of .15g/cubic cm at 8000 ft which is what it is at Paradise Mount Rainier at 5,400 ft and something like 0.10 g/cubic cm would have been more accurate given that this location is 2,600 ft higher and farther north giving one a total snowfall that year of about 88 meters (3,500 inches) at 8000 ft.

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The false ridging period was really a pattern change to wet... took the models awhile to figure it out.   Probably going to see a decent run of rainy days which is not too unusual for April.   

Today's high in Seattle was the normal high for January 11th.    

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Side note... what is likely driving this is the MJO going back to into phase 7 which clearly favors troughing in the PNW in April.   This was mentioned last week in Ag Weather update and again today.   When the models are not in sync with the MJO they tend to correct as it gets closer.   This can go both ways of course.    

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Incredible to see how consistent the precip has been over the mountains. Amazing storm for the higher elevations. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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