Meatyorologist Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 There's been a recent trend southward with the incoming ULL swinging into California. This opens the door to more negative tilting and convection in the area Sunday. The 18z Euro finally jumped the gun and has a midlevel thunderstorm complex firing over the Sound midday. Also note the prominent convective activity Monday morning. 5 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 64/39 on the day. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 The GFS and the ICON both end up in a rudderless mess of a weather pattern. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_convergence_zone Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 2 hours ago, MossMan said: The sky was very milky in Wenatchee today, could have been the prescribed burns going on? Not sure. It might be dust/pollution from Asia, spring is the time of year when it tends to make the trip over and there was a strong zonal jet over the Pacific last week. I few years ago I worked with some scientists from Olympic NP who said they detect all sorts of heavy metals in their “pristine” alpine lakes as well as dust that can be traced to Mongolia. I ended up only hitting 64 today thanks to the northerlies off the Sound, yesterday was 68. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 Holy s***** 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 28, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said: The GFS and the ICON both end up in a rudderless mess of a weather pattern. Looks on the wet side with a bunch of convective opportunities to me. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 22 minutes ago, Phil said: Holy s***** 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 28, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 Ended up with an 80/49 spread here today. Was expecting tomorrow to be the first 80 of the season but today overachieved. Tomorrow looks very toasty, possibly pushing 90 in some spots. Fortunately it looks like we see a reprieve starting Sunday. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 28, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 3 hours ago, MossMan said: The sky was very milky in Wenatchee today, could have been the prescribed burns going on? Not sure. Skies have been pretty ugly here this warm period so far too. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 28, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 Nice looking Euro run after Saturday. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 51 after a low of 50…back to back lows above 50 degrees. Feels like a summer morning. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 Euro showing a late season snow event in Yellowstone the day before I get there. Still anyones guess as to what it’ll be like over there at this range though 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 8 hours ago, the_convergence_zone said: It might be dust/pollution from Asia, spring is the time of year when it tends to make the trip over and there was a strong zonal jet over the Pacific last week. I few years ago I worked with some scientists from Olympic NP who said they detect all sorts of heavy metals in their “pristine” alpine lakes as well as dust that can be traced to Mongolia. I ended up only hitting 64 today thanks to the northerlies off the Sound, yesterday was 68. The was a thin layer of high clouds yesterday... it was basically transparent but made the sky appear sort of milky and not deep blue. The ECMWF cloud loop from yesterday morning shows this well. The ECMWF usually makes high clouds look thicker than reality... but you can see from this loop that is was shield of high clouds. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 (edited) 06z GFS was a solid run. Not much precip this next week as it mostly goes south. Next week very soggy with a huge snow event for south central Oregons highlands. Edited April 28, 2023 by SilverFallsAndrew 7 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 7 hours ago, Phil said: Holy s***** I noticed that the MJO has picked up speed too. It looks like its going to be cranking through most of the phases over the next few weeks. Is this related to the very high AAM values? I think that should mean variable weather. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 Yesterday was nice. About seventy and actually a bit cold last night after sunset. Today should be quite warmer. Tomorrow we're going to Hells Gate State Park and have a river beach day. Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 What did the Euro show for north Texas next weekend? Going to a wedding there. 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said: What did the Euro show for north Texas next weekend? Going to a wedding there. Dry both days (5/6 and 5/7) with highs in the low to mid 70s. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 20 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Dry both days (5/6 and 5/7) with highs in the low to mid 70s. That's good. I know today they might get some large hail maybe south of the metroplex. Sister's wedding is the sixth and in the evening hours where storms typically are favored. Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 1 hour ago, TacomaWx said: 51 after a low of 50…back to back lows above 50 degrees. Feels like a summer morning. Remarkably different than up here. Yesterday it was 39F and this morning it dropped to 44F, so definitely not quite summery yet. Of course it only got to 60F yesterday as well, so both the high and low were pretty depressed compared to down south. I can't believe places were above 80F yesterday. 2 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 4 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said: That's good. I know today they might get some large hail maybe south of the metroplex. Sister's wedding is the sixth and in the evening hours where storms typically are favored. Right now ECMWF shows dry NW flow that weekend which is not a thunderstorm pattern there. But it is still 8-9 days away so could definitely change. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: Remarkably different than up here. Yesterday it was 39F and this morning it dropped to 44F, so definitely not quite summery yet. Of course it only got to 60F yesterday as well, so both the high and low were pretty depressed compared to down south. I can't believe places were above 80F yesterday. It was 60 here by 10:30 a.m. yesterday and 73 for a high. Although SEA only had a high of 68. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 Overnight low of 44.2°F here. Official forecast says upper 70’s this afternoon. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 When does the 2nd heat wave hit Portland? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said: When does the 2nd heat wave hit Portland? June 21-October 15th. 3 2 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 2 hours ago, TacomaWx said: Euro showing a late season snow event in Yellowstone the day before I get there. Still anyones guess as to what it’ll be like over there at this range though I am in the Purple! I think we have had 2-10" of snow every May since I have lived here except for a couple of seasons. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowySeeker50 Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 Yesterday had a high of 69 degrees. A low of 46 this morning and currently 51 degrees. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 2 hours ago, TacomaWx said: 51 after a low of 50…back to back lows above 50 degrees. Feels like a summer morning. Too soon for the rain to shut off but I will definitely enjoy the next couple days. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Port Angeles Foothiller Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 1 hour ago, Skagit Weather said: Remarkably different than up here. Yesterday it was 39F and this morning it dropped to 44F, so definitely not quite summery yet. Of course it only got to 60F yesterday as well, so both the high and low were pretty depressed compared to down south. I can't believe places were above 80F yesterday. Same here. High was 63 yesterday. Got down to 38 this morning. 1 Quote PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220 2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 Up to 63 here already... a light east breeze seems to be surfacing. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 Tuesday and Wednesday seem to be trending a little warmer again. 12Z GEM is much warmer for those days than its 00Z run. 06Z ECMWF trended warmer for Monday as well with the ULL quite a bit farther south that day compared to its 00Z run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 Down to 40 this morning after 67 yesterday. Should crack 70 today. Nice to feel that warm sun again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 12Z GEM is very warm again next weekend. 12Z GFS is much more robust with the ULL/trough offshore at that time. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 Up to 56.8 after a low of 43. Actually colder than yesterdays low. Quote 2024 Warm Season Stats Number of 80+ days - 2 Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86) Number of 90+ days - 0 Number of 95+ days - 0 Number of 60+ lows - 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 The Columbia was flat calm at 2pm yesterday. A rarity! Mt st Helen’s in the background. 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 9 minutes ago, Timmy said: The Columbia was flat calm at 2pm yesterday. A rarity! Mt st Helen’s in the background. As others have mentioned... air quality looks horrible and the sky is very ugly. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: As others have mentioned... air quality looks horrible and the sky is very ugly. When I flew into PDX a little after 10am yesterday morning, the sky looked pretty hazy, but between Mt. Adams and Mt. Rainier the air quality definitely deteriorated significantly and you could barely see the bottom half of Rainier and not the top half. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 Wow, it’s warming up fast out here this morning. It’s already 76 here which is about 10 degrees warmer than pdx. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 36 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z GEM is very warm again next weekend. 12Z GFS is much more robust with the ULL/trough offshore at that time. Yeah, it pretty much rains the entire weekend on the GFS. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 28, 2023 Report Share Posted April 28, 2023 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Yeah, it pretty much rains the entire weekend on the GFS. Go Canada! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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