Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Up to 53 at pdx. Will be nice to get cooler air here in 24 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 6z...WOW! Also it’s windy! 2 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 6z GFS Ensembles. 500mb pattern largely unchanged and very similar to the Op. Portland - No changes. Enough -5c to -10c members to keep things interesting.http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Portland_Oregon_USA_ens.png Seattle - Some improvements.http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Seattle_USA_ens.png Vancouver BC - Improvements getting colder towards the end of runhttp://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Vancouver_Kanada_ens.png Yakima - Mean temp gradually dips long range. A lot of cold members.http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Yakima_USA_ens.png 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 This 6z GFS run makes it 10 out of the past 12 Op runs that develop an ideal or nearly ideal 500mb pattern delivering arctic air. Focusing on the short-mid range "believable" time frame. Timing has moved ahead a bit. The pattern develops at Day 4-5 and Block pivots at Day 6. Long range Day 10.5 Aflac duck block appears again. Looking promising. Cautiously optimistic. 12z GFS in 3 hours 19 minutes12z GEM in 3 hours 39 minutes12z ECMWF in 5 hours 34 minutes Think Cold and SNOW!!!! ❄ ❄ ☃ ❄ ❄ C'MON!!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Wind is certainly blowing in Bellingham. Woke me up. It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Power is out here. Woke up to my 5yr old screaming upstairs in her room...Note to self, get another plug in flashlight that automatically comes on when the power goes out like we have in our room. Guess I will head out and get the generator going if it doesn’t come back on soon. Still very gusty out. January 2020...The month where weather finally happens again! 2 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Power is out here. Woke up to my 5yr old screaming upstairs in her room...Note to self, get another plug in flashlight that automatically comes on when the power goes out like we have in our room. Guess I will head out and get the generator going if it doesn’t come back on soon. Still very gusty out.At least the smoke is gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 At least the smoke is gone Yeah ever since the Split Flow Hell ended we have had great air quality! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Yeah ever since the Split Flow Hell ended we have had great air quality! The SFH. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Generator power! 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Great looking 06z. I’m liking the fact that it trended a little cooler with the troughs in the short to mid range as well. Super excited to see the mountains get CRUSHED with snow starting tonight into tomorrow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 North County you have the best of both world's Environment Canada's forecast for Abbotsford or the NWS for Whatcom which do you pick a blend of the two and hope for the best? ever kept score on who nails it most for Sumas.Environment Canada is best for winter weather alerts. NWS tends to be Bellingham-centric for lowland Whatcom County forecasts, and the conditions can be worlds apart between here and there, particularly in the winter. My house sits 50 yards south of 49°, so for all intents and purposes I live in Abbotsford, which is big enough to merit it's own independent forecast from EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 It’s not going to happen It’s looking solid It’s not going to happen It’s looking really good, best run ever It’s not going to happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Great looking 06z. I’m liking the fact that it trended a little cooler with the troughs in the short to mid range as well. Super excited to see the mountains get CRUSHED with snow starting tonight into tomorrow.Definitely. 12z GFS in 10 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 The only downside I'm seeing with the most recent GFS runs is the tendency to make the block less amplified and connected to the Arctic, at least initially. This isn't a huge deal, but it's a big part of the reason the insane cold hasn't moved into semi-believable range. Compare today's 6z for next weekend with the 0z from two nights ago. But aside from that, timing is slowly moving up and things are looking good. 2 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 12z GFS Day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 GFS and EURO are trending towards a middle ground. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 We’ve lost the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Love him or hate him, but Tim is right. That is not an inside slider. That system is primed to dump a lot of cold air over the GOA. Who am I kidding, nobody loves Tim. Welcome to Extrapolators Anonymous. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Power is back on, the generator got a good hour of exercise...All is a go for when we get 7 feet of snow and the power is out for weeks. 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Night shift!! 43F and cloudy in downtown Springfield.I swear half of you are robots that don’t sleep. 2 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 I like how deep it goes...I don’t like how quickly it tries to climb back to 0. 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 ICON is onboard through day 7. Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 GFS and EURO are trending towards a middle ground.Most likely scenario in a model battle. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 GFS and EURO are trending towards a middle ground.I guess that COULD mean cold onshore flow with a 500ft snow line and heavy mtn snow. Lets hope the EURO leans more to the GFS than the other way around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 4 past 4 runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 4.5 Evolving block more amplified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 We will be fine. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 5 past 8 runs (2 days of runs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 6 past 8 runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Exceptional connection to high arctic ridge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Yep. More cold air (and colder air mass in general) in BC by day 7. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Friday storm looking much more potent this run. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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