The Swamp Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Looks like weather apps are starting to show snow. Will definitely become a topic soon for the masses. 38 snow and SE winds don't go together gonna be cold rain if we can't get some offshore flow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Not at the station of the gods. Not even close.Who cares? The record highs were in a well mixed airmass with southerly winds today. Had nothing to do with UHI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 I think it’s a waiting game Mother Nature will do her thing. Just get ready for the ride 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 38 snow and SE winds don't go together gonna be cold rain if we can't get some offshore outflowSE is offshore 2 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Who cares? The record highs were in a well mixed airmass with southerly winds today. Had nothing to do with UHI. I said nothing of UHI. That was an odd response. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 38 snow and SE winds don't go together gonna be cold rain if we can't get some offshore flowSE winds work here in favorable air masses!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Temp is dropping here now. Down to 46. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Freaking heat wave out there...59 degrees...was 51 at 4pm. Really close to 60 degrees. This is the warmest we have been here in Tacoma since 10/11 (60/39). Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Today's high of 57 broke the Silver Falls record of 55, set in... 1962. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 61 here... Feels straight up balmy outside. Soak it up while it lasts. Might not see these temps again for months due to the upcoming dual arctic blasts later this month and all of February. In fact, who knows, it might be years before we hit 61 again with the whole mini ice age coming up.If the rest if January is cold... I have a very good feeling about some warm days in February. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Today's high of 57 broke the Silver Falls record of 55, set in... 1962. Weird. 1962 had an Arctic blast just after this. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 62 here today after blowing away the old record of 56 set in 2012. Glad we are able to still break the old warm records after all this ice age jargon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 66 in North Bend right now. Warmer than many summer evenings at 3 hours past sunset. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 If the rest if January is cold... I have a very good feeling about some warm days in February. In a warm neutral ENSO regime it often does torch after a prolonged cold wave. March just winter was a good example of that, although that was more like weak Nino. The question is how long will the cold wave last. It's also possible we could go into a colder ENSO regime on very short notice this year. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 66 in North Bend right now.Warmer than many summer evenings at 3 hours past sunset.Wow that is crazy!! 43 here 23 degree difference. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 In a warm neutral ENSO regime it often does torch after a prolonged cold wave. March just winter was a good example of that, although that was more like weak Nino. The question is how long will the cold wave last. It's also possible we could go into a colder ENSO regime on very short notice this year.I doubt it. I have a very good feeling about this spring and summer. Particularly if we have serious cold and snow. Feels like an early 20th century regime with the extremes. There was some very cold winters and spectacular springs and summers back then as you know. I really like that period in the historical data. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 4, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 SE is offshoreSE winds work here in favorable air masses!! A handful of my decent snow events involved SE/SSE winds. 2012 comes to mind. Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 00z NAMMY. It may be nothing, but Day 2.5 to 3.5(end of run) kind of seems to indicate the Alaskan vortex progressively sliding off to the east/southeast. One could extrapolate outward if that continued perhaps to Day 4.5 and that would push it out much sooner. We'll see what 00z GFS shows.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 If the rest if January is cold... I have a very good feeling about some warm days in February. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 00z NAMMY. It may be nothing, but Day 2.5 to 3.5(end of run) kind of seems to indicate the Alaskan vortex progressively sliding off to the east/southeast. One could extrapolate outward if that continued perhaps to Day 4.5 and that would push it out much sooner. We'll see what 00z GFS shows.... nam_z500a_namer_fh60-84.gifExtrapolation gang rise up! Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 If I remember correctly we had a good SE wind blowing on 2/10/19 which brought many more inches of snow and no change over. 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 66 in North Bend right now.Warmer than many summer evenings at 3 hours past sunset.Kitsap missed this warmth. 47 and raining on Bainbridge Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 I do. I could see a flip to a week of upper 50s and low 60s with offshore flow. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 I actually have a good feeling we will have an average spring with lots of showers and probably a few more up in the foothills as it squeezes the moisture out of the atmosphere. Could be a really wet one up there!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 If I remember correctly we had a good SE wind blowing on 2/10/19 which brought many more inches of snow and no change over.A SE wind is a hood canal special every time. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 I don't think wind ever comes from the SE here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 I am positive the new ice age will begin in February. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 4, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Weird. 1962 had an Arctic blast just after this. There's a couple vague similarities to that winter in this area. Snow blasted southern OR around Thanksgiving in 1961, and I'm pretty sure everything was also bare looking (just like now) on New Years 1962. Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Thought I should take a pic of the last of the 50’s for a long time! Temp dropping bigly and the RH going up! 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 61 here... Feels straight up balmy outside. I picked a bad day to wear a sweater! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Thought I should take a pic of the last of the 50’s for a long time! Temp dropping bigly and the RH going up! It'll still be 50s here tomorrow and Monday so if you enjoy them then you'll know where to go. 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Just looked at the ENSO forecast and the CFS looks quite confident we will be heading into a Nina this summer. Assuming this winter delivers we could be looking at quite a run of decent winters 2016 - 17 through 2020-21. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 I don't think wind ever comes from the SE here.Happens all the time in my area. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ewnichols25 Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Wow that is crazy!! 43 here 23 degree difference.Same here with 45 degrees in NW Seattle. Too far away from Cascade downsloping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Thought I should take a pic of the last of the 50’s for a long time! Temp dropping bigly and the RH going up! A little bit of Trump lingo there! 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Just looked at the ENSO forecast and the CFS looks quite confident we will be heading into a Nina this summer. Assuming this winter delivers we could be looking at quite a run of decent winters 2016 - 17 through 2020-21.Phil thinks Nino. Still could be a great winter though. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Strong signal for long duration cold. Good to know! I would even be happy with half of what January 1950 delivered Even half of Jan 1950 would still be plenty epic. 2 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Wow Monday looks like a soaker up there in W. Washington. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 At this point I'm going to take wild guess and say the cold wave will last 15 to 20 days when it sets in with most places getting at least one or two decent snowfalls. Historically speaking a cold snap of a couple of weeks isn't that hard to pull off in January. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Happens all the time in my area.We get winds from the S, SW, W and North with onshore flow events. We get NE wind from gorge outflow and straight East with downsloping but I just can't ever think of a time I felt a breeze come out of the southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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