SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 At this point I'm going to take wild guess and say the cold wave will last 15 to 20 days when it sets in with most places getting at least one or two decent snowfalls. Historically speaking a cold snap of a couple of weeks isn't that hard to pull off in January. Be interesting to see how much this torchy beginning to the month effects the final averages. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thurston Howell III Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Kitsap missed this warmth. 47 and raining on Bainbridge Island.In GH now but lived SW of PO for 50yrs and we rarely got that warmth. The crazy warm winds from the eastside don't have much effect in Kitsap. Tonight in GH we got weird 6 degree bump for less than an hour and now back down to 47. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 At this point I'm going to take wild guess and say the cold wave will last 15 to 20 days when it sets in with most places getting at least one or two decent snowfalls. Historically speaking a cold snap of a couple of weeks isn't that hard to pull off in January.Sounds about right. That is my sense as well. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 That low on the 8th is much further south on the 00Z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 SE wind kills the snow in the swamp. 37 and cold rain We haven't gotten cold yet and we had our first prediction as to how long "it" will last. Tim, is it time to tell us when it will rain again "after" it snows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 54˚F and dropping after a high of 61˚F at KBLI. It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Be interesting to see how much this torchy beginning to the month effects the final averages. Yeah....I would hate to see a great monthly average spoiled. A few days is pretty easy to offset though. Yesterday wasn't terrible here... 49 - 40. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Yeah....I would hate to see a great monthly average spoiled. A few days is pretty easy to offset though. Yesterday wasn't terrible here... 49 - 40. 57/38 here today. Average is 41/29 on this date. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Sounds about right. That is my sense as well.Tim says dripping with sarcasm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 00z GFS Day 3 past 4 runs. Sure do like that trend to flatten the offshore ridge more quickly allowing colder air to spill south faster into BC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 At this point I'm going to take wild guess and say the cold wave will last 15 to 20 days when it sets in with most places getting at least one or two decent snowfalls. Historically speaking a cold snap of a couple of weeks isn't that hard to pull off in January. What qualifies? Highs below 40? Lows below 30? A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 That midweek trough is trending colder. 1 Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 That midweek trough is trending colder. Yep, the GFS really neutered it a couple of days ago. Nice to see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Just hit the 40’s! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 That midweek trough is trending colder.On one model. So far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Very low snow levels Wed night/Thu. Verbatim, Randy would probably wake up to some of the white stuff. Along with Tim and maybe a few others. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 What qualifies? Highs below 40? Lows below 30?How ‘bout days with no highs at all??? 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Getting a big temperature spike right before the moisture arrives from some southerly winds. Up to 60. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 The first little mini surge of cold next week is better on this run vs 18z. Hopefully a sign of things to come. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 On one model. So far. 00z ICON agrees. Only two models out tonight so far. 1 Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 How ‘bout days with no highs at all???Be a good one for the outer limits show. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Tim says dripping with sarcasm He was serious on that. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Ridge is building pretty far west this run... A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Yikes. The trough next weekend is de-balled. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Ridge is building pretty far west this run...The 500mb longwave pattern looks similar to previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Tim says dripping with sarcasmNo. Incorrect. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 He was serious on that.I was. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 He was serious on that.Tim has bought into a "cold wave" setting in for 15 to 20 days with one or two decent snowfalls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Looks like an overrunning snow event on Friday for Seattle-north as per the 0z. Still going to get Arctic air over the weekend on this run, but slightly delayed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 To far west with the ridge and not nearly dynamic with the energy digging south. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Watch the EURO finally cave tonight. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 The trend is not our friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Looks like an overrunning snow event on Friday for Seattle-north as per the 0z. Still going to get Arctic air over the weekend on this run, but slightly delayed.How much would you say Vic would get with that setup? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Just one run, but still a bit disheartening . "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 went from 60.3 degrees to 50 in 35 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Just one run, but still a bit disheartening .Two now. In a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Tim has bought into a "cold wave" setting in for 15 to 20 days with one or two decent snowfalls?I honestly think the cold spell lasts into February. The EPS has me feeling just like last February. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 went from 60.3 degrees to 50 in 35 minutes Nice. Looking like a dynamic front. About to hit here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 The trend is not our friend.oh , not again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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