June 2023 Observations & Discussions

[Phil]

3 hours ago, Timmy Supercell said:

Hope everyone is safe and enjoying storms this evening. Saw a couple nasty supercells in Iowa on radar.

This outlook got upgraded. I will try to get a few minutes of video if a decent storm comes through here late tomorrow night. Might not be any shelf clouds if it hits after dark.

Nocturnal storms are great for lightning shots though! This one looks interesting, negatively tilted 500mb troughs usually perform well around these parts.

[Phil]

Big time flip of the script here lately. After months of festering in one of the driest patterns we’ve ever seen, we’ve now had ~ 6” of rain in the last week, 3” of which fell in 1hr yesterday. Storms firing almost ever afternoon of late.

Tomorrow looks like a relative hiatus before more intense convection enters the picture Monday and Tuesday.  

[Stormy]

For a while it looked like I might get nailed, but I got only 0.48" as it weakened when it moved closer. There was about 0.80" just south and yet lot more sw. of me. 

[bud2380]

I drove through torrential downpours and even a tornado warning tonight. But when I got home I was disappointed to see only 0.45” in my gauge. Surroundings areas got 1-2”. But still better than nothing. 

[westMJim]

The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 90/67. There was once again no rain fall and the sun was out 74% of the possible time. There were 0 HDD’s and 14 CDD’s For today the average H/L is 82/61 the record high of 97 was set in 1988 and the record low of 41 was set in 1986. The record rain fall amount of 2.17” fell in 2021.

There is a very good chance of rain fall today and some storms could be on the strong side. The rain that falls will be much welcomed. With highs forecasted in the upper 60’s for tomorrow that would be one of the coldest maximus for any June 26th there have been only 8 times that it has not reached 70 or better on any June 26th at Grand Rapids.

[Tom]

ORD hit a high of 93F yesterday afternoon before a lake breeze kicked in and dropped temps to around 80F just around sunset.  We were grilling and hanging out at my cousins having a good time.  The humidity wasn't that bad but you can feel it this morning.  The storms that raced through N IL came together quite well and woke me up around 1:50am as it poured for about an hour amidst loud bolts of lighting and rumbling thunder.  Local reporting station say around .75" fell here but areas nearby got a very solid 1.00" of qpf overnight.  What a great way to flip the pattern out of this dry spell.  Most of C and N IL into IN got good dose of rain.

 

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/mcview.phtml?prod=lotrad&java=script&mode=realtime&frames=75&interval=10&year=2023&month=6&day=25&hour=0&minute=55

[CentralNebWeather]

[Hawkeye]

A severe cell moved into the Cedar Falls/Waterloo area late last night and dropped golfball to baseball size hail.

[Iceresistance]

It looks like by the end of this month, the Cockroach Death Ridge falls apart.

[chescowxman]

Nice to see the sun to start today but clouds and showers will again be on the increase by late today. Any storms could have some heavy rain. Tomorrow storms and possibly some severe ones are likely especially tomorrow afternoon and night. It stays wet through Wednesday and we again turn cooler by that evening. Less chances of rain to end out the work week. We have received 4.02" of rain in the last 13 days.

Records for today: High 98 (1943) / Low 46 (1979) / Rain 1.20" (1912)

[Andie]

Back in the furnace today. 
We’ll see 103-105 this week.  It’s getting old. Hard on everything.  
Edit:

The next 4days:

Mon. 102, Tues. 103, Wed. 104, Thurs. 105.  

[CentralNebWeather]

Chamber of Commerce weather today. We dropped to 54 this morning. Just finished mowing again, temp in the upper 60’s with a dew in the upper 40’s. Almost unheard of for this time a year, as the corn is now shoulder height or higher and will begin pumping out moisture. No irrigation has been needed in my area with all the rain. More rain and storms later this week will just add to our amazing pattern this season. 

[Clinton]

The heat really builds into my area this week.  I will likely break the 100 degree mark at least twice given the drought conditions. 

[Bryan1117]

2 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Can’t count how many times we have seen maps like this only to get sprinkles or nothing at all… I wouldn’t bet against the Eastern Nebraska drought/ death wall right now.

[FV-Mike]

Finally got some rain overnight. measured .70. Happy to see eastern Iowa get in on the action as well.

[Andie]

Our local met adjusted our Wednesday temp to 105.  
I mean, does it really matter at this point?
Don’t even want to know the heat index. 

[chescowxman]

1.56" so far with this PM storm...a whopping 5.58" of much needed rain over the last 13 days here in NW Chester County in the Philly burbs

[chescowxman]

Also of note today's 1.56" of rain sets a new daily rainfall record for Chester County PA eclipsing the old record of 1.20" set way back in 1912

[Andie]

We’re at 101 currently. 
I was just outside and holy smoke!

Heat index 109. Humidity 45%
Shake and Bake!! 
Adding the week’s outlook. 
One week to go.  

[Tom]

PHX rose above the benchmark and hit a Fiery 111F yesterday marking the 1st 110F+ day of the season.  Full disclosure, my LR call was for it to happen at the tail end of this week into the opening days of July.  Plenty more days of relentless Heat as the SW Ridge goes en fuego!  Once it gets above 105F, it's pretty much way to hot to be at the Pool....115F is another level type of Heat!  I'm grateful to be in the MW right about now...as is the case more often than not, in the fascinating way the weather works, when it heats up in the SW it usually generates a NW Flow and a cooler pattern for our region.

 

 

What will the weather pattern feature for the long awaited 4th of July weekend where there will be many outdoor celebrations???  Who is going to benefit from the "Ridge Riders"?  Let's try and dial in on those details...

 

 

 

[westMJim]

It looks like here in MBY I received one of the heaviest rain fall amounts in much of the area. The official total at Grand Rapids was just 0.23” but here in my yard I received 0.71” of rain fall in two separate heavy showers. Note I did not say thunderstorms because there was no thunder here. In Kent county the rain fall amounts ranged looks to have ranged from that official reading of 0.23” up to 0.89” There was a report of 1.51” to the west of me.

The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 85/64 there was officially 0.23” of rain fall and the sun was out a reported 17% of the time. For today the official H/L is 82/61 the record high of 94 was set in 1941 and the record low of 43 was set in 1902.

There looks to be a good chance of some more rain today. If it fails to reach 70 today it will be only the 8th time that it has not reached 70 on any June 26th in Grand Rapids history going back to 1893.

[Andie]

80* at 6:30 am.  73% humidity

Expecting 107* Wednesday.

It'll be another toasty day.  Should back off by Sunday.  Can’t wait.  

[Tom]

This GL's system has that Autumn feel to it as it gets blocked up and spins around the region.  Cloudy, cool and showery weather is on tap for today.

[Stormy]

I actually had had a few briefly heavy wrap around showers yesterday afternoon, amounting to 0.16" here where I wasn't expecting anything more than a trace. But the heaviest passed about a mile or two northeast of me where up to around half inch fell, so riding the edge as usual.  It was one of the heaviest mini weenie bands in Iowa in the afternoon. 

[tStacsh]

Great pattern setting up for GL's.  Warm (80's) with several chances of rain/storms.   Currently 67 with light rain.  Dew Point at 61  Beautiful out.  

[Timmy Supercell]

I ended up with only distant thunder last night. With all the various reports, I can't really call that a "bust". It just didn't favor far eastern Kentucky this time. This looked like one of the most widespread events in the last year. 

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Timmy Supercell said:

I ended up with only distant thunder last night. With all the various reports, I can't really call that a "bust". It just didn't favor far eastern Kentucky this time. This looked like one of the most widespread events in the last year. 

If I were under enhanced risk and only heard distant thunder I’d call it a bust.

Speaking of which, I’m under an enhanced risk today and almost all CAMs/mesoscale models are insisting we get screwed. Hope they’re wrong but it wouldn’t shock me.

[Timmy Supercell]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

If I were under enhanced risk and only heard distant thunder I’d call it a bust.

Speaking of which, I’m under an enhanced risk today and almost all CAMs/mesoscale models are insisting we get screwed. Hope they’re wrong but it wouldn’t shock me.

Well, I was in the Slight to be fair, but still, I would've liked at least a light show!

The event itself happened and man there are lots of 2+ inch hail reports. Hard to believe Indiana had softball sized hail. 

[Phil]

8 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

Well, I was in the Slight to be fair, but still, I would've liked at least a light show!

The event itself happened and man there are lots of 2+ inch hail reports. Hard to believe Indiana had softball sized hail. 

You’ve had some shit luck with timing for sure. Lots of decaying nocturnal activity, not many well timed shortwaves/MCS activity during peak heating.

We’ve had ruts like that in the past as well, 2016 and 2017 were like that here. It was infuriating.  

[Iceresistance]

9 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

Well, I was in the Slight to be fair, but still, I would've liked at least a light show!

The event itself happened and man there are lots of 2+ inch hail reports. Hard to believe Indiana had softball sized hail. 

Grapefruits were confirmed in Arkansas

[westMJim]

Just looked at my rain gauge and I have 0.14" of rain fall since 7 AM. It is cloudy with sprinkles and 67 here at this time.

[Timmy Supercell]

21 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

Grapefruits were confirmed in Arkansas

I think Arkansas more regularly gets giant hail. I remember some last year blowing out windows of homes.

[CentralNebWeather]

 

[Hawkeye]

Unfortunately, for the northern half of Iowa, the medium-long range trend is dry as the ridge-riding-storms pattern is favored to set up farther south.

[OttumwaSnomow]

44 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

Unfortunately, for the northern half of Iowa, the medium-long range trend is dry as the ridge-riding-storms pattern is favored to set up farther south.

Trust me the south needs it bad!! Especially  along hwy 2. Bloomfield  has 1 inch since april 22!!!!! No place drier in Iowa! Except  maybe near council bluffs.

[Hawkeye]

Latest op Euro   

and EPS

[Stormy]

I like looking at ensembles at this time since the other models don't seem to do well with this pattern of convection. But I agree that further south looks to get more. Just hope the driest areas get the most. I'm still at only 1.47" for June when my average should be near 5". It's kind of nice not having to mow the yard though. Lol

[hawkstwelve]

Looking dry over the next 10 days per the latest Euro, but some hope for Omaha folks.

[Andie]

Another 101* day. Low of 82.  
 

Tomorrow. 104*  On it’s way up the next 2 days. Good times!

[james1976]

Beautiful night here at the Iowa home! 70° and clear and wind died down. Mostly calm now. Grilled chops and now having a peaceful campfire with our puppy and a cold one.

My wife is in Ottawa, Canada for the week on a work trip. They had a Tornado Warning earlier and more storms moving in now! But so far nothing touching down that I've heard of. Appears to be moreless "radar indicated" as far as I know.