Jump to content

June 2023 Observations & Discussions


westMJim

Recommended Posts

3 hours ago, Timmy Supercell said:

Hope everyone is safe and enjoying storms this evening. Saw a couple nasty supercells in Iowa on radar.

This outlook got upgraded. I will try to get a few minutes of video if a decent storm comes through here late tomorrow night. Might not be any shelf clouds if it hits after dark.

Tab3FileL (1).png

Nocturnal storms are great for lightning shots though! This one looks interesting, negatively tilted 500mb troughs usually perform well around these parts.

  • Like 1
foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Big time flip of the script here lately. After months of festering in one of the driest patterns we’ve ever seen, we’ve now had ~ 6” of rain in the last week, 3” of which fell in 1hr yesterday. Storms firing almost ever afternoon of late.

Tomorrow looks like a relative hiatus before more intense convection enters the picture Monday and Tuesday. 🤞 

  • Like 4
  • Excited 1
  • Storm 1
foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 90/67. There was once again no rain fall and the sun was out 74% of the possible time. There were 0 HDD’s and 14 CDD’s For today the average H/L is 82/61 the record high of 97 was set in 1988 and the record low of 41 was set in 1986. The record rain fall amount of 2.17” fell in 2021.

There is a very good chance of rain fall today and some storms could be on the strong side. The rain that falls will be much welcomed. With highs forecasted in the upper 60’s for tomorrow that would be one of the coldest maximus for any June 26th there have been only 8 times that it has not reached 70 or better on any June 26th at Grand Rapids.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

ORD hit a high of 93F yesterday afternoon before a lake breeze kicked in and dropped temps to around 80F just around sunset.  We were grilling and hanging out at my cousins having a good time.  The humidity wasn't that bad but you can feel it this morning.  The storms that raced through N IL came together quite well and woke me up around 1:50am as it poured for about an hour amidst loud bolts of lighting and rumbling thunder.  Local reporting station say around .75" fell here but areas nearby got a very solid 1.00" of qpf overnight.  What a great way to flip the pattern out of this dry spell.  Most of C and N IL into IN got good dose of rain.

 

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/mcview.phtml?prod=lotrad&java=script&mode=realtime&frames=75&interval=10&year=2023&month=6&day=25&hour=0&minute=55

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

A severe cell moved into the Cedar Falls/Waterloo area late last night and dropped golfball to baseball size hail.

  • Like 2
  • Storm 1

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Nice to see the sun to start today but clouds and showers will again be on the increase by late today. Any storms could have some heavy rain. Tomorrow storms and possibly some severe ones are likely especially tomorrow afternoon and night. It stays wet through Wednesday and we again turn cooler by that evening. Less chances of rain to end out the work week. We have received 4.02" of rain in the last 13 days.
Records for today: High 98 (1943) / Low 46 (1979) / Rain 1.20" (1912)
image.png.6dc028b43de32d334f90d09c4067aa35.png

All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Back in the furnace today. 
We’ll see 103-105 this week.  It’s getting old. Hard on everything.  
Edit:

The next 4days:

Mon. 102, Tues. 103, Wed. 104, Thurs. 105.  

  • Like 1
  • Sun 3

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Chamber of Commerce weather today. We dropped to 54 this morning. Just finished mowing again, temp in the upper 60’s with a dew in the upper 40’s. Almost unheard of for this time a year, as the corn is now shoulder height or higher and will begin pumping out moisture. No irrigation has been needed in my area with all the rain. More rain and storms later this week will just add to our amazing pattern this season. 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Our local met adjusted our Wednesday temp to 105.  
I mean, does it really matter at this point?
Don’t even want to know the heat index. 
😄

  • Like 3

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1.56" so far with this PM storm...a whopping 5.58" of much needed rain over the last 13 days here in NW Chester County in the Philly burbs

  • Like 3

All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Also of note today's 1.56" of rain sets a new daily rainfall record for Chester County PA eclipsing the old record of 1.20" set way back in 1912

  • Like 1

All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We’re at 101 currently. 
I was just outside and holy smoke!

Heat index 109. Humidity 45%
Shake and Bake!! 
Adding the week’s outlook. 
One week to go.  

667E7261-0709-4225-B10F-457CAB69EF4B.jpeg

  • Sun 2

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

PHX rose above the benchmark and hit a Fiery 111F yesterday marking the 1st 110F+ day of the season.  Full disclosure, my LR call was for it to happen at the tail end of this week into the opening days of July.  Plenty more days of relentless Heat as the SW Ridge goes en fuego!  Once it gets above 105F, it's pretty much way to hot to be at the Pool....115F is another level type of Heat!  I'm grateful to be in the MW right about now...as is the case more often than not, in the fascinating way the weather works, when it heats up in the SW it usually generates a NW Flow and a cooler pattern for our region.

 

1.jpeg

 

What will the weather pattern feature for the long awaited 4th of July weekend where there will be many outdoor celebrations???  Who is going to benefit from the "Ridge Riders"?  Let's try and dial in on those details...

 

 

 

  • Like 1
  • Sun 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

It looks like here in MBY I received one of the heaviest rain fall amounts in much of the area. The official total at Grand Rapids was just 0.23” but here in my yard I received 0.71” of rain fall in two separate heavy showers. Note I did not say thunderstorms because there was no thunder here. In Kent county the rain fall amounts ranged looks to have ranged from that official reading of 0.23” up to 0.89” There was a report of 1.51” to the west of me.

The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 85/64 there was officially 0.23” of rain fall and the sun was out a reported 17% of the time. For today the official H/L is 82/61 the record high of 94 was set in 1941 and the record low of 43 was set in 1902.

There looks to be a good chance of some more rain today. If it fails to reach 70 today it will be only the 8th time that it has not reached 70 on any June 26th in Grand Rapids history going back to 1893.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

80* at 6:30 am.  73% humidity

Expecting 107* Wednesday.

It'll be another toasty day.  Should back off by Sunday.  Can’t wait.  🌞

  • Like 1

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I actually had had a few briefly heavy wrap around showers yesterday afternoon, amounting to 0.16" here where I wasn't expecting anything more than a trace. But the heaviest passed about a mile or two northeast of me where up to around half inch fell, so riding the edge as usual.  It was one of the heaviest mini weenie bands in Iowa in the afternoon. 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I ended up with only distant thunder last night. With all the various reports, I can't really call that a "bust". It just didn't favor far eastern Kentucky this time. This looked like one of the most widespread events in the last year. 

  • Like 1

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 31
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7
5/8, 5/15, 5/21, 5/22, 5/26, 5/27, 6/4, 6/5, 6/6, 6/17
6/18, 

Severe storms: 2
Max High: 96 (feels like 107 on June 17)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Timmy Supercell said:

I ended up with only distant thunder last night. With all the various reports, I can't really call that a "bust". It just didn't favor far eastern Kentucky this time. This looked like one of the most widespread events in the last year. 

If I were under enhanced risk and only heard distant thunder I’d call it a bust.

Speaking of which, I’m under an enhanced risk today and almost all CAMs/mesoscale models are insisting we get screwed. 😂 Hope they’re wrong but it wouldn’t shock me.

  • Like 2
  • Popcorn 1
foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

If I were under enhanced risk and only heard distant thunder I’d call it a bust.

Speaking of which, I’m under an enhanced risk today and almost all CAMs/mesoscale models are insisting we get screwed. 😂 Hope they’re wrong but it wouldn’t shock me.

Well, I was in the Slight to be fair, but still, I would've liked at least a light show!

The event itself happened and man there are lots of 2+ inch hail reports. Hard to believe Indiana had softball sized hail. 

  • Like 1

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 31
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7
5/8, 5/15, 5/21, 5/22, 5/26, 5/27, 6/4, 6/5, 6/6, 6/17
6/18, 

Severe storms: 2
Max High: 96 (feels like 107 on June 17)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

Well, I was in the Slight to be fair, but still, I would've liked at least a light show!

The event itself happened and man there are lots of 2+ inch hail reports. Hard to believe Indiana had softball sized hail. 

You’ve had some shit luck with timing for sure. Lots of decaying nocturnal activity, not many well timed shortwaves/MCS activity during peak heating.

We’ve had ruts like that in the past as well, 2016 and 2017 were like that here. It was infuriating. 😂 

  • Like 2
foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

Well, I was in the Slight to be fair, but still, I would've liked at least a light show!

The event itself happened and man there are lots of 2+ inch hail reports. Hard to believe Indiana had softball sized hail. 

Grapefruits were confirmed in Arkansas

  • Like 2
  • scream 2

Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

Link to comment
Share on other sites

21 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

Grapefruits were confirmed in Arkansas

I think Arkansas more regularly gets giant hail. I remember some last year blowing out windows of homes. ;)

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 31
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7
5/8, 5/15, 5/21, 5/22, 5/26, 5/27, 6/4, 6/5, 6/6, 6/17
6/18, 

Severe storms: 2
Max High: 96 (feels like 107 on June 17)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Unfortunately, for the northern half of Iowa, the medium-long range trend is dry as the ridge-riding-storms pattern is favored to set up farther south.

  • Like 1
  • Sad 1

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

44 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

Unfortunately, for the northern half of Iowa, the medium-long range trend is dry as the ridge-riding-storms pattern is favored to set up farther south.

Trust me the south needs it bad!! Especially  along hwy 2. Bloomfield  has 1 inch since april 22!!!!! No place drier in Iowa! Except  maybe near council bluffs.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I like looking at ensembles at this time since the other models don't seem to do well with this pattern of convection. But I agree that further south looks to get more. Just hope the driest areas get the most. I'm still at only 1.47" for June when my average should be near 5". It's kind of nice not having to mow the yard though. Lol

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Another 101* day. Low of 82.  
 

Tomorrow. 104*  On it’s way up the next 2 days. Good times!

  • Like 1
  • Popcorn 1
  • Sun 1
  • scream 1
  • Sick 1

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Beautiful night here at the Iowa home! 70° and clear and wind died down. Mostly calm now. Grilled chops and now having a peaceful campfire with our puppy and a cold one.

My wife is in Ottawa, Canada for the week on a work trip. They had a Tornado Warning earlier and more storms moving in now! But so far nothing touching down that I've heard of. Appears to be moreless "radar indicated" as far as I know.

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Popular Contributors

  • Activity Stream

    1. 299

      June 2024 Observations and Discussion

    2. 299

      June 2024 Observations and Discussion

    3. 3551

      June 2024 Pacific Northwest Weather

    4. 7084

      West Coast Sports Talk and Other Banter

    5. 9160

      Polite Politics

×
×
  • Create New...