July 2023 PNW Observations and Discussions

[T-Town]

24 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Think we fall a bit short on 90 today but it’ll be close. 87 here as well with about ~2 hours to go. 

I did briefly touch 90, back to 89 now. My old $50 sensor hanging on the eves of the house says 96 so it’s nice to have a station that’s reasonably accurate now. I do suspect that it needs to be further away from the deck and is probably picking up a degree or two on hot days like this. But we’ll see if I work up the energy to figure out a better mounting solution for it. 

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, T-Town said:

I did briefly touch 90, back to 89 now. My old $50 sensor hanging on the eves of the house says 96 so it’s nice to have a station that’s reasonably accurate now. I do suspect that it needs to be further away from the deck and is probably picking up a degree or two on hot days like this. But we’ll see if I work up the energy to figure out a better mounting solution for it. 

If it’s in the sun that could also make it run slightly warm…especially considering you live facing the sunset in the west. Just hit 88 here now. 

[TacomaWx]

Some people have mentioned 2018 as an analog for this summer and so far it’s been pretty close to accurate IMBY. That summer we had 18 days hit 85+ degrees but only hit 90 once. 
 May and June 2018 were also pretty similar to this year. Then also add in 2018 was transitioning from La Niña to El Niño like this year. 

[T-Town]

12 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

If it’s in the sun that could also make it run slightly warm…especially considering you live facing the sunset in the west. Just hit 88 here now. 

New station is a Tempest Weatherflow and the instructions say to mount it in the sun so I think that part is good. It’s only a foot from the black deck railing and I suspect that might skew it slightly high. But it has been tracking pretty close to Tacoma Narrows on most days. Need a bigger sample size to decide if I need to do something else. 

[TT-SEA]

Some nice convective development and the smoke seems to be gone.  

[TT-SEA]

Officially 91 at SEA.     Same in North Bend as well.

Interestingly... the ECMWF showed and 86 and the GFS showed 90 so they both fell short.  

It would be pretty nice to have a consistently warm summer with a peak temp only in the low 90s.   

[Cloud]

22 hours ago, lowlandsnow said:

Your probably right but there is still a chance of SEA avoiding 90

Jinxed it! 
 

91 as of 5pm.
 

no avoiding 90 

[Eugene-5SW]

98º with noticeable smoke/haze at the surface here. Doesn't look like anywhere in the Willamette Valley broke the century mark, although EUG and PDX both reached 99ª (unofficially as yet).

Looks like we cool down to a few degrees above normal for a couple of days before ramping back up to near 90º.

[TT-SEA]

In terms of predictions... Phil has not been right about more frequent rain this summer.  At least so far.   I was sort of expecting something like 2019 but we are getting another 2018.

[Front Ranger]

90+ days this year.

PDX: 9

DEN: 1

PDX is on pace to challenge their record of 31 from 2018...but DEN had 58 that year.

Would be bonkers if PDX ended up with more in 2023.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Front Ranger said:

90+ days this year.

PDX: 9

DEN: 1

PDX is on pace to challenge their record of 31 from 2018...but DEN had 58 that year.

Would be bonkers if PDX ended up with more in 2023.

When I say we are getting another 2018... I don't mean everywhere.   But it certainly feels like 2018 locally.  

[Front Ranger]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

In terms of predictions... Phil has not been right about more frequent rain this summer.  At least so far.   I was sort of expecting something like 2019 but we are getting another 2018.

There's time for that to change. 2015 had a long stretch of very dry conditions from mid May to late July, but then several wet to very wet systems interspersed through the rest of the warm season.

[Front Ranger]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

When I say we are getting another 2018... I don't mean everywhere.   But it certainly feels like 2018 locally.  

I made my comment same time as yours...had nothing to do with each other. 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Front Ranger said:

I made my comment same time as yours...had nothing to do with each other. 

I know.    I quoted you since you also mentioned 2018 but it was more for clarification since I expect Phil will say this is complete opposite of 2018.  

[YahRaEl]

91° Eastside Tacoma

92° Spanaway 

[LowerGarfield]

It was about 90 today when we got home from the Palouse. Currently at 88F.

Booked a hotel for next year in Orofino, ID by the Clearwater. Looking forward to it.

 

Planning vacations is even more fun then actually going on them!

[Eugene-5SW]

Looks like new daily record highs at Hoquiam, Quillayute, Portland, Eugene, and Roseburg.

[Eugene-5SW]

But Olympia didn't set a record, so I guess it wasn't really all that warm.

[BLI snowman]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

In terms of predictions... Phil has not been right about more frequent rain this summer.  At least so far.   I was sort of expecting something like 2019 but we are getting another 2018.

I'm actually going to go out on a massive limb and call for a "wet" August.

Just feels right with the dry stretch we've been on and the developing Nino.

[TacomaWx]

88/55 today. Looks like we will be waiting until atleast  the second half of July to hit 90 here. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

96/62 day here. Hot with hazy skies. Just a few cumulus over the Cascades.

[Front Ranger]

44 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

I'm actually going to go out on a massive limb and call for a "wet" August.

Just feels right with the dry stretch we've been on and the developing Nino.

More 2015, 2009 than 2018...I agree.

[Cascadia_Wx]

I’ve been noticing this the past few days, but the current 500mb pattern definitely isn’t a traditional looking heat pattern.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Another 90F burger for EUG

[Meatyorologist]

1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

I'm actually going to go out on a massive limb and call for a "wet" August.

Just feels right with the dry stretch we've been on and the developing Nino.

Hard agree. And you know the STJ activity cutting into intermittent ridges overhead will create some really fun convective opportunities as Summer slowly wanes to Fall.

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

90+ days this year.

PDX: 9

DEN: 1

PDX is on pace to challenge their record of 31 from 2018...but DEN had 58 that year.

Would be bonkers if PDX ended up with more in 2023.

More than LA too.

[MossMan]

87/56 on the day. Currently 75. 

[TT-SEA]

200 miles north of the arctic circle... a low of 70??

[Chewbacca Defense]

87/58 here today, still sitting at 80 degrees.

[Tyler Mode]

2 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

I'm actually going to go out on a massive limb and call for a "wet" August.

Just feels right with the dry stretch we've been on and the developing Nino.

That can mean a lot of things though.  My average for August is just 0.42", and a lot of August's precip tends to come in 1- days of the month

[Meatyorologist]

39 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

200 miles north of the arctic circle... a low of 70??

Negligible nights and high humidity.

[MossMan]

Currently 66.6 degrees. 

[BLI snowman]

1 hour ago, Tyler Mode said:

That can mean a lot of things though.  My average for August is just 0.42", and a lot of August's precip tends to come in 1- days of the month

Inch or bust.

[BLI snowman]

1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

Hard agree. And you know the STJ activity cutting into intermittent ridges overhead will create some really fun convective opportunities as Summer slowly wanes to Fall.

Yeah, it's pretty common to see wet Augusts or Septembers heading into Ninos.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Max of 88.2˚F today.

My only 90-burger of the season so far has been on 15 May, curiously enough. (89.8˚F, rounds up to 90.)

[Cloud]

Anyone with window seats got quite a treat heading into LAX last night. Near the end of the video when the plane is nearing touchdown is a thing of beauty. happy birthday America! 
 

 

[Cold Snap]

Avoided 90 IMBY today. Had a high of 89 today and 85 yesterday. Sad to see SEA hit 91 today. I was really hoping they could avoid a 90 this summer but I really wasn’t expecting it to happen anyways.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

No deck party tonight. Gonna be one on the promenade tomorrow. I made sure to bring my gloFX glasses.

I wanna go to the nightclub but it would be a problem for me and I would definitely get into entertaining trouble  

[ShawniganLake]

Back to back 89s here the past 2 days.   

[Phishy Wx]

10 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

200 miles north of the arctic circle... a low of 70??

the end is near