Still all playing out like '19, '20, and '21.
Try a mental exercise, close your eyes.
Think of cold, snow, a wintery landscape. Think of the cityscapes of Vancouver, Seattle, Portland, and Eugene, and picture them with just globs of snow heaped over them. Keep your eyes closed and imagine maps filled with those pepto pinks and purples. Imagine that arctic air spilling over Vancouver Island and making its way back to Washington and Oregon. Imagine regional blizzard warnings and snow cov
Yeah, the delta on Monday will be telling with Graphcast and Spire. People forget (or don't know) that both models only work off of initialization data and then use various degrees of image based machine learning at very high terrain definitions. Its effectively taking those analog lists to the next level. This means though that there is no real condition modeling taking place, but rather a "I think this feature will develop here because it typically does when these patterns at these levels are
There really aren't a lot of scenarios where the post-election period goes smoothly/quietly.
If Biden wins and it's remotely close, there will be all kinds of cries of rigging and fraud... again. Trump won't have the power of the presidency to try to pull anything off, but I'm sure there will be some kind of effort to try to overturn the results by various state officials and/or some people in Congress.
If Trump wins, I think there will be tremendous backlash from the left... the far left in particular. After the 2016 election, I remember there being a lot of protests (some turned pretty nasty) even before Trump took office. The guy hadn't even done anything yet. I'd expect that to be 100x worse this time.
We're probably in for quite a ride.
Trump wasn't President in 2016 yet we had wild rioting all summer, it's more an election year ploy than anything else. As if on cue campus riots have broken out all over the country in recent weeks, if you haven't noticed.
I just posted a buttload of analysis. Feel free to dig in.
@TT-SEA you still haven't denied being a JEB! supporter.
The swing among folks 18-29 is about 25% towards Trump among folks 18-45. It's only about a 7% swing among people 45-64, and it's basically unchanged from 2020 for voters over 65.
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