January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part I)

[Phishy Wx]

3 minutes ago, SeanNyberg said:

that felt nice. 

EURO holding strong.
GFS sobered up.
GEM... nobody likes GEM anyway. They get one more shot or they're voted out.

Really couldn't ask for better models for a winter weather event 5-6 days out. Just incredible.

It's model Survivor

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

4 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

This isn't just some arctic intrusion or arctic air filtering southward which we've been used to for a decade? This is a prolific, major blast.

And the snow totals will be way higher than shown,  maybe 3 times more. The dynamics will be off the charts.

[RentonHill]

I didnt even notice the 12z had Randy at -12??? lmfao

[CliffMassYelledAtMe]

1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Now let’s head on into the icebox!

Any Fraser winds with this? Wondering about wind chill up in Bellingham and whether I need to prepare my kiddo up at Western. Has been a really mild fall up there so far, and she has no idea about those Fraser winds.

[SnowySeeker50]

Awesome run. Hope to see some of the warmer members shut down tonight in the EPS

[snow_wizard]

Snow on the CA coast is a very real threat if this verifies.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Yeah if there is snowcover these are gonna be into the negatives.

Technically the ECMWF factors in snow cover.  

[Slushy Inch]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

2kold2sno 

Maybe the overall tilt of the setup west would help advect more moisture. This is Phil question I can’t answer

[selkirks]

8 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 8

oh my god.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

And the snow totals will be way higher than shown,  maybe 3 times more. The dynamics will be off the charts.

Next Thursday looks very similar to 12/26/21 to me.   

[Kolk1604]

With snow cover, we might challange 1950 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Currently down to 36 under clear skies. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8.5 850s

[RentonHill]

7 minutes ago, iFred said:

Do it.

everyone DM me ideas for what to put on them. Or i can just pick something really stupid

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

And the snow totals will be way higher than shown,  maybe 3 times more. The dynamics will be off the charts.

They always are with these setups 

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Snow across almost all of the northern 2/3rds of the US next week.

Usually when arctic air is pouring into the west the rest of the country is warm.  

This setup is just so majestic.  Almost a throwback to the 19th century.

[OysterPrintout]

1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Yeah if there is snowcover these are gonna be into the negatives.

models understand snowcover a lot better in scenarios like this where temps are well below freezing so no huge deviations like that

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Maybe the overall tilt of the setup west would help advect more moisture. This is Phil question I can’t answer

Don't mess with this.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Yeah if there is snowcover these are gonna be into the negatives.

Probably residual cloud cover and wind from the frontal passage. 

[Cloud]

This is surreal. Wow. 

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Next Thursday looks very similar to 12/26/21 to me.   

That was a dandy!

[Gradient Keeper]

BLI-YWL gradient of -26mb. Yeah. Yikes.

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

everyone DM me ideas for what to put on them. Or i can just pick something really stupid

IT CAME! 

[iFred]

Just now, Front Ranger said:

I dunno. It'S sTiLL PRetTy wARm In wESteRn CaNADiA.

I mean if you grew up on the crest of the Cascades and then spent your formidable years in the icy wilds of the Maryland Appalachians, than yeah, sure everything is warm and your forever stuck as a beer-drinking-publicly-announcing-sex-haver who is latching on to initialisms in a way to produce some facsimile of a sense of professional belonging as you lord your supreme knowledge in the one forum that doesn't have storm mode or a team of PhDs who like to nit-pick your use of the word "grauple-esque".

Not that I am reading into anything too much.

[Front Ranger]

4 minutes ago, CliffMassYelledAtMe said:

Any Fraser winds with this? Wondering about wind chill up in Bellingham and whether I need to prepare my kiddo up at Western. Has been a really mild fall up there so far, and she has no idea about those Fraser winds.

There would be very strong Fraser winds.

[TT-SEA]

Florida and maybe south Texas is the only way to escape the cold... California definitely does not work! 

[BLI snowman]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Snow on the CA coast is a very real threat if this verifies.

504 thickness line even makes a run across the CA border. Don't think I've ever seen that before...

 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 10

[snow_wizard]

Mind blown!

[Cold Snap]

10 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Surprised snow isnt heavier in western wa with that low placement 

There’s still time for those details to change. I feel like it would be snowier with that low placement.

[RentonHill]

1 minute ago, iFred said:

I mean if you grew up on the crest of the Cascades and then spent your formidable years in the icy wilds of the Maryland Appalachians, than yeah, sure everything is warm and your forever stuck as a beer-drinking-publicly-announcing-sex-haver who is latching on to initialisms in a way to produce some facsimile of a sense of professional belonging as you lord your supreme knowledge in the one forum that doesn't have storm mode or a team of PhDs who like to nit-pick your use of the word "grauple-esque".

Not that I am reading into anything too much.

t-shirt worthy!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

5 minutes ago, CliffMassYelledAtMe said:

Any Fraser winds with this? Wondering about wind chill up in Bellingham and whether I need to prepare my kiddo up at Western. Has been a really mild fall up there so far, and she has no idea about those Fraser winds.

Of course.

[snow_wizard]

Just now, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 10

No words man.

[Slushy Inch]

Gfs probably handling moisture better with this system (more of it).Seems it’s the only area where it sometimes beats euro.

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

That was a dandy!

Was an epic day! 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

High temps in the teens…

[RentonHill]

well time for the EPS to punch us in the nuts

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 10

Wonder how cold Pete’s Sink, Utah will get. 

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 10

Reload!

[Front Ranger]

6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

This setup is just so majestic.  Almost a throwback to the 19th century.

A better time...just kidding.