January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part I)

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Better take a screenshot of the 16/12 day advertised for next Sunday on my phone’s weather app before it’s gone. That’s about the coldest I’ve ever seen it for around here, and may ever see it.

But it will hit 100 degrees at the drop of a hat. 

[Slushy Inch]

May as well check the next couple runs because it still gets close. But I’m ready to call this a wrap

[MossMan]

My phone app hasn’t gotten the memo just yet. 

[Requiem]

Apparently the only way to get snow now is through surprise unforecasted snow events 

[Doinko]

This isn't horrible, cold air makes it over us. I wish that block was stronger though

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6 - ECMWF, GEM, GFS ... Euro still trying to blast the Columbia Basin.

 

[Phil]

Wow that’s a big jump for the euro. I’m legitimately surprised after the CMC went the other way.

[Front Ranger]

3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Better take a screenshot of the 16/12 day advertised for next Sunday on my phone’s weather app before it’s gone. That’s about the coldest I’ve ever seen it for around here, and may ever see it.

Only if weather models improve!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, MillCreekMike said:

Absolutely brutal. I don’t get how it all falls apart that fast in one night of model runs. Gets me every time

That’s the most frustrating part. We invest all this energy for a huge letdown. Even though we always know what will happen. We tell ourselves that D**n Euro will be faithful! 

[SpaceRace22]

Just now, MillCreekMike said:

Absolutely brutal. I don’t get how it all falls apart that fast in one night of model runs. Gets me every time

It's because the pattern we need to get a legitimate arctic blast is so incredibly precarious that it only takes a very minute change to derail the whole thing. For somewhere like the upper midwest or something, they can get freezing cold air from basically any even remotely common pattern, so the details don't matter nearly as much as they do for us.

[Slushy Inch]

Still should get pretty cold in western WA this run maybe a weak Arctic front. Still close enough for a small shift to bring it back.

[BLI snowman]

On the bright side, we only have 6 more days for it to trend worse from here.

[Gradient Keeper]

Ridge connection complete. Key factor.

[TT-SEA]

ECMWF still shows temps falling and snow in western WA on Thursday.

[Cold Snap]

Well looks like the January curse strikes again.

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

But it will hit 100 degrees at the drop of a hat. 

Totally unrelated though.

[SnowySeeker50]

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, BLI snowman said:

On the bright side, we only have 6 more days for it to trend worse from here.

You mean its not going to play out precisely as the models show tonight?  

Could go the other way too.  

[Mercurial]

Even here it looks like we only drop into the single digits below zero, or so.

[Gradient Keeper]

Euro is actually damn close to being as prolific cold as previous runs.

[Slushy Inch]

At least I still get flakes this run.

[the_convergence_zone]

Could be worse, far from a full rug pull. We’ll see what the ensembles say… 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

00z EURO for next Thursday afternoon. Colder than the GEM and GFS.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, BLI snowman said:

On the bright side, we only have 6 more days for it to trend worse from here.

Yeah PDX will be setting record highs by next weekend. 
 

We are at the point now where Oregon folks have moved on to the grief stage while Washington posters are still in denial and pointing out phantom snow maps. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

My phone app hasn’t gotten the memo just yet. 

Below 32 with no snow is a waste

[Doinko]

Just now, Gradient Keeper said:

Euro is actually D**n close to being as prolific cold as previous runs.

Yeah, looks like that lobe of very cold air rotates over us even with the weak blocking.

[Requiem]

Oh... still gets cold but man I hope this is just a mediation and not an admittance that the GFS is right.

[Front Ranger]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That’s the most frustrating part. We invest all this energy for a huge letdown. Even though we always know what will happen. We tell ourselves that D**n Euro will be faithful! 

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Cold Snap said:

Well looks like the January curse strikes again.

Maybe a slam dunk situation during La Nina

[Gradient Keeper]

Far better than I expected.

[Cloud]

We went from prolific cold to foothills event.

[Phishy Wx]

4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

But it will hit 100 degrees at the drop of a hat. 

You act like thats surprising.  To me thats now expected

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

But it will hit 100 degrees at the drop of a hat. 

I don't remember any 100s this past summer.   Not even many days above 90 for us.   We got screwed out of our heat blast. 

[Kolk1604]

1 minute ago, SnowySeeker50 said:

Posting that is pointless

[Slushy Inch]

[RentonHill]

We still in the game. Barely

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Phew!

[Mercurial]

Alaska winz again

[Doinko]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

I don't remember any 100s this past summer.   Not even many days above 90 for us.   We got screwed out of our heat blast. 

We managed a 107/76 day here, that was ridiculous. Just 2 years after June 2021, actually a warmer low.

[Gradient Keeper]

Euro is very cold.