January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[Rubus Leucodermis]

5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

It’s looking like all models have completely abandoned even the first shade of gray over my area. My absolute biggest nightmare is coming true. This one is toast. 
Fingers crossed for February. 

Like your new avatar pic. Most appropriate.

[TT-SEA]

[MossMan]

Back to watching The Fuzz for signs of negative life again. GO SSW!! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Cold air advancing south, warm wet air pushing north...

[Doinko]

GFS looks good

 

[TT-SEA]

GFS now locked in on Portland.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Doinko said:

GFS looks good

 

It made a slight wobble south. I have a feeling we could see a little snow down to about Albany if this trend holds. GFS is still a little further north than other models with the low. 

[Timmy]

3 minutes ago, Doinko said:

GFS looks good

 

Icon looks fine

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Cold air advancing south, warm wet air pushing north...

Would be nice to at least see a flake or two out this entire thing, there is hope for next week…Possibly. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This run has incredible amounts of ice for the Central and South Valley. I think folks from about Salem to Eugene need to hope at least some of that ends up as sleet. 

[Timmy]

Meanwhile just outside of town where I live we have a little snow still in the grass. Roads froze completely the last hour and the county isn’t on it. Lots of cars sliding off the road

[TacomaWx]

lol about to start praying for Randy to get snow so his weenie meltdown ends

[MikeInEverett]

Yep I’m about ready to wave the white flag on this one. Have fun Portland!! That’ll be a super fun and memorable event down there.

[ShawniganLake]

24 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Pretty sure he meant needing to start another PNW thread.  

I don’t understand starting a new thread. Does it matter how many pages there are?

[Olive1010]

The low is trending more south, is there a chance Portland sees nothing?

[SnarkyGoblin]

Just now, ShawniganLake said:

I don’t understand starting a new thread. Does it matter how many pages there are?

At one point it was for technical reasons I think?  Not sure if that's the case now.

[Front Ranger]

11 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Like your new avatar pic. Most appropriate.

Portland didn't get much with that one...

[Rubus Leucodermis]

12Z HRDPS. Drier than the 06Z. No bueno.

[ShawniganLake]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

lol about to start praying for Randy to get snow so his weenie meltdown ends

Haha. Just give him a flurry at least.  This front is going to be pretty cool.  Victoria is forecast to hit 14F with a strong outflow tonight.  Parts of the city haven’t even had a freeze yet this winter.  Talk about a shock. 

[Requiem]

GEM is further north-- just enough to push heavy precip into the south metro 

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said:

Haha. Just give him a flurry at least.  This front is going to be pretty cool.  Victoria is forecast to hit 14F with a strong outflow tonight.  Parts of the city haven’t even had a freeze yet this winter.  Talk about a shock. 

I’m just excited to see something like this finally happen even if we don’t get snow. I’ve seen arctic fronts but this is probably the most potent one in my lifetime. 

[ShawniganLake]

Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

12Z HRDPS. Drier than the 06Z. No bueno.

Nice upslope for the Port Angeles guy.  Also look for snow squalls to develop on the outflow boundary north of Nanaimo tonight. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, Front Ranger said:

Portland didn't get much with that one...

Sorta irrelevant, as neither of us live there. Just another dry blast.

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

lol about to start praying for Randy to get snow so his weenie meltdown ends

Meltdown forecast is looking great!!!  

I have accepted it, just needed to get it out of my system this morning after what little snow chances I had in the model world for today completely vanished as well. Worse case scenario came true. Cold without snow is not magical, it’s just another ordinary day. 

[Fircrest]

I'm not sure where I'm at in the 7 or 8 stages of grief. Probably mourning with some anger mixed in. So much time investing tracking this thing. Yesterday there was some hope, but overnight it vanished like Pacific moisture meeting a dry air mass.  Not even the possibility of virga.  Anyway, enjoy your snow Portland.  Sure hope Tiger gets a sub-freezing high.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

12 minutes ago, Doinko said:

GFS looks good

 

 

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

GFS now locked in on Portland.

Huge ice storm for Eugene if the GFS verifies. Never seen it spit out 2” of freezing rain.

 

 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I’m just excited to see something like this finally happen even if we don’t get snow. I’ve seen arctic fronts but this is probably the most potent one in my lifetime. 

I’m just excited that I once owned a choice vintage bottle of Dom Perignon, even if my psycho ex poured it down the toilet and I didn’t get to drink any of it.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Slightly colder in the WV on Monday according to the GFS. Don't even think about temps above freezing. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 minute ago, Fircrest said:

I'm not sure where I'm at in the 7 or 8 stages of grief. Probably mourning with some anger mixed in. So much time investing tracking this thing. Yesterday there was some hope, but overnight it vanished like Pacific moisture meeting a dry air mass.  Not even the possibility of virga.  Anyway, enjoy your snow Portland.  Sure hope Tiger gets a sub-freezing high.

Sounds like a loved one has died.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

00z here she comes.

[Roman-Dallas Snow-Zone]

2 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

 

Huge ice storm for Eugene if the GFS verifies. Never seen it spit out 2” of freezing rain.

 

 

If that happens much of the city will be out of power for weeks 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Frontal Snowsquall said:

 

Huge ice storm for Eugene if the GFS verifies. Never seen it spit out 2” of freezing rain.

 

 

If the more northern GFS/GEM tracks win out then I'm looking at 1-2" of ZR up here too. You can see it on this map. 

[Roman-Dallas Snow-Zone]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

If the more northern GFS/GEM tracks win out then I'm looking at 1-2" of ZR up here too. You can see it on this map. 

Not good, 2021 repeat ice devastation 

[Fircrest]

1 minute ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Sounds like a loved one has died.

I know it's just weather, and I'm being overly dramatic, but I'm with Randy on this one.  Cold air without snow is such a waste! Send all the weenies you want everybody....

[North_County]

11 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

lol about to start praying for Randy to get snow so his weenie meltdown ends

He's not used to being the one left out. And it shows.

[Christensen87]

Yeah, what a bummer. Happy for the PDX folks though. So what model would we say best performed here? GFS always showed the system and moisture, just location was a bit off. Euro showed no system or moisture at all though. 

[TacomaWx]

Just now, Fircrest said:

I know it's just weather, and I'm being overly dramatic, but I'm with Randy on this one.  Cold air without snow is such a waste! Send all the weenies you want everybody....

I’m filling in for Jim with the optimism and some of the models still show some hope for us today! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Willamette Valley stays below freezing Tuesday. 

[Kayla]

Portland!!

Currently 4F here after 4" of snow last night. Arctic front is still set to arrive here this evening along with another 3-5" of snowfall. Beginning tonight, it will likely not rise above zero until Monday. Windchill Advisories are up through Sunday with wind chills of -50F.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Roman-Dallas Snow-Zone said:

Not good, 2021 repeat ice devastation 

Honestly it could be worse. Hopefully the places that got it in 2021 will be more snow/sleet this time, but someone is going to get annihilated. Once again I think the ice is going to be the big story.