January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[Cascadia_Wx]

The EPS says we might get chilly again around the 19th/20th. As of now I’m not seeing much of a torchy signal on long range models.

[Deweydog]

Down to 15/-2 in Oroville

[SnowWillarrive]

3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

icon a further north and stronger, looks good pdx and moisture closer to puget sound.

We still got time to get in the game

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, sherwoodor said:

new blogpost from Mark

https://www.kptv.com/2024/01/11/friday-forecast-tough-choice-schools-businesses-saturday-snow-ice-storm/

He's pushing the goods out for PDX until Saturday... 

 

 

To light on the totals. This is going to be a huge HUGE event.

[North_County]

8 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

I guess the website that tracked pressure gradients doesn't include Canada any more.  Whatcom County Weather page is tracking it manually, and CYWL-BLI is currently -17.2

Yeah, I tried to find it from an old link the other day, to no avail.

[Sandy rocks]

38 degrees and mixed rain/snow. Heavy showers.

[sherwoodor]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

To light on the totals. This is going to be a huge HUGE event.

He's REALLY rooting for that southern track. I mean I understand, a lot less on-air time if thats the case...

[TacomaWx]

On and off awesome graupel/snow here. Nice band setting up here. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

4 minutes ago, sherwoodor said:

He's REALLY rooting for that southern track. I mean I understand, a lot less on-air time if thats the case...

I guess he shouldn’t have gone into TV meteorology if exciting weather was going to be a problem  

[DDDRWx]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Down to 15/-2 in Oroville

Back in the travel trailer days, frequented Wannacut Lake frequently.  Been to Oriville a few times.  Nice Area.  Amazing fishing in that lake most years.

[bainbridgekid]

Suddenly dumping in Mill Creek under a small intense cell that just popped up.

 

[Mercurial]

Hell of a storm; wrapping up now

 

[Tyler Mode]

Current position....

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, Mercurial said:

Hell of a storm; wrapping up now

 

Current Temp?

[TacomaWx]

Whatcom county down into the low 20s. 

[Front Ranger]

4 minutes ago, Mercurial said:

Hell of a storm; wrapping up now

 

What's your temp?

I see Kalispell is currently reporting heavy snow, temp -5 and sustained gusts to 46 mph. Wind chill of -34.

[Parrot]

Nowcast: heavy chunks starying to fall at my GF's plce here in Lynnwood 

[RentonHill]

5 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Suddenly dumping in Mill Creek under a small intense cell that just popped up.

 

Think that’s what I’m seeing way out my window…

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

This fuckker has some go power, that is about the fastest i have seen temps crash in north sound and that air making this fast of progress.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Flurries. 30.7˚F.

[Front Ranger]

1 minute ago, RentonHill said:

Think that’s what I’m seeing way out my window…

 

Sweet view. You're pretty high up.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

The EPS says we might get chilly again around the 19th/20th. As of now I’m not seeing much of a torchy signal on long range models.

By Monday I would expect to see El Nino conditions return. And let's just ignore that cluster of cold ensemble members. 

Edited January 11 by SilverFallsAndrew

[RentonHill]

1 minute ago, Front Ranger said:

Sweet view. You're pretty high up.

Borrowing someone else's office for the day 

[the_convergence_zone]

Lovely 45 degree day here. Waiting for the hammer to drop. Not often we get a >20F drop from a front around here. 

[TT-SEA]

Not sure why long range is being discussed on the cusp of an historic event.    I am not sure what you would call this pattern on the EPS after the middle of next on the week but its certainly not a troughy signal.    

[Rubus Leucodermis]

So far, NAM 3km and HRDPS have absolutely nailed it up here.

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

This fuckker has some go power, that is about the fastest i have seen temps crash in north sound and that air making this fast of progress.

Which is unfortunate, would have been nice to have it stall right around my place. 

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Not sure why long range is being discussed on the cusp of an historic event.    I am not sure what you would call this pattern on the EPS after the middle of next on the week but its certainly not a troughy signal.    

It’s just resetting for an epic February coming up with the MEGA SSW COMING!! 
 

ITS COMING! And this time it’s going to snow at my house!!!!! 

[Front Ranger]

GFS is already too warm with surface temps in northern WA.

[SouthHillFrosty]

BOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!

[TT-SEA]

7 minutes ago, MossMan said:

It’s just resetting for an epic February coming up with the MEGA SSW COMING!! 
 

ITS COMING! And this time it’s going to snow at my house!!!!! 

Definitely could.   But its the opposite of what we have now.  I guess even that it great.  

[Kayla]

18z GFS looks stronger with cold air push.

[Front Ranger]

Just now, Kayla said:

18z GFS looks stronger with cold air push.

Yep. Which means Fri/Sat low will likely be further south.

[Skagit Weather]

6 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

So far, NAM 3km and HRDPS have absolutely nailed it up here.

NAM 3km was about 4 hours too quick with the arrival of cold air. Can't really make any judgements about snowfall yet other than it was correct that nothing has fallen here.

[Front Ranger]

5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

BOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!

Yay, Jim.

[Front Ranger]

Poor GFS. Two days ago:

 

Now:

[Doinko]

Saturday looks amazing for PDX

 

 

[MikeInEverett]

I hate this so much. Snowing to my north and south. CZ split up and left DT Everett in the screw zone. 
 

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Yep. Which means Fri/Sat low will likely be further south.

At hour 42 its coming more north. As it drops to down 995, its actually a little more south then the 12z

[TT-SEA]

New RDPS rolling out now... through tomorrow so far.

@ShawniganLake you say this model is good through 24-48 hours??   We will see.