February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[Deweydog]

20 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

I wish we all lived at 1500+ feet 

On-air meteorologist Phil Connors agrees.

[Front Ranger]

With 12.56" of rain this month, downtown LA has seen their fourth wettest February on record, and is only about an inch behind the wettest on record (Feb 1998). 

They have already blown past their average annual precip, after a 2023 that saw more than double average rain.

[DareDuck]

14 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

I already told my sons that one of them will have to come home and clear the driveway if we get enough snow.    Not going to try doing that with a partially torn ACL.   Good news is that one of my sons will be skiing all the time if the mountains get buried and he loves clearing the driveway.   In fact he probably wouldn't even use the snowblower because he likes making bigger snowbanks by shoveling.   

Your son sounds like me. I actually enjoy shoveling and I like to place the snow where I want it. 

[Omegaraptor]

3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

With 12.56" of rain this month, downtown LA has seen their fourth wettest February on record, and is only about an inch behind the wettest on record (Feb 1998). 

They have already blown past their average annual precip, after a 2023 that saw more than double average rain.

Looks like the highest temp San Diego has seen this February is just 66. Parts of the PNW got warmer than that on 1/28!

[Front Ranger]

27 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

While some of the west sides have had good scores with Feb, it wasn't a good month in K-Falls from 2020-2022. I forgot if they had snow last February down there. They went from a top tier snowy/cold one to multiple dry ones in a row..

Doesn't look like Klamath Falls even tracks snowfall?

[Timmy Supercell]

1 minute ago, Front Ranger said:

Doesn't look like Klamath Falls even tracks snowfall?

They have CoCoRaHs sites there, one of them I followed most got taken off the network I think but there is another in downtown that I hope is reliable.

But yeah, their airport doesn't report snow. 

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF does show snow for most areas east of I-5 on Monday.  

[SnowWillarrive]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF does show snow for most areas east of I-5 on Monday.  

I’m liking that for EPSL. Maybe will make up for the last two events. 

[MossMan]

Go team Euro!! 

[Slushy Inch]

Euro has Arctic air a lot closer…

[Slushy Inch]

Feeling pretty good about pscz snow accumulations!

[bainbridgekid]

516mb line and -9 850mb temps almost reach Everett on the 12z Euro. Also increases moisture a bit for more snow chances Sunday night and Monday night.

 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Euro has Arctic air a lot closer…

Is this the "fart in the wind" thing again?    Not my words.  

[TT-SEA]

AR event for western WA on Wednesday per the ECMWF. 

 

[the_convergence_zone]

8 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

516mb line and -9 850mb temps almost reach Everett on the 12z Euro. Also increases moisture a bit for more snow chances Sunday night and Monday night.

 

Monday should be a fun day. Given the frigid 850s, it isn't surprising that the Euro has some surface CAPE and lightning on Monday. Every little shower is likely to be a graupel producer...the better organized stuff could drag the snow level down to the surface. I also like that the vort max is expected to swing through in the late afternoon hours (although that could change)...the combo of springtime surface heating and some upper level lift tends to make for some fun weather. It will be interesting to see what the meoscale models think of that setup once it gets in range. 

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Greatness is within arms reach for the lowlands. Just gotta get a bit more precip, and the low to go more south.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

12 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

I have often thought Peshastin would be the perfect mix for me.  Kind of a split between Leavenworth and Cashmere.

Definitely more snow than Cashmere.  Probably  cheaper to live there too compared to town.  And the Wenatchee River runs right through that area.  Also close access to highway 97, which goes to Blewett Pass and then you can access I-90.

[the_convergence_zone]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

AR event for western WA on Wednesday per the ECMWF. 

 

I guess with the GEFS hinting at this it was only a matter of time before one of the Euro op runs picked up on it. Seems like it's still up in the air whether we get fully warm sector'd or not. 

[snow_wizard]

Snow for King County Monday night on the 12z ECMWF.  850s drop to -9.

[ShawniganLake]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

AR event for western WA on Wednesday per the ECMWF. 

 

Wow. Major AR setup after the early week snow chances. Multi day heavy rain incoming. 

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

44 minutes ago, DareDuck said:

Your son sounds like me. I actually enjoy shoveling and I like to place the snow where I want it. 

Snow shoveling/snow blowing is usually quite enjoyable, especially making a giant pile of snow that will take atleast weeks to melt, but by then I usually get more snow so I just keep adding to the pile.

[TT-SEA]

Copious rain next week on the 12Z ECMWF... temps get close to 60 in there on Thursday.  

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Wow. Major AR setup after the early week snow chances. Multi day heavy rain incoming. 

Rare to see that out of the west, Would be massive snow for the cascades.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Copious rain next week on the 12Z ECMWF... temps get close to 60 in there on Thursday.  

Every model is different and every run is very different past monday. Wild set up.

[ShawniganLake]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Rare to see that out of the west, Would be massive snow for the cascades.

It quickly pivots to a strong SW flow with a sub tropical connection. 

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Copious rain next week on the 12Z ECMWF... temps get close to 60 in there on Thursday.  

Olympics would get their much needed snow if this verifies 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Copious rain next week on the 12Z ECMWF... temps get close to 60 in there on Thursday.  

Euro completely alone on this idea. 

[Front Ranger]

15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Is this the "fart in the wind" thing again?    Not my words.  

A watered down piece of it makes it here!

[snow_wizard]

The warm layer of water in the eastern Equatorial Pacific is paper thin now.  When that cold bubble surfaces the crash will be spectacular.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Snow totals from ecmwf 10:1 ratio, could someone post kuchera?

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

The warm layer of water in the eastern Equatorial Pacific is paper thin now.  When that cold bubble surfaces the crash will be spectacular.

Might already be happening!

[snow_wizard]

42/26 next Tuesday on the ECMWF.  Nice little cold shot.

The amount of rain after that is probably over done.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Might already be happening!

I'm watching it.  Not quite yet.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

8 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Every model is different and every run is very different past monday. Wild set up.

Temps crash back down to below normal after this. Maybe a 24hr period of near or above normal temps. 

[bainbridgekid]

Mid-upper 20's across the board Monday night on the 12z Euro.

 

[snow_wizard]

6 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Temps crash back down to below normal after this. Maybe a 24hr period of near or above normal temps. 

That's what it looks like at this point.  This Graph Cast run was much quicker to push the second trough eastward like the EPS has shown.

[snow_wizard]

Just now, bainbridgekid said:

Mid-upper 20's across the board Monday night on the 12z Euro.

 

And a decent snow in SW King County!

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, SnowWillarrive said:

I wish we all lived at 1500+ feet 

We do alright on the 12z ECMWF.  The Kuchera is on board with it too.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

That second punch is too far West

[snow maniac]

Not excited about the next snow potential with that NW flow, it can really kill my area of precipitation.