Madtown Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 Finally enough to get everything covered. About 1" maybe and inch of lake effect overnight....Game on! 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 Denison,IA AWOS III reporting the impossible!!! Dewpoint higher the temp!!! KDNS 140355Z AUTO 25005KT 10SM CLR M07/M06 A3022 RMK AO2 4 2 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just got home. I definitely missed out on a nice snow event from fri nite-sat. Still 2.5-3" on patio table after compaction and a little melting so I bet I had close to 4" from this storm. Couple inches still in the driveway so tomorrow ill get my first shoveling in for the season. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 Happy Monday! With the Christmas Holiday quickly approaching, how welcomed would it be for nature to send us a Christmas Storm to track?? It is looking more likely that we will be tracking another southern stream storm for the Christmas Eve/Day period. The EPS has been rock steady and so have been the GEFS sniffing out our next big ticket storm potential. Teleconnections support a storm that will probably take a southerly route and not cut so much NW into the W GL's region. I'm still trying to figure out if this will be one large storm or a 2-part wave. Nonetheless, with a -AO/-NAO and +PNA during this period, it doesn't appear like there will be a strong SER present. I like the look of last nights 00z EPS MSLP...could this be our 2nd "share the wealth"??? Based on this track, it would appear to hit some of us who missed out from the last storm. Lower Lakes/OHV cutter??? Big uptick in the snow mean across the GL's through Christmas Day... 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 Looks like cloud cover might keep me from getting below zero. It's welllllll below zero in places to the North and East where it's clear. 1°F, wind chill -11°F. 4 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 .WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow is expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are forecast, with localized higher amounts possible. * WHERE...Portions of central and south central Nebraska. * WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 6 PM CST Tuesday. The majority of snowfall accumulation is expected to occur between midnight tonight and midday Tuesday. * WIND...Wind through the overnight hours tonight will remain east to southeasterly, with speeds around 10 to 15 MPH. During the daytime hours on Tuesday, the wind will turn to the north, with speeds around 10 MPH. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Reductions in visibility in areas of heavier snow rates are likely. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. 4 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 9 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: .WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow is expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are forecast, with localized higher amounts possible. * WHERE...Portions of central and south central Nebraska. * WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 6 PM CST Tuesday. The majority of snowfall accumulation is expected to occur between midnight tonight and midday Tuesday. * WIND...Wind through the overnight hours tonight will remain east to southeasterly, with speeds around 10 to 15 MPH. During the daytime hours on Tuesday, the wind will turn to the north, with speeds around 10 MPH. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Reductions in visibility in areas of heavier snow rates are likely. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. Snow-on-Snow...always nice to experience without having to deal with any melting in between. Good luck! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 The official total seasonal snow fall at Grand Rapids remains at 0.4" that is now 14.8" below average as of this date. Most of this week looks to be dry and thus snowless. There was a trace of snow fall here at my house overnight. At the current time it is cloudy and 29 here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 11 minutes ago, Tom said: Snow-on-Snow...always nice to experience without having to deal with any melting in between. Good luck! Correct. We rarely get snow on snow. Usually there is time between with plenty of melting. Not much melting since the Friday night/Saturday morning storm. Right now we are at 7 degrees with a wind chill of -2 and the fog and clouds have rolled back in. NWS Hastings thinks temps will struggle today as the clouds thicken and the storm arrives. The one thing missing will be the typical wind we receive with virtually every storm. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 Possible mood flakes for IN/S MI posters mid-week while the east coast gets clobbered! I'm sure JB is salivating at what the Euro is showing. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 Snow to the North, South, East and West. No hope for snow here next week. Going to need a Christmas week miracle or we head towards the New Year basically snowless. Never seen that happen here. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just spoke to my buddy in central PA near Amish country...he said he's preparing his John Deere and hunkering down... Now, these are the weenie runs I'd like to experience one day... 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said: .WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow is expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are forecast, with localized higher amounts possible. * WHERE...Portions of central and south central Nebraska. * WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 6 PM CST Tuesday. The majority of snowfall accumulation is expected to occur between midnight tonight and midday Tuesday. * WIND...Wind through the overnight hours tonight will remain east to southeasterly, with speeds around 10 to 15 MPH. During the daytime hours on Tuesday, the wind will turn to the north, with speeds around 10 MPH. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Reductions in visibility in areas of heavier snow rates are likely. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. Looks like you've broke the ice. Here's to hoping the snows keep coming and put a dent in your drought. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 Take a shot every time you see the words "minimal impact" in FGF's AFD this morning. Screw this endless pattern lol 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 8 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said: Take a shot every time you see the words "minimal impact" in FGF's AFD this morning. Screw this endless pattern lol I have the word "quiet" "dry" and "near normal temps" in GRR AFD for the last 2 weeks outside of Saturdays rain storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 Cloudy and seasonably cold attm w temps at 30F. I think I saw a flurry fly by my office window just now. Rest of the week remains dry and slightly BN. By the weekend, temps climb into the low 40s w the possibility of some wet weather. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 BRUTAL! Another system to miss KC., The system is weird, pulses us west of here, dies when it gets to KC, and then ramps up again east of here. WHAT? HOW?? DANG IT!! The latest GFS, AWFUL! Zero storms and a lot of warm days in there. I'm beginning to wonder if KC will see any snow this month. The folks that get the snow.....again, have fun! Looks like maybe 2-4 inches from Nebraska to Oklahoma. BTW, cold morning here in KC, I dropped to 17 at my house. First low in the teens this winter season. It does feel like Dec. outside. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 Currently in Detroit Lakes, where the wind chill is -17°F. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 hour ago, MIKEKC said: BRUTAL! Another system to miss KC., The system is weird, pulses us west of here, dies when it gets to KC, and then ramps up again east of here. WHAT? HOW?? DANG IT!! It's amazing, even comical, all of the creative ways snowstorms have bypassed our area over a long number of years now. You'd think once in awhile we'd get hammered by just dumb luck, but nope. It's mind numbing. 1 1 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 Long range pattern isn't looking promising. No snow of any concern showing up on the GFS/Canadian or Euro in the next 10 days. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, bud2380 said: Long range pattern isn't looking promising. No snow of any concern showing up on the GFS/Canadian or Euro in the next 10 days. Euro has me pushing 50 by next Monday. Sad. Cold will be locked up in Canada for quite some time still with no sign of intruding into the Lower 48. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, mlgamer said: It's amazing, even comical, all of the creative ways snowstorms have bypassed our area over a long number of years now. You'd think once in awhile we'd get hammered by just dumb luck, but nope. It's mind numbing. I recently researched back to December 2013 and found Topeka has only had three snowfalls of 4 inches or greater during the past seven years! We rarely get any big hits here any more...sad. Feb 4, 2014: 13.0" Nov 25, 2018: 6.0" Dec 15/16, 2019: 4.5" 2 1 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beltrami Island Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 -8f here this morning. Car said -10. Not that remarkable vs averages, but the sunshine is glorious. I swear it's seems like it's been weeks since I had seen the sun fully 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 12z Euro advertising a couple snow events for parts of the N GL's @Madtown and N MN peeps look to cash in... @Nikomay get lucky??? The Wed/Thu system seems to be inching a bit farther N with its snow shield. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 14, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 Got back home from a little shopping and the brisk wind out of the NW has a bit of a bite to it with temps hovering around 31F. That's pretty sad actually to think that feels cold after what has been such a warm month. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 Anyone traveling to NYC Wed-Th time frame or nearby cities on the EC? Here is what you will encounter: Looks like 18-24"+ on the way for the "Big Apple." Wednesday Snow Likely and Breezy High: 35 °F Wednesday Night Heavy Snow and Windy Low: 27 °F Thursday Heavy Snow and Windy High: 33 °F 1 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 55 minutes ago, Beltrami Island said: -8f here this morning. Car said -10. Not that remarkable vs averages, but the sunshine is glorious. I swear it's seems like it's been weeks since I had seen the sun fully Yeah I noticed it was way colder up by the Lake of the Woods. Enjoy the sun! Took a while to come out down here this morning. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 Well, ECMWF has a storm Christmas Day. Unfortunately it's fairly warm and mostly a rainer. But could produce some cold behind it temporarily. That's about all we got at this point. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 5 at KLNK this morning. Partly cloudy with temps in the low 20s this afternoon. Only slightly below average, but I'm glad to get a bit of snow cover and cold temps. 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beltrami Island Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 18 minutes ago, someweatherdude said: Comparing to 2009-10 Low point of sunspot activity -- Check La Nina -- Check Negative AO- Check So far, very different winters. I've never been a big believer in analogs. No matter how many similarities you can find, there are always differences that could matter just as much. And as much as I enjoy reading long-term prognosticating, I've given up believing that there is any real value to it. Based on trends and forecasts, KC may very well make it through December without a single snow flake. That's pretty bad, even for KC. 2009-10 was el nino. But I do agree that analog years don't seem to be very useful predictors. The only exception I would say is strong el nino years like 97-98, and 2015-16. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 2 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 Didn't get above 5 in Detroit Lakes today. Apparently Fargo got to 8. WAA is creeping in so it's likely we'll see highs at 23:59. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 Looks like some snow showing up on the 27th for far northern mn near Canadian border 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted December 14, 2020 Report Share Posted December 14, 2020 (edited) Its really cool not having snowfall of any appreciable size to measure or anything and then bam.... I say that to express this, there have been many years in which I have watched the sun cut all the snow down to nothing in a day due to its intensity alone. On dark colored radiating objects, especially given that the snow fell at high liquid ratios, its astounding that the snow is not gone today and still stands at around 2-3 in on those surfaces. My point is, the sun's sleepy and has been for what seems like forever in "solar time". I may beat my all-time length of snowcover record this winter in Jan-Feb if this happens like I see it to play out. Has anyone else noticed their snow hanging around in more adverse conditions than before this season? Odd question but just thinking out loud, I suppose. Edited December 15, 2020 by OKwx2k4 Edited to fix part of post about snowcover record. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whatitdo Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 hours ago, Stacsh said: Well, ECMWF has a storm Christmas Day. Unfortunately it's fairly warm and mostly a rainer. But could produce some cold behind it temporarily. That's about all we got at this point. How do we get this to become colder like what is plausible that can happen? Lot of EPS members showing snow so the potential is obviously there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 While there is no snow here in the metro Grand Rapids area you do not have to go too far north before there is snow. We went to Ludington today and even before you leave Kent County there is snow on the ground. Along US 10 there is about 3 to 5" of snow on the ground. And about 3" in Ludington. At this time it is a rather cold (for this winter so far) 24 here. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Here are some pictures from today along US 10 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whatitdo Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Lol @ this temperature outlook 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 8 hours ago, Tom said: 12z Euro advertising a couple snow events for parts of the N GL's @Madtown and N MN peeps look to cash in... @Nikomay get lucky??? The Wed/Thu system seems to be inching a bit farther N with its snow shield. when is this? no snow from now till next tues in the forecast? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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