SouthHillFrosty Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 All hope is lost 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Oh well. I lived thru 1996-2003. It’ll be ok. Exactly. It happens and that stretch prepared us for our present disappointments. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Winter starts in 16 days! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 I wouldn't mind a February 2019 redux out here! 6 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 15, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Perhaps we could still have a nice little quick hitter like January 2012 or 2020. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 All is not lost. 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Now 17 days since PDX last saw frost. Yesterday’s 55/38 day there actually LOWERED the monthly temp average. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 CPC is still onboard! 3 3 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 10 minutes ago, Kayla said: CPC is still onboard! Yesterday it was a slight risk, now a moderate risk, albeit only for parts of WA and Idaho. And they don't use 12Z guidance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 25 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Now 17 days since PDX last saw frost. Yesterday’s 55/38 day there actually LOWERED the monthly temp average. Southern California is in the mid 90's today and some city down there will probably break our hottest Jan temp record. So in the last 6 months we have had the hottest July, Aug, Sept, and Oct and most likely warmest Jan as well. It's also 56F here currently with normal being 41F 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 I don’t know what happened between Silverton and Mt Angel the other night, but the damage is incredible. Highway 214 between Silverton and Mt Angel is closed as they continue replacing the power poles that were blown down. Lots of very large trees blown down in Mt Angel. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 From the 12z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: From the 12z Score Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 @SouthHillFrosty 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 11 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: @SouthHillFrosty Thanks for posting. I was about to ask!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 It updated! 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 -NAO back in full force with this run. Also toying with the idea of an awkwardly placed and tilted, but extraordinarily amplified block in the NPac. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 14 minutes ago, The Blob said: It updated! She is NOT dressed for an Arctic blast. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: She is NOT dressed for an Arctic blast. She's reverse jinxing. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 18z is a house of horrors. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 52/45 spread today. Partly sunny...hoping for another good sunset tonight. Running a +3.9 degree anomaly on the month as of today. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 18z is a house of horrors. Definitely kinda funky looking. Hopefully the ensembles are still good. The last 4 gfs runs have been all over the place. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Weird look. Not terrible. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Tstorm pattern a week from Tuesday??? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Way too much energy diving offshore on today's runs (especially the EPS and GFS.) That forces SW flow in the upper levels which eliminates any real cold air threat even for BC. Reversing that trend will be key to us ending up with anything meaningful. Good news is the general theme of blocking continues through the extended so it could easily meander back into a sweet spot later toward the end of the month or in early February if the January 22-28th stuff doesn't work out. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 January 2005? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: January 2005? I thought you worked during the 18z?? Or is that only during good runs? 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: This whole thing has gone to sh*t. 516 heights off the coast of Northern California with 555 heights in Southern BC. Gross. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 For better or worse, the pattern won’t look like that 11 days from now. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Troughs sure want to go west over the ocean this winter. Sucks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 1 minute ago, FroYoBro said: Troughs sure want to go west over the ocean this winter. Sucks. All those previous pleas for retrogression have REAL consequences. Lessons learned... 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Really, it's not as bad as people are saying. The overall theme of NPac blocking is present. Of course minor details won't be worked out until a few days out. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just a bunch of horseshitt on the 18z. It’s 90 something degrees all over the place in southern Cal...it shows more more snow in San Gabriel mts falling than anywhere in Oregon. Not going to happen 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, Kayla said: I thought you worked during the 18z?? Or is that only during good runs? Looks like I dropped in just in time Got any obscure control runs to add? This thing looks awful! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 9 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: 516 heights off the coast of Northern California with 555 heights in Southern BC. Gross. And it just spins off the coast so we get no cold air or any significant moisture. Hopefully this run is out to lunch Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, BLI snowman said: Looks like I dropped in just in time Got any obscure control runs to add? This thing looks awful! Lemme see what I can find...oh yes here is the EPS control run! 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 Nice afternoon... fairly sunny from about Kelso northward. We are rapidly approaching the end of the inversion season (approximately Nov 20 - Jan 20). 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 15, 2021 Report Share Posted January 15, 2021 It looks like the OP run is on the warmer end of solutions for the 18z. In fact, mean block axis on that reorganization is primed to drop more cold air southward. Also cold air much more prevalent. 3 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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