SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Unfortunately there is consensus. The GFS is just an outlier. Have a blessed day. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 6 Great. Now I am nauseous. Yucky that sucky...just a hair east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, RentonHillTC said: My point was that i wasnt seeing a huge setback on this run compared to previous, but I guess we needed more than "not a huge setback" to make magic happen Radiational cooling at night is not a good gauge of the big picture... the 12Z ECMWF is a mess. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Hooray for model consistency after Day 2.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 JMA agrees with ICON, GEM, EURO. I suspect the Korean model agrees as well. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 850s -11c to -13c Gorge/Columbia Basin. Colder than you would think given the 500mb pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 I’m heading back up into the attic to get the kids inflatable pool. 3 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Some strong easterlies at least... 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, DJ Droppin said: Hooray for model consistency after Day 2.5 Sheesh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtep Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 22 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: This popped up on my FB feed from today in 2019 Don't remember which night it was exactly, but I was delivering pizzas with a 0 degree wind chill that February and it was a f****** blast. This was back when I used to close, so I got to cruise around empty/snowy Bham streets til 2 in the morning watching the flakes come down. Good times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Day 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: JMA agrees with ICON, GEM, EURO. I suspect the Korean model agrees as well. Don't forget about the Indonesian model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Model trend. ECMWF, GEM, GFS. They couldn't be anymore different! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 And the JAYA model was just getting onboard...What a disaster this has turned into. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, MossMan said: I’m heading back up into the attic to get the kids inflatable pool. The way this is going we won't know how Monday will shake out until Sunday night. Either way you will need the pool for either skating or swimming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 I tried to make it seem like i was throwing the models into the ocean but close enough 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 How do the weeklies look??? 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Day 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Long range tried to give us a big backdoor blast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 The Euro is hanging in there with the vortex over the plains. Prior runs had just moved it east. It's not the GFS solution but it's not the GEM either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 WOW what a turnaround! everyone scores here!! 2 1 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, RentonHillTC said: WOW what a turnaround! everyone scores here!! Nice! Looks like Trump's hurricane map. 1 1 5 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Nice! Looks like Trump's hurricane map. or the "You know.... the thing" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 I also like how you specifically whited out my area and Randy's area. 1 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: WOW what a turnaround! everyone scores here!! You wiped me off the map!! 3 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 If by some chance the 12Z ECMWF verifies... this would be some spectacular weather. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Remember, weather data is extremely unreliable outside of 5 days due to lack of aircraft data compounded by SSW. Even for the more reliable euro. I wouldn’t put too much stock what’s being shown outside of this range. Warm or cold. Even Ventrice agrees that only reliable data we have right now is within 48 hours. Fun times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Euro looks nice and crisp. 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Have I missed anything? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fircrest Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, Jesse said: Have I missed anything? No. We still don't know what's happening. I think some people missed you though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Jesse said: Have I missed anything? Hope you are having a blessed day. 1 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 34 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 6 Great. Now I am nauseous. D**n Alaska low gets lodged in there somehow. Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Rob had to run for a barf bag. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Rob had to run for a barf bag. Instead of the popcorn bag pretend it’s a barf bag. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: If by some chance the 12Z ECMWF verifies... this would be some spectacular weather. Said no one ever. Except you. 1 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 4, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, Phil said: D**n Alaska low gets lodged in there somehow. LOL EUROFUS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 We gotta wait for the Artic to freeze over before we can get cold air!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Anyone own a plane so we can fly around the earth and help collect data for the models??? Lawyers are rich... Matt can we borrow your plane? Phil? Don’t you own a plane that you used to fly in and out of Stampede Pass International? Anybody? C’MON!!! 2 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 4, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Rob had to run for a barf bag. With any luck it is a blessed barf bag. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 I thought model performances were supposed to improve with time?? What a joke that they can all be so different within 3-4 days....sad really. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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