hawkstwelve 7273 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Looks a notch further south at hour 30. Edit: Pretty close to the 18z at hour 42. 1 Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
bainbridgekid 3944 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Slight shift South . . . 1 2 Everett Snowfall 2018-19: 24.75"2019-20: 10.5" 1/10: 0.5"1/12: 5.5"1/13: 1"1/14: 1.5"1/15: 2" Link to post Share on other sites
BLI snowman 6877 Posted February 10 Author Report Share Posted February 10 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Yeah Mark is really #1 in PDX. Total geek like all of us too, not a newscaster reading a script, he legitimately loves weather. Steve Pierce is an affable weenie as well. He used to be one of us! 2 Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10747 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Fizzle out No need to get your plow. Link to post Share on other sites
Requiem 2649 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: If I had to pick a #2 I would pick Zaffino. I think if anything he has a cold bias, he knows what brings in the eyeballs. Salesky pretty much goes with the warmest, most boring forecast he can make, so he is probably pretty high up there in terms of accuracy. I like Sussman as well tbh. Zaffino actually used to be a neighbor of ours— sometimes I still rail on the poor guy for his coating to an inch forecast on 1/10/17 lol 2 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to post Share on other sites
Meteorologist wxmet 2015 Posted February 10 Meteorologist Report Share Posted February 10 Upper level low appears weaker so a southern shift is expected. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Day 1 (Past 4 runs Link to post Share on other sites
MR.SNOWMIZER 7082 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 The strength is going to be the problem. 1 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to post Share on other sites
Meteorologist wxmet 2015 Posted February 10 Meteorologist Report Share Posted February 10 QPF amounts are much lighter compared to 18z. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Jginmartini 3956 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Sad Panda 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1525 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 FWIW, it seems slightly weaker, so that's why it's sliding slight south. Note that this is something the 18z Euro picked up on earlier. Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1482 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 We only got two or three snow storms this weekend. Already lost the first one Link to post Share on other sites
BLI snowman 6877 Posted February 10 Author Report Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, wxmet said: QPF amounts are much lighter compared to 18z. Weaker, more southern low, so it comes with the package. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7273 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 NWS Seattle just HAD to issue an WSW for this storm. Jinxed us. 1 1 Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
MR.SNOWMIZER 7082 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 I'm calling it now. This first low will be a non event north of Olympia. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Day 2 (Past 4 runs) 1 Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10747 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Yikes. Link to post Share on other sites
Prairiedog 598 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 14 minutes ago, JW8 said: Who is Mark, and why is he talked about so much? Is he the only forecaster in PDX? Haha He understands the many microclimates of this area and he's pretty savey rooting out hype from fiction or is it truth from fact. You get the point. He is indeed conservative and has a wam bias but it has served him well forecasting cold and snow in our area. 2 Link to post Share on other sites
Jginmartini 3956 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: We only got two or three snow storms this weekend. Already lost the first one Moving onto the Euro Link to post Share on other sites
Requiem 2649 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Still rather juicy at the very least, hopefully that second system just nails everyone. 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to post Share on other sites
TacomaWaWx 4623 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 We will see what the euros gotta say. Wouldn’t be surprised if we still get atleast a little snow here in Tacoma lots of times northern end of the precip is underdone. Warm Season Stats +80s-0 +85s-0 +90s-0 Monthly Rainfall-0.39” Warm Season Rainfall-0.39” Warmest high temp-66 Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7273 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Through Thursday evening... 1 Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1482 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Second storm is a tad higher and stronger Link to post Share on other sites
James Jones 498 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 7 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Yes, the 1960 event you mentioned is the latest in "modern times" with 1/4-1/2" ice accumulations following the snow. Another big late one was 2/22/1957. Portland had an inch of snow before switching to ZR and then got about 3/4" of ice. The valley had a big ice storm with 1-2". Thanks. And yeah, I would imagine there are a lot more examples before the airport era when we got cold past early February with much more regularity. Link to post Share on other sites
Meatyorologist 2044 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Second storm is going to nail Washington here. Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7273 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Can we get the 12z back? By Friday evening... 1 2 Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
TacomaWaWx 4623 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 We will still cash in at some point. I’m still feeling like we will get atleast some snow Thursday here in Tacoma. Warm Season Stats +80s-0 +85s-0 +90s-0 Monthly Rainfall-0.39” Warm Season Rainfall-0.39” Warmest high temp-66 Link to post Share on other sites
Meteorologist wxmet 2015 Posted February 10 Meteorologist Report Share Posted February 10 Late Friday-Saturday storm looks much more potent 3 Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10747 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 And I was in such a good mood this morning with how things were trending. What a blow. 1 2 Link to post Share on other sites
BLI snowman 6877 Posted February 10 Author Report Share Posted February 10 6 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Yes, the 1960 event you mentioned is the latest in "modern times" with 1/4-1/2" ice accumulations following the snow. Another big late one was 2/22/1957. Portland had an inch of snow before switching to ZR and then got about 3/4" of ice. The valley had a big ice storm with 1-2". There also was a sleet and ice storm on the 11th and 12th in 1936, as we rang in that really amazing mid month cold snap. About an inch of sleet in Portland with more on the eastside of town. Followed by 6 straight subfreezing highs from the 13th to 18th. February can still be cold, folks! 3 Link to post Share on other sites
VancouverIslandSouth 1741 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 4 minutes ago, Esquimalt said: Looking like it’s friday night or bust here. The southerly trend tonight is undeniable Not sure it's really a trend considering it was originally going well south, it's more of a calibration to the center of the uncertainty range. I wouldn't be surprised if we saw some light snow extended way north on the northern edge of that. In January 2012 the models showed no snow up here and we ended up with 6"; not likely this time, but there could still be light accumulations. The Friday night system looks a lot more promising up here if it can hold together. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10747 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Just now, wxmet said: Late Friday-Saturday storm looks much more potent Let’s hope this one doesn’t suffer the same fate at the first one. Link to post Share on other sites
Requiem 2649 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Just now, MossMan said: And I was in such a good mood this morning with how things were trending. What a blow. I’m sure you’ll still score at some point at the very least over this weekend, whatnot with your location. 2 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 9251 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 00Z keeps everything nice and suppressed with the first system. Everyone will probably benefit from that later on in the weekend. 2 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Kolk1604 880 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: Can we get the 12z back? By Friday evening... We're okay we're okay. Temps are still cold. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7273 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Portland area hits a foot by Friday night. That's pretty nice. WA should fill in better in the next few frames. 1 Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1525 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 The mid-week low is also hanging back a little bit more as well allowing it to push more south. Good for PDX. Also something the 18z Euro picked up on as well. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Jginmartini 3956 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said: We will still cash in at some point. I’m still feeling like we will get atleast some snow Thursday here in Tacoma. Looks like we’re ok but I got sucked emotionally into pink 1 Link to post Share on other sites
nwsnow 2771 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 2nd system is strong and further north. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 15379 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 This run is going to be good for WA too. PDX is going to get nailed by both. 3 Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Meteorologist wxmet 2015 Posted February 10 Meteorologist Report Share Posted February 10 00Z RGEM much more moisture further north than the GFS 3 Link to post Share on other sites
nwsnow 2771 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Juicy 4 1 Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Day 3 (Past 4 runs) BIG potential developments. Ridge offshore pivoting quickly and heights offshore much lower. NICE! 2 Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1482 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 I like it 2 Link to post Share on other sites
TacomaWaWx 4623 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Just now, Jesse said: 00Z keeps everything nice and suppressed with the first system. Everyone will probably benefit from that later on in the weekend. I’d actually be happy with this run...Much better snow chances down in northern OR if this verifies turning this into a more regional event instead of a WA based event. More fun when more people score. Still looking good south of Seattle this week. 3 Warm Season Stats +80s-0 +85s-0 +90s-0 Monthly Rainfall-0.39” Warm Season Rainfall-0.39” Warmest high temp-66 Link to post Share on other sites
Rubus Leucodermis 1345 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, MossMan said: And I was in such a good mood this morning with how things were trending. What a blow. A blow of nice, dry, snow-evaporating, storm-deflecting arctic outflow! It's called clown range for a reason. Link to post Share on other sites
Meteorologist wxmet 2015 Posted February 10 Meteorologist Report Share Posted February 10 5 Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7273 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Portland does way better on this run and Puget Sound is starting to fill in by Saturday morning. This might end up nice for everyone. 3 1 Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
MR.SNOWMIZER 7082 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 Good GOD 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to post Share on other sites
Kolk1604 880 Posted February 10 Report Share Posted February 10 lol and you guys were worried. 10 am Saturday 2 Link to post Share on other sites
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