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February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion


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I just experienced the craziest day of my life. Normal, routine doctor's visit quickly spiraled into a seven hour stay in the ER for a MRI scan to check for malignant tumors or multiple sclerosis. Tha

Downvote this post if you want snow.

Good morning,  As you know, back in late December I decided to end my jovial "ranting" here among you soulless bastard's to focus on more personal matters.  Well despite my better judgement

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3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yeah Mark is really #1 in PDX. Total geek like all of us too, not a newscaster reading a script, he legitimately loves weather. 

Steve Pierce is an affable weenie as well. He used to be one of us!

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

If I had to pick a #2 I would pick Zaffino. I think if anything he has a cold bias, he knows what brings in the eyeballs. 

Salesky pretty much goes with the warmest, most boring forecast he can make, so he is probably pretty high up there in terms of accuracy. 

I like Sussman as well tbh. Zaffino actually used to be a neighbor of ours— sometimes I still rail on the poor guy for his coating to an inch forecast on 1/10/17 lol

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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14 minutes ago, JW8 said:

Who is Mark, and why is he talked about so much? Is he the only forecaster in PDX? Haha

He understands the many microclimates of this area and he's pretty savey rooting out hype from fiction or is it truth from fact.  You get the point.  He is indeed conservative and has a wam bias but it has served him well forecasting cold and snow in our area. 

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Still rather juicy at the very least, hopefully that second system just nails everyone.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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We will see what the euros gotta say. Wouldn’t be surprised if we still get atleast a little snow here in Tacoma lots of times northern end of the precip is underdone. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-0

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.39”

Warm Season Rainfall-0.39”

Warmest high temp-66

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7 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Yes, the 1960 event you mentioned is the latest in "modern times" with 1/4-1/2" ice accumulations following the snow.

Another big late one was 2/22/1957. Portland had an inch of snow before switching to ZR and then got about 3/4" of ice. The valley had a big ice storm with 1-2".

Thanks. And yeah, I would imagine there are a lot more examples before the airport era when we got cold past early February with much more regularity.

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We will still cash in at some point. I’m still feeling like we will get atleast some snow Thursday here in Tacoma. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-0

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.39”

Warm Season Rainfall-0.39”

Warmest high temp-66

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6 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Yes, the 1960 event you mentioned is the latest in "modern times" with 1/4-1/2" ice accumulations following the snow.

Another big late one was 2/22/1957. Portland had an inch of snow before switching to ZR and then got about 3/4" of ice. The valley had a big ice storm with 1-2".

There also was a sleet and ice storm on the 11th and 12th in 1936, as we rang in that really amazing mid month cold snap. About an inch of sleet in Portland with more on the eastside of town. Followed by 6 straight subfreezing highs from the 13th to 18th. 

February can still be cold, folks!

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4 minutes ago, Esquimalt said:

Looking like it’s friday night or bust here. The southerly trend tonight is undeniable

Not sure it's really a trend considering it was originally going well south, it's more of a calibration to the center of the uncertainty range. I wouldn't be surprised if we saw some light snow extended way north on the northern edge of that. In January 2012 the models showed no snow up here and we ended up with 6"; not likely this time, but there could still be light accumulations. The Friday night system looks a lot more promising up here if it can hold together.

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Just now, MossMan said:

And I was in such a good mood this morning with how things were trending. What a blow. 

I’m sure you’ll still score at some point at the very least over this weekend, whatnot with your location.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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00Z keeps everything nice and suppressed with the first system. Everyone will probably benefit from that later on in the weekend.

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The mid-week low is also hanging back a little bit more as well allowing it to push more south. Good for PDX. Also something the 18z Euro picked up on as well. 

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1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

We will still cash in at some point. I’m still feeling like we will get atleast some snow Thursday here in Tacoma. 

Looks like we’re ok but I got sucked emotionally into pink :( 

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This run is going to be good for WA too. PDX is going to get nailed by both. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Just now, Jesse said:

00Z keeps everything nice and suppressed with the first system. Everyone will probably benefit from that later on in the weekend.

I’d actually be happy with this run...Much better snow chances down in northern OR if this verifies turning this into a more regional event instead of a WA based event. More fun when more people score. Still looking good south of Seattle this week. 

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-0

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.39”

Warm Season Rainfall-0.39”

Warmest high temp-66

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