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July 2021 PNW Weather Discussion


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5 minutes ago, Phil said:

Man, that would be an amazing severe pattern imby, as long as we don’t end up under the ridge.

Though with E-Hem/Indian Ocean MJO/CCKWs next month, that fat, ugly 4-corners/plains ridge is only going to get fatter and uglier. I fear a top-5 hot August is in store for the lower-48. And September is looking progressively worse of late, as well. Even squinting, I don’t see any real hope on the horizon. :( 

That’s like saying “I fear next Tuesday will be followed immediately by a Wednesday.”

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

That’s like saying “I fear next Tuesday will be followed immediately by a Wednesday.”

To be fair, there haven't been a ton of top 5 warmest Augusts nationally in recent years. Two since 2003. 

Hasn't been a record warmest since 1936. Due!

A forum for the end of the world.

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6 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

To be fair, there haven't been a ton of top 5 warmest Augusts nationally in recent years. Two since 2003. 

Hasn't been a record warmest since 1936. Due!

 

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Euros pretty consistent the next 10 days. Upper 70s-Low 80s in western WA…Mid 80s-Mid 90s in western OR. 

Monthly rainfall-2.71”

Cold season rainfall-2.71”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-51

Coldest Low-35

 

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

Man, that would be an amazing severe pattern imby, as long as we don’t end up under the ridge.

Though with E-Hem/Indian Ocean MJO/CCKWs next month, that fat, ugly 4-corners/plains ridge is only going to get fatter and uglier. I fear a top-5 hot August is in store for the lower-48. And September is looking progressively worse of late, as well. Even squinting, I don’t see any real hope on the horizon. :( 

Could be a rough go with tropica systems with that pattern as well in september.

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Just now, Deweydog said:

Hopping in the wayback machine, 15 years ago today was the HCS to end all HCS’s.

91/68 here 15 years ago today amid the late July 2006 heatwave! Maxed out at 95 on 7/21. 

Monthly rainfall-2.71”

Cold season rainfall-2.71”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-51

Coldest Low-35

 

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1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

It’d be pretty crazy if the Columbia River were actually that wide.

Might as well be that wide Oregon isn’t PNW anymore. 

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Monthly rainfall-2.71”

Cold season rainfall-2.71”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-51

Coldest Low-35

 

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One of the true great phenomenon unfolded over the past month and is continuing to unfold on these forums after laying dormant seemingly for quite a while. I posted a tweet from the NWS Seattle which reference 1986 and somehow it turned into a TwO-tHousAnd-FiFtEeN discussion. Just extraordinary! 

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43 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Does Denver normally get lows in the upper 60's? I'm still learning some things about that area (brother is in Brighton, CO). KDEN had 67 for a low. They're known to be the mile high city, am I wrong assuming that sounds warm for them?

That's pretty warm. Average lows this time of year are around 60, average highs around 90.

It's warmer here in the summer than a lot of people imagine, it seems.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

That's pretty warm. Average lows this time of year are around 60, average highs around 90.

It's warmer here in the summer than a lot of people imagine, it seems.

Average low is a little under 50 at KLMT. Looks like there are more 100 degree occurrences there than at my place so at least I'm aware Denver does get heat in July ;)

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https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Hope everyone is having a nice Thursday!  One more day till the weekend. :D  

 

It is sunny, clear skies and 66F degrees in Everett, Washington right now.  Nice cool breeze too.  Feels great.

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45 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

1351868534_tenor(33).gif.3bf67025f3130a48c6bf69a9aae8ee66.gif

Oh wait, you said block, my bad!!

There is some new material!   I like it.  😀

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

It’d be pretty crazy if the Columbia River were actually that wide.

Portland would be more like Port Angeles.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Great boating weather! 

Definitely!   Get out and enjoy that new boat.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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SEA up to 76... the ECMWF showed 73 for a high today.    The ECMWF cool bias should be back for the next week or more with no marine layer.  

This is the coolest day in sight per the ECMWF and EPS.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 hours ago, NWbyNW said:

Hope everyone is having a nice Thursday!  One more day till the weekend. :D  

 

It is sunny, clear skies and 66F degrees in Everett, Washington right now.  Nice cool breeze too.  Feels great.

Took advantage of this sunny morning and hiked Poo Poo Point :) 

Some distant clouds but nothing heavy.  Paraglider's must be sleeping in

Currently 77* and sunny ☀️ 

81429C8E-6D7C-4D08-9335-346875CEBF82.jpeg

366D3115-F62F-41A7-A301-733F6FAFBF09.png

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4 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Took advantage of this sunny morning and hiked Poo Poo Point :) 

Some distant clouds but nothing heavy.  Paraglider's must be sleeping in

Currently 77* and sunny ☀️ 

81429C8E-6D7C-4D08-9335-346875CEBF82.jpeg

 

Beautiful.   Is that Lake Sammamish in the distance in the second pic?

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Okay, it's been about a week since I've posted one of these.  So just for fun, let's see what the current temps are around the region.   Coldest/Hottest

WASHINGTON

Friday Harbor - 67F

Port Angeles - 60F

Forks - 66F

Bellingham - 69F

Oak Harbor - 65F

Everett - 66F

Seattle - 76F

Bellevue - 75F

Tacoma - 75F

Olympia - 76F

Ocean Shores - 62F

Centralia - 77F

Longview - 76F

Vancouver - 79F

Wenatchee - 84F

Ellensburg - 78F

Yakima - 85F

Kennewick - 82F

Richland - 87F

Pasco - 85F

Walla Walla - 88F

Moses Lake - 81F

Spokane - 78F

OREGON

Astoria - 66F

Newport - 66F

Coos Bay - 63F

Brookings  - 66F

Portland - 81F

Salem - 80F

Eugene - 83F

Medford - 88F

The Dalles - 87F

Bend - 82F

Burns - 89F

Ontario - 95F

Jordan Valley - 93F

Klamath Falls - 81F

IDAHO

Post Falls - 77F

Wallace - 78F

Lewiston - 85F

Boise - 91F

Twin Falls - 87F

Pocatello - 81F

ALASKA

Juneau - 57F

Anchorage - 63F

Bethel - 55F

Fairbanks - 81F

Nome - 47F

Barrow - 40F

CALIFORNIA

Crescent City - 58F

Eureka - 65F

Redding - 100F

BRITISH COLUMBIA

Victoria - 66F

Campbell River - 70F

Vancouver - 75F

Kelowna - 86F

Kamloops - 78F

Prince George - 65F

Prince Rupert - 62F

 

Have a great day everyone.  All temps gathered at roughly 6:50pm. 

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3 hours ago, Jginmartini said:

Racking up those plus 80s! 

Well the euro shows upper 70s to low 80s here over the next 10 days with the rain exception of today…also have to factor in the euros cool bias. Have only had 5 +80 days so far this July but will definitely net some more before the months over. Warmest day so far this month is 83 interested to see if that’ll be the final number or not. 

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Monthly rainfall-2.71”

Cold season rainfall-2.71”

Sub 40 highs-0

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-0

Snowfall-0.0”

Coldest High-51

Coldest Low-35

 

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8 hours ago, Phil said:

Man, that would be an amazing severe pattern imby, as long as we don’t end up under the ridge.

Though with E-Hem/Indian Ocean MJO/CCKWs next month, that fat, ugly 4-corners/plains ridge is only going to get fatter and uglier. I fear a top-5 hot August is in store for the lower-48. And September is looking progressively worse of late, as well. Even squinting, I don’t see any real hope on the horizon. :( 

Ice age never?

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00Z ECMWF is much warmer... back over 100 in Portland by a week from tomorrow.    Ugghhh.     Sure would be nice to maintain this pleasant balance.    

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z ECMWF is much warmer... back over 100 in Portland by a week from tomorrow.    Ugghhh.     Sure would be nice to maintain this pleasant balance.    

Also toying with some offshore flow at times.  Could bring some smoke out from the bc interior 

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The not-so-snowy Mt. Rainier and moon rise from Lake Wa. Wish I have a better camera for the moon rise. The phone cam was not doing it justice but still a wonderful reflection off of the water’s surface. 

AA52BF05-9C0F-4767-B278-6096CB1CD3EF.jpeg

636B1258-9AD4-4359-89CD-934A24EC6634.jpeg

CD5C43BA-CD17-4592-8FF0-DA5C212AAD10.jpeg

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14 hours ago, Phil said:

Man, that would be an amazing severe pattern imby, as long as we don’t end up under the ridge.

Though with E-Hem/Indian Ocean MJO/CCKWs next month, that fat, ugly 4-corners/plains ridge is only going to get fatter and uglier. I fear a top-5 hot August is in store for the lower-48. And September is looking progressively worse of late, as well. Even squinting, I don’t see any real hope on the horizon. :( 

Thank God this is opposite Phil summer. I look forward to #iceage starting in August :)

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