PNW February 2022 - Winters Last Stand

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Quite a bit of snow in Pendleton this evening. Down to 22 there too. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Front Ranger is getting real kold. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

20 minutes ago, Dave said:

EUG reporting light snow and 34 degrees. 35 here with light rain.

Same here. Pretty normal for the airport to be colder than here.

[Meatyorologist]

8 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Same here. Pretty normal for the airport to be colder than here.

Heaviest precip was also over the airport. If it had gone over Springfield itself instead you would have seen snow, especially considering your elevation is greater. This also explains the temperature difference.

[Meatyorologist]

[snow_wizard]

Looks like I ended up with 1.3" of snow tonight.  Can't remember the last time I got over an inch where I was totally not expecting it.  Currently 30 degrees and mostly clear with a few low clouds racing out of the NE.

[snow_wizard]

50 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

As for this winter's grading, this event will probably nudge it up half a grade level, if at all. If we stay below freezing all day tomorrow that would be an automatic half grade raise. But that's going from a C+ to a B-. In actuality it will be March that decides things the most. If we end up actually getting into a progressively wet pattern (and lord permit another snow event) that would forgive much of this recent awful dry period.

It also depends whether you consider winter Dec - Feb or the traditional Dec 21 - Mar 22.  I have a feeling the grade for the latter may be higher.  There are a lot of different metrics that people use to grade a winter.  For example if you use max temps of freezing or below this winter is a solid A- no matter what already.  I'm becoming more convinced a freezing max is on the table for tomorrow as well.

[Cloud]

Nice late season cold. For here, I didn’t go above freezing after the short snow event. Currently 31F. Gonna be tricky commute tomorrow morning

[Geos]

I would call it 0.6" here on Mercer Island. It's really pretty out there tonight with the snow stuck to the trees and bushes. Most locations under freezing now.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Anyone tell us where the cold front is? 

[Deweydog]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Anyone tell us where the cold front is? 

[The Blob]

Down to 31 here

[Phil]

11 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Somehow these showers are just rain here so far... I was expecting at least hail.  

That retaining wall needs some work.

11 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z GFS at the end of the run... interesting! 

Seeing lots of crazy solutions probably related to the SSW and how it will play out.  

There’s no actual SSW being modeled right now. Just a modest displacement and possible weakening of the vortex that brings it closer to seasonal norms.

Though there could be effects from such a change of state depending on the degree of strat/trop coupling.

[Phil]

Less absurd, but still a strong PV regime. U-wind decrease at 65N is largely due to the displacement of the vortex off the pole rather than an actual weakening.

Need a full on wind reversal for a SSW (the line would go below zero, representing a net clockwise u-wind).

[Meatyorologist]

Most of the 06z is pretty bad until the end which is very good. Water is wet.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Kind of lackluster temps west of the cascades. Chilly here though, down to 24.

[Meatyorologist]

4 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Anyone tell us where the cold front is? 

[Everleigh]

It snowed!  Only maybe 1/2-1 inch. Currently 30.6*. Thankful for the pellet stove, since I still cannot use my furnace. 

[AlTahoe]

Over performer here this morning! 7" of really dry snow and still dumping. I get to use my snow blower for the first time since New Years. 

[Meatyorologist]

3 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

Over performer here this morning! 7" of really dry snow and still dumping. I get to is my snow blower for the first time since New Years. 

Glad to hear you’re actually getting weather!

[TT-SEA]

Went out and cleared the driveway and checked the roads... a little less snow than I estimated.    And I think it melted a little from underneath on the driveway during the night.    Snow was powdery on top and wet on the bottom.   There was only 2 inches on the driveway... but maybe 3 or 4 inches on the grass.  

[TT-SEA]

Gorgeous out there... snow fell with no wind at all and it's still calm.  

[RentonHill]

3 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

Most of the 06z is pretty bad until the end which is very good. Water is wet.

Poor GFS seems a little lost but it knows where it wants to go.

[AlTahoe]

10" in the middle of the street. Dog approves. 

[TacomaWaWx]

Didn’t manage anything but snow in the air last night but it was still interesting. 30 here this morning.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

17 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Gorgeous out there... snow fell with no wind at all and it's still calm.  

I’m very disappointed by the lack of wind. This was sold as something where we would noticeably see wind pick up as the cold air surged in. Mark made reference to a sudden burst of wind like the Labor Day storm. Some favored spots are seeing gap winds, but other than that nothing. Totally calm here all night. So from that standpoint this is a total bust. 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

23 and cloudy. Decent low, just disappointed we didn’t see a surge of dry air as we were sold. Some models had the dew point near 0 at this point. It’s about 20... I guess I should figure this kind of thing is always delayed or weaker than expected. We ll probably see highs in the willamette valley recover nicely today. 

[Blizzard777]

31* with north wind gusting to 24..dew points around the area range 20-25.

Snow on the ground from last night did not survive  

[jakerepp]

9 hours ago, jakerepp said:

34.5.

KOMO radar showing a cell sliding down towards me, but it isn't picked up by UW radar. Hopefully we can squeeze a few flakes out before I go to sleep. 

Ended up getting a little bit of snow. Stuck to cars and roofs but not to the streets. Looks nice though!

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I’m very disappointed by the lack of wind. This was sold as something where we would noticeably see wind pick up as the cold air surged in. Mark made reference to a sudden burst of wind like the Labor Day storm. Some favored spots are seeing gap winds, but other than that nothing. Totally calm here all night. So from that standpoint this is a total bust. 

 

We never get the north wind here... so it would have been calm in my area regardless of what is happening to the west.   Bellingham had some crazy wind yesterday though. 

[jakerepp]

7 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Somebody needs to take the GFS metograms out behind the woodshed...just plain terrible.  No freeking way the coldest low for SEA will be 28 from this event.

Yeah that ain't right. I'd bet we see a 25 at SEA tonight. It's cold.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

We never get the north wind here... so it would have been calm in my area regardless of what is happening to the west.   Bellingham had some crazy wind yesterday though. 

Mark Nelsen literally wrote in his blog on Sunday evening that late Monday evening "everyone" would see a surge of easterly winds gusting to 30-35mph which would have a sudden onset like the Labor Day wind storm. He wasn't talking about north winds. 

[MossMan]

Light snow and 24.8 degrees. 
Had about 2 new inches overnight.

This little sleeper event has turned into a full blown arctic event! 

[jakerepp]

30.2 so far.

The boy has been asleep since 9pm, which puts us at

 

10 hours straight

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Does appear to be some more improvement on the GFS ensembles. The one silver lining with this otherwise disappointing week of weather. 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Light snow and 24.8 degrees. 
Had about 2 new inches overnight.

This little sleeper event has turned into a full blown arctic event! 

Wow!   Did not expect snow to make it all the way up there.    It's more cloudy than I expected this morning.    Wouldn't be surprised to see a little light snow later today.    Sun is coming up now.

[The Blob]

Getting harder to see the sunrises from my patio door

[MossMan]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Wow!   Did not expect snow to make it all the way up there.    It's more cloudy than I expected this morning.    Wouldn't be surprised to see a little light snow later today.    Sun is coming up now.

I didn’t either! The only hope I had was when Michael Snyder was going though the models yesterday he mentioned some moisture re-forming up in this area but with how severe clear it was last evening I didn’t think it would actually happen. 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, MossMan said:

I didn’t either! The only hope I had was when Michael Snyder was going though the models yesterday he mentioned some moisture re-forming up in this area but with how severe clear it was last evening I didn’t think it would actually happen. 

I just ran the UW radar loop overnight and it did not show anything up there... but your area is probably out of reach of the coastal radar.

[TacomaWaWx]

Was nice to get a couple hours of light snow last night atleast. A lot more than my expectations going into this atleast. We will see how cold we can get the next couple days. Breezy north winds and cloudy here radar shows precip over us but the air is pretty dry DP of 21.