Amazing storm in Bend today. Over .5-.75” across a lot of town. Near quarter size hail, tons of CG, and even hail fog. Going on almost two hours of hearing thunder.
Good. We need to focus on the end game here. MTG is just too impatient. I'm pretty sure the Republicans would lose their House majority if we go through another Speaker fiasco. I get her disgust with what is going on, but we need to be playing the long game.
Guidance is now picking up on the emergence of the new base state (low frequency coupling associated with emerging niña).
But right now it’s inconsistent/blurry, imbedded beneath the MJO/higher frequency components, hence the unstable solutions. Model skill could decrease for quite awhile, as this gets resolved.
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