Doinko Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 11 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Notice that block getting hung up further Nd further. I've seen this play before... I find an Arctic blast fairly unlikely at this point, at least south of Skagit county. Really hoping the arctic air makes it down into Oregon! It's only early November though so maybe we'll see a historic arctic airmass in January bring cold all the way to southern OR! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 minute ago, JSnowlin said: Ya so you could just, ya know, post the hyperlink next time. I did the TL:DR, which I rarely do, but this is too much for me! 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Just now, Doinko said: Really hoping the arctic air makes it down into Oregon! It's only early November though so maybe we'll see a historic arctic airmass in January bring cold all the way to southern OR! I'm sure the mountains will block it from reaching there, only for it to be launched toward me! 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 4 minutes ago, Doinko said: Seems like Burns, OR had their second coldest November low of all time with -15 in 2015 (three times), after -17 in 1955. They also got down to -18 in January 2016 I actually forgot about the Nov 2015 cold snap. It was pretty cold here, but nothing too crazy. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 18z GFS is slightly colder than the mean in the LR but now a lot of members are showing up even colder (I'm just going to ignore the warmer ones though!) 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Being real, I would be happy to see the Arctic front sag this far south for just a day or two. This early in the season that would be awesome. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Looks like the 18z shows between 50-60” of snow IMBY. This is gonna be incredible. 3 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 BTW....the benchmark for something this early is Late October 1935. There were freezing max temps in the Western Lowlands with that so it can happen. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Just now, ShawniganLake said: Looks like the 18z shows between 50-60” of snow. This is gonna be incredible. Up there I think you are going to have some snow. Very good chance. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 The EPS shows the EPO getting really low next week, so these fantastically wet solutions are certainly suspect. A lot to be sorted out still. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 5 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 23 minutes ago, Eujunga said: This one for last January would have gotten me through some rough times if only it had verified better. lol it showed 116" for the Sierra and we got 0". It didn't snow again till April. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 All the board regulars later tonight when the ECMWF pulls a massive 180° 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Just now, JSnowlin said: All the board regulars later tonight when the ECMWF pulls a massive 180° Me: Of course it did! It did that just to tease us! 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: With a Nina the cold may be on hold in the East a number of times this season. Is there ever a season where they admit things just aren't lined up for a cold East? 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Just changed my windshield wipers for rain/snow and cleaned the glass with rain repellent. It’s not much but it’s my way of getting hyped for an active colder November 2 Quote 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Trick or treat. Smell my feet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: With a Nina the cold may be on hold in the East a number of times this season. Is there ever a season where they admit things just aren't lined up for a cold East? Its always funny to see east coast and west coast weather weenies getting angry when the other side is doing the same thing they are doing. Sort of like our political environment right now. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 18z GEFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals. Soggy, AND White? Hmmm.... 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 21 minutes ago, JSnowlin said: All the board regulars later tonight when the ECMWF pulls a massive 180° Even now it's only a few degrees warmer. Not really that devastating. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Completey dry here since about noon... looks like the same for most of King County. A Halloween blessing for us with rain in all directions while its dry and relatively mild here. Perfect weather for trick-or-treating and will be heading out soon. 4 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 25 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: lol it showed 116" for the Sierra and we got 0". It didn't snow again till April. Hmmm...it showed 24" here and we got 17". I'd take that ratio on what the current runs are showing. 3 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 1 1 2 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Rain just got here. A damp evening in silverton. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post HuskyMaestro Posted November 1, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Was cleaning my freezer a bit and I found some snow I decided to take in 2013 and 2017! Maybe I really should’ve been a met. I was a high school sophomore and then a college freshman respectively at the time. Maybe bringing these out manifests the EURO into some 10 1 Quote 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 The 18z Euro is also showing some lowland snow tomorrow night in the same spot as the GFS but nothing near the GFS totals. 1 2 5 Quote 2024 Warm Season Stats Number of 80+ days - 2 Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86) Number of 90+ days - 0 Number of 95+ days - 0 Number of 60+ lows - 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 1, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 15 minutes ago, Cold Snap said: The 18z Euro is also showing some lowland snow tomorrow night in the same spot as the GFS but nothing near the GFS totals. That’s interesting…probably the same surface temps the gfs was showing upper 30s roughly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 26 minutes ago, Cold Snap said: The 18z Euro is also showing some lowland snow tomorrow night in the same spot as the GFS but nothing near the GFS totals. The Euro is caving 1 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Unfortunate timing for the trick or treaters this year. It's been dry for the last couple of days until now. 2 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 30 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: That’s interesting…probably the same surface temps the gfs was showing upper 30s roughly. Yeah it’s showing those temps so I doubt any snowflakes will fall. 1 1 Quote 2024 Warm Season Stats Number of 80+ days - 2 Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86) Number of 90+ days - 0 Number of 95+ days - 0 Number of 60+ lows - 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 No trick-or-treaters here. Moderate to heavy rain continues to redevelop along a stalled frontal boundary over PDX metro especially near/east of I-5. 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 $$$$$ 2 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 5 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: $$$$$ Admittedly I wasn't expecting to see that. Trough should dig right down the OR coast. 00z GFS in 1 hour 33 minutes I am not sure if I'll be available to post Day 1-10, etc. This run could either be really wet, or insanely wet with a significant atmospheric river. There is still a small chance that cold, arctic air may spill southward into northern WA, Columbia Basin and the Gorge. We shall see... Think Cold and SNOW!!!! C'MON!!!! 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 8 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: $$$$$ Oh wait, that's the control run aka wishcasting run. Never mind. 00z ECMWF in 3 hours 42 minutes 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 9 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Admittedly I wasn't expecting to see that. Trough should dig right down the OR coast. 00z GFS in 1 hour 33 minutes I am not sure if I'll be available to post Day 1-10, etc. This run could either be really wet, or insanely wet with a significant atmospheric river. There is still a small chance that cold, arctic air may spill southward into northern WA, Columbia Basin and the Gorge. We shall see... Think Cold and SNOW!!!! C'MON!!!! #NoRidgeNovember 1 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 8 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Oh wait, that's the control run aka wishcasting run. Never mind. 00z ECMWF in 3 hours 42 minutes That is not the Euro-Control, that is the mean Euro-Ensembles! 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Trick or treating in silverton IMG_9177.MOV 2 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Trick or treating in silverton IMG_9177.MOV We sent the kiddo out with the umbrella. I told her a few days ago to be ready. 4 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 7 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: That is not the Euro-Control, that is the mean Euro-Ensembles! No, it's the control [c] 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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