Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: High res WRF is actually quite decent for Friday night. kitsap and Hood Canal should do quite well. Not sure how much moisture will be able to make it East of Puget Sound. Only green for me. Throw it out! 2 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Wow Bremerton has dropped to 32 degrees with a stiff north wind. This is a legit airmass. 4 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Wow Bremerton has dropped to 32 degrees with a stiff north wind. This is a legit airmass. According to High Dessert we should be well into the 40’s after today! 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 33 with some flurries at Silver Falls. Thursday is a work from home day, so I decided to relocate the office to one of the picnic shelters. Have a fire roaring in the shelter fireplace, but my fingers are still freezing up if I stop typing. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 The chorus of plow trucks and neighborhood snow removal equipment is a beautiful thing 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillJimmy Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Ended up with a bit over 4 inches, I’ll take it especially for so early in the season. Hood canal looks to get blasted tomorrow night 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: The chorus of plow trucks and neighborhood snow removal equipment is a beautiful thing I am pretty happy when I hear the backing up beeping sound from inside the house after a snow event. 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow maniac Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 12 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: These Upslope events can really smash this area. Even could be more in places than this is showing. I hope my location can score on this one, I was on the transition line last Tuesday night, just super wet snow that didn’t accumulate. But just 2 or 3 miles west got 6 to 8 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 3 hours ago, Front Ranger said: Impressive November for the region. BLI: Coldest since 1985, #4 all-time. SEA: Coldest since 1985 (barely beating out 1993), #6 all-time. OLM: Coldest since 1985, #2 all-time. EUG: Coldest since 2000, #6 all-time. These are just flat out impressive numbers when you look at the years attached to this November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Looked like a lot of people got snowed in today... commute was good this morning. My co-worker down in Graham received 4" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Where's Al Tahoe? Looks like they're getting blasted right now. Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 30 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: High res WRF is actually quite decent for Friday night. kitsap and Hood Canal should do quite well. Not sure how much moisture will be able to make it East of Puget Sound. This would put me on the board for over an inch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Up to 34 here…not a whole lot of melting snows still on the trees but it’s definitely melting a tad. We should hold on to some of it through Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I am pretty happy when I hear the backing up beeping sound from inside the house after a snow event. I go to the window like a child, every D**n time. wife thinks I'm a weirdo, I am a weirdo, it's fine. heck 9 times out of 10 I watch the trash and recycling truck too lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 NAM 18Z really wants to keep the next low way offshore. Dryer all around. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Looks like we managed 0.8” of snow this morning on top of 1.2” last night. It’s mostly compacted down to about an inch left now. Puts us at 2.7” so far for this event the past few days pretty good stuff. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 40 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: This is a good example of how the Chehalis Gap can take away a chance of snow here, watch the cell that looked decent coming from the south pretty much dissipate to nothing with 5 miles of here. https://a.atmos.washington.edu/weather/radar.shtml I was looking at the satellite loop and I don't think it was the Chehalis Gap that caused the issue this time... it was northerly flow taking over across the area behind the departing low. The Chehalis Gap is probably more of an issue for you when we have a strong east wind. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 8 minutes ago, Cloud said: These are just flat out impressive numbers when you look at the years attached to this November. Until you realize most of it was fake cold/inversions.... 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Brutal 33 cold rain for Friday night in my area, if only it was just a tad colder. No chance it will? 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bishbish777 Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 7 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said: NAM 18Z really wants to keep the next low way offshore. Dryer all around. Doesn't look too good for our area so we can just toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gummy Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 45 minutes ago, gusky said: Important thing on this WRF run is the amount of precip. Much higher than what other models are showing right now Not holding my breath, but we will see. 1-2 inches of actual snow would be fun. An inch of 33 degree slush in Seattle is fun to watch fall but not much of an event. If this was in late January I would be in full weenie mode right now, but it is only the 1st so plenty of time still to score. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I was looking at the satellite loop and I don't think it was the Chehalis Gap that caused the issue this time... it was northerly flow taking over across the area behind the departing low. The Chehalis Gap is probably more of an issue for you when we have a strong east wind. Well, either way, the dissipation happened right at the river. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, DeepFriedEgg said: Until you realize most of it was fake cold/inversions.... That's quite true, but it did the job for the folks that want their "cold fixed" in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, bishbish777 said: Doesn't look too good for our area so we can just toss it. NAM and WRF are stark opposites at this point. Gonna be quite dynamic here for a few days. My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Just now, Cloud said: That's quite true, but it did the job for the folks that want their "cold fixed" in. It also means we probably haven't completely blown our load in the cold/troughing department. A month like February 2019 which features upper level cold anomalies for the entire month, is very very rare. Most of our coldest months got their on the backs of "fake cold." 4 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, Gummy said: Not holding my breath, but we will see. 1-2 inches of actual snow would be fun. An inch of 33 degree slush in Seattle is fun to watch fall but not much of an event. If this was in late January I would be in full weenie mode right now, but it is only the 1st so plenty of time still to score. Likewise, the UW model showed the deformation band over Seattle 12 hours prior to its next run where it pulled it south further. But also this is a very different case and scenario, deformation bands are notoriously hard to forecast. So we'll see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 minute ago, gusky said: NAM and WRF are stark opposites at this point. Gonna be quite dynamic here for a few days. The 00Z NAM last night showed another foot of snow falling in my area today. I can report that did not happen. 2 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Well, either way, the dissipation happened right at the river. Furthermore, the station down by the river has been showing E to ENE winds this morning so there has been a offshore easterly to an extent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, gusky said: NAM and WRF are stark opposites at this point. Gonna be quite dynamic here for a few days. I wouldn’t count on the nam… it showed me getting 8 plus inches last night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: The 00Z NAM last night showed another foot of snow falling in my area today. I can report that did not happen. People don't call it "Not Another Mistake" model for no reason. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Looks like I had a 2am high of 27°. Decent chance that stands. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Furthermore, the station down by the river has been showing E to ENE winds this morning so there has been a offshore easterly to an extent. But all the radar echoes have been fading as they move north today... the upper level support for lifting is sinking south and subsidence is taking over from north to south across the entire area. I don't think the local wind direction is related to precip fading as it moves north today. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 (edited) 20 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said: NAM 18Z really wants to keep the next low way offshore. Dryer all around. The NAM has been significantly drier with that feature for several runs now at least. I think the WRF has been better of late. Hope the WRF is better for Fri. night, cause it's much more moist. Edited December 1, 2022 by Randyc321 stupidity 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Lastest weeklies keep us cooler than normal but a new wrinkle shows troughing moving east around Christmas. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Just now, Randyc321 said: The NAM has been significantly drier with that feature for several runs now at least. I think the WRF has been better of late. Hope the NAM is better for Fri. night, cause it's much more moist. Disregard them all and go with the ECMWF. Its has been amazingly accurate the last couple of days... as usual. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: The 00Z NAM last night showed another foot of snow falling in my area today. I can report that did not happen. Euro will be more telling 1 My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: But all the radar echoes have been fading as they move north today... the upper level support for lifting is sinking south and subsidence is taking over from north to south across the entire area. I don't think the local wind direction is related to precip fading as it moves north today. Are you done? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 Willamette Basin snow pack is 213% of normal. Hood River/Sandy Basin is 228%. Lowest snow pack in Oregon is in the SE corner at 138%. 3 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 7 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said: Lastest weeklies keep us cooler than normal but a new wrinkle shows troughing moving east around Christmas. meh had to happen at some point, bonus is it's not terrible and keeps us cold/chilly. I'll also will be on NYC for XMAS > NYE so maybe I can selfishly see NYC dressed in snow and maybe a 'noreasta 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 1, 2022 Report Share Posted December 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, gusky said: Euro will be more telling Hard to bet against Dr. Nein a lot of the times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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