PNW December 2022 - Part II

[The Blob]

Down to 46.

[Anti Marine Layer]

6 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

North winds have made it to the station of the gods!

Which ones? Greek or Roman or none of the above? 

[SouthHillFrosty]

@snow_wizardvery very light snow. Nothing on radar 

[KingstonWX]

3 minutes ago, WildrootParable said:

If you could shove a few of those down this way I would really appreciate it, thanks! 

I'll see what I can do. Hopefully I haven't used up all my weather favors today. 

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

The EURO is showing an impactful transition for North Bend. Nearly half an inch of ice and 40 mph winds. I’ve noticed it usually overdoes east wind here but that would be wild. 

194.15 kB · 0 downloads

The approach to Snoqualmie Pass can get some horrible ice storms sometimes.  In Dec 1983 there were thousands of small alders snapped like match sticks just east of Ken's Truck Town....if they still call it that.

[Terreboner]

1 minute ago, BLI snowman said:

I would be pretty shocked if they get below 18-19. That's probably about the upper (lower) range of this thing. Similar to January 2004,although that had a better upper level recipe and quite possibly some beefier precip rates as well to help with that.

Crazy to think that this one could hold on with a 1000' or less cold layer for 12-18 hours.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Nothing like dry snow and temps well below freezing!

And good visibility... really nice.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Currently 26. Nice day for a drive. 
Oh I just measured…7”!

Congratulations, you overperformed my forecast for your area by an inch!

[SnowWillarrive]

6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Probably the early part of the Arctic front action.

Really hope that weak CZ develops tonight. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Down to 28 here with a north breeze. The outflow is cranking up through the sound. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Down to 46.

[Phishy Wx]

afternoon band is wrapping up, looks like another 3" ish on top of the 4" from earlier.  Charging batteries for another round of snow blowing this afternoon.  Also need to go to the hardware and get some bib covers for the outside hose spigots.  didn't need them last winter and left the others we had at my old house when we sold it last year

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

I would be pretty shocked if they get below 18-19. That's probably about the upper (lower) range of this thing. Similar to January 2004,although that had a better upper level recipe and quite possibly some beefier precip rates as well to help with that.

That's my feeling.  A poor man's January 2004 with less moisture.  I think I had 19 with wind here on that one.

[Front Ranger]

Man, just brutal how precip cutoff right as temps got to freezing for south King County and Pierce County. To be fair, almost all models did show there would be a very sharp cutoff around this area yesterday. I'd say, aside from the GFS, most had the right idea.

On the bright side, anything that falls later today/tonight should be snow for those folks who missed out so far. And we've seen many times these post-frontal situations can be unpredictable.

[Randyc321]

I did pretty good here on Bainbridge.  Right at  2 1/2” measured right now.  So that doesn’t account for what melted off in the slop fest this am. 
 

Also to my untrained eye it looks like a convergence zone forming over North Kitsap.  Bet it drops    

[Skagit Weather]

10 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Currently 26. Nice day for a drive. 
Oh I just measured…7”!

I think this may be the first time in the history of snow storms that I picked up more than you (9" here). Temperature has warmed up here from 21F to 27F, but I imagine it will still stay below freezing over the next couple hours.

[Christensen87]

9 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Looks like the temp is going to stay at 32 here even though the snow has stopped.  Nice to see that.  The sky still has a very snowy look to it.

Glad we at least got a little white before it ended. 

[Ice_is_Everywhere]

By my eye, that band up by the county border is sliding south, but also weakening. We'll see. If the Euro is right, it's probably not the last of it either.

[KingstonWX]

29 here and lightly snowing again.

[SouthHillFrosty]

 

 

[Ice_is_Everywhere]

Also, the temperature has dropped to 29 with a dp of 28, and I can see some condensation on my double-paned windows. That doesn't happen often.

[Meatyorologist]

I'm happy that my place got some heavy snow and a flash freeze. That's pretty uncommon. Not even mad that we missed out on the big potential... Having anything, let alone a couple inches, is all I wanted as my place heads into the freezer.

It stings though that once again it's a Seattle-north event. Really wish we could all get in on the fun. Friday should hopefully give everyone something to like, as well as the cold Thursday morning.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Gotta give Dewey props. The 2005 comp has been absolute $$$. 

[Requiem]

Great example of how dangerous even a tiny glaze of ice is.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I love that Bellingham climate. Even though we generally get quite a bit more

snow annually than Bellingham, we literally never get these quality arctic blast snows. 

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Gotta give Dewey props. The 2005 comp has been absolute $$$. 

Not exactly pleased about it, but at least it’s been a roided version up north. I may need protective custody in a few weeks though if manages to hold up.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Any possibility a Little low forms off neah bay? I remember that happening in similar situations. I just can’t remember the parameters. @Meatyorologist

[Guest hawkstwelve]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Gotta give Dewey props. The 2005 comp has been absolute $$$. 

Winter 2024-2025 looks to be good if coming off the heels of the expected El Nino.

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

Any possibility a Little low forms off neah bay? I remember that happening in similar situations. I just can’t remember the parameters. @Meatyorologist

You're thinking of a BC slider? Not enough digging offshore for that, unfortunately.

[Front Ranger]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Gotta give Dewey props. The 2005 comp has been absolute $$$. 

Depends on where you're talking...quite different many places. Certainly wasn't any top tier cold air mass nearby in 2005.

But that's analogs.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

Not exactly pleased about it, but at least it’s been a roided version up north. I may need protective custody in a few weeks though if manages to hold up.

Yeah, no years are the same, down here November was definitely colder this year, and December will probably come in warmer than 2005, but generally speaking a good comp. But we will see, maybe the jet extension lasts 2-3

weeks this time and buckles in mid January unleashing the mother lode. On the other hand a warm January with some arctic action in February and cold troughing in March seems like a logical progression. 

[MWG]

We got some freezing rain but not much around 7am then it's just been light rain on and off. Currently 36F

[Front Ranger]

18z GFS like the idea of a another inch or two for Seattle/Tacoma area by early tomorrow.

[SnowySeeker50]

Transition was really close for me looking at cams. Only light freezing rain accumulation here while 2 miles north is snow accumulation.

[Ice_is_Everywhere]

2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

18z GFS like the idea of a another inch or two for Seattle/Tacoma area by early tomorrow.

I'm not going to hold my breath, but hopefully that verifies.

[Brennan]

Finishes with 9” on top of the car parked outside last night. Forest pic is from the top of the sled hill. Sled video coming later. Currently warmed up to 24 degrees. Flat calm here.

[Front Ranger]

18z also continues today's trend of a slower transition and weaker initial warm front Thu/Fri.

[Deweydog]

7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yeah, no years are the same, down here November was definitely colder this year, and December will probably come in warmer than 2005, but generally speaking a good comp. But we will see, maybe the jet extension lasts 2-3

weeks this time and buckles in mid January unleashing the mother lode. On the other hand a warm January with some arctic action in February and cold troughing in March seems like a logical progression. 

Dunno about the mother lode, good chance this will probably be the coldest most get this winter which is kind of a no-brainer, but I still feel strongly about next month. This too shall pass.

Edited December 20, 2022 by Deweydog

[Jean Ralphios Ghost]

Finally put up my weather station!  I know on a roof would probably be best, but do you think this will still do okay for now?

[Doinko]

GFS brings some heavy moisture on Friday... while Portland is in the low 20s