PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion

[TacomaWx]

56 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Interestingly... it has rained almost every day this month but SEA is only at 50% of normal rainfall.     And the last part of the month will likely be fairly dry with more blocking.

Might be similar to January 2019 . January has delivered varying degrees of sh*t in recent years but that one was a warm drier than normal combo. 

[Jakewestsalem]

From the central oregon coast this past weekend between showers. Mist in the air and the sun peeked out about two hours before sunset.

Impressive light through the spruce forest.

[AlTahoe]

8 hours ago, RentonHillTC said:

End of the EPS still looked like this on Jan 17 2019. But it seems like the big sticking point which slowed things down then was Phil stuff about the IPT/IO/MJO/Intraseasonal forcing/subsidence/Nino plus a solid Hudson Bay Vortex/no eastern blocking in place. As far as I can tell, all the former stuff was in our favor this year and there's been solid -NAO for a while, so there's potential for this to move along quicker? Please, someone speculate with me.

 

Wasn't it a massive SSW event in late Jan that caused Feb 2019 to happen? 

[RentonHill]

40 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

Wasn't it a massive SSW event in late Jan that caused Feb 2019 to happen? 

Ya that started at the beginning of January I think. Super big one. Don’t know if we can say it caused it but according to some of Phil’s posts back then it helped for a beefy airmass that stuck around if I interpreted correctly

[MossMan]

The PNA fuzz…

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

4 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Ya that started at the beginning of January I think. Super big one. Don’t know if we can say it caused it but according to some of Phil’s posts back then it helped for a beefy airmass that stuck around if I interpreted correctly

I think it was the reason for Feb 2019 to be snowy and cold.  It was a Nino year, and February in a Nino year is usually the warmest and driest relative to normal.

[TacomaWx]

8 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Let’s set a forum meet up like next Friday night after work or something 

I’m down to meet certain people on the forum but a general meet up that anyone can attend makes me nervous

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Interestingly... it has rained almost every day this month but SEA is only at 50% of normal rainfall.     And the last part of the month will likely be fairly dry with more blocking.

We are at 8.03 inches of rain since the 1st. Really getting soaked over here.

[MossMan]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

We are at 8.03 inches of rain since the 1st. Really getting soaked over here.

Crazy! I think we are still just under 1” for the month. 

[MossMan]

31 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I’m down to meet certain people on the forum but a general meet up that anyone can attend makes me nervous

We are a crazy bunch of party animals here! 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Property is really doing good for snow these last few days. 30 degrees there which is really warm but the humidity stays low most of the time there. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Crazy! I think we are still just under 1” for the month. 

I have had enough rain. Standing water everywhere.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Gfs Alert 

[joelgombiner]

8 hours ago, NWbyNW said:

A place called Inferno's.

Where's the nearest weather-themed bar and grill? Probably doesn't exist. Monitors would be showing the satellite loop, the radar, latest GFS runs, etc... Would have its own weather station naturally. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

45 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I’m down to meet certain people on the forum but a general meet up that anyone can attend makes me nervous

I think Andrew is pretty excited to show everyone his collection of skulls soaked in lye 

[SouthHillFrosty]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Gfs Alert 

 

[SouthHillFrosty]

46 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I’m down to meet certain people on the forum but a general meet up that anyone can attend makes me nervous

Don’t worry, Phil can mediate the forum meet up on a teams call lol

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Would be cool to gather someplace for beer and pizza. All the times i drive through North bend i have thought about meeting Tim someplace and buy him a beer. We drive past when going to cabin.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nice warning shot

[SilverFallsAndrew]

9 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Don’t worry, Phil can mediate the forum meet up on a teams call lol

I’m down to map a zoom appearance. 

 

11 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I think Andrew is pretty excited to show everyone his collection of skulls soaked in lye 

Dogs bring them in, it’s only proper to treat them with the dignity they deserve. 

[Christensen87]

Loving these new GFS trends! FINALLY some excitement in the long range to track. CFS has been looking better as well the past few runs. 

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

9 hours ago, RentonHillTC said:

Day 15.

The weeklies that will come out today are an extension of this run.  Will be interesting for sure.

[Hawksfan2008]

Trying to plan a February vacation knowing whichever date I pick will ensure I miss out on an arctic blast

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nice couple warning shots on the GFS, then a big load of cold air into the middle of the country to end the month, setting up afterwards for some retrogression and February delight. 

[Cloud]

Look like there could potentially be some funsies to track around these parts in early Feb. while I'm  out of the country. Of course!

[joelgombiner]

1 minute ago, Cloud said:

Look like there could potentially be some funsies to track around these parts in early Feb. while I'm  out of the country. Of course!

15 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

Trying to plan a February vacation knowing whichever date I pick will ensure I miss out on an arctic blast

We appreciate your sacrifices! 

[Randyc321]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Gfs Alert 

That might bring some traffic back to the forum.  This place has been as boring as the weather.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

3 hours ago, TacomaWx said:

Might be similar to January 2019 . January has delivered varying degrees of sh*t in recent years but that one was a warm drier than normal combo. 

As long as it leads to a February like 2019.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Anomalies on the last frame of the GFS. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

7 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

As long as it leads to a February like 2019.

Probably won't see something like that again in our lifetime (In February at least.). I don't think I truly appreciated how special February 2019 was in the moment, and in many ways I think a lot of us still fail to recognize how special it was. We talk a lot about the all-time months, the January 1969's, January 1950's, December 2008's of the world. February 2019 is in that pantheon IMO. In our climate the ceiling on a February is not going to be that of a great December or January, but February 2019 was about as special as they get. 

[fubario]

9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Anomalies on the last frame of the GFS. 

South

East

Ridge

[NWbyNW]

1 hour ago, joelgombiner said:

Where's the nearest weather-themed bar and grill? Probably doesn't exist. Monitors would be showing the satellite loop, the radar, latest GFS runs, etc... Would have its own weather station naturally. 

Uhhhh.... Well.... there is Toranado's Bar & Grill in Cedar Rapids, Iowa!  See ya all there!

 

 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

14 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Probably won't see something like that again in our lifetime (In February at least.). I don't think I truly appreciated how special February 2019 was in the moment, and in many ways I think a lot of us still fail to recognize how special it was. We talk a lot about the all-time months, the January 1969's, January 1950's, December 2008's of the world. February 2019 is in that pantheon IMO. In our climate the ceiling on a February is not going to be that of a great December or January, but February 2019 was about as special as they get. 

I’d be happy with getting half as much snow next month as I got in Feb 2019.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I’d be happy with getting half as much snow next month as I got in Feb 2019.

Me too. It would still be my 5th snowiest month. 

[Deweydog]

12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Probably won't see something like that again in our lifetime (In February at least.). I don't think I truly appreciated how special February 2019 was in the moment, and in many ways I think a lot of us still fail to recognize how special it was. We talk a lot about the all-time months, the January 1969's, January 1950's, December 2008's of the world. February 2019 is in that pantheon IMO. In our climate the ceiling on a February is not going to be that of a great December or January, but February 2019 was about as special as they get. 

Eh. Call it a raging case of backyarditis, but there’s no way a month with a min/max in the mid 30’s can be thrown in the mix with a month like January 1950. 

[LowerGarfield]

5 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Nice but it's pretty sad when I get paid tomorrow and it's not until the following pay period if it verifies. LoL.

[LowerGarfield]

36 minutes ago, Randyc321 said:

That might bring some traffic back to the forum.  This place has been as boring as the weather.

This place has looked like the California thread on this site lately.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

8 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Eh. Call it a raging case of backyarditis, but there’s no way a month with a min/max in the mid 30’s can be thrown in the mix with a month like January 1950. 

Fair. Yeah I wouldn’t say February 2019 rivaled January 1950, no February can, more so for a February it set a pretty high bar for sustained cold and snow. To me it will always be the January 1969 of Februaries. 

[Slushy Inch]

Retrograde trying to get going like on GEFS.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

24 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Me too. It would still be my 5th snowiest month. 

Added to what I got in November and December, it would result in my snowiest winter since moving to the PNW.