ShawniganLake Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 7 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Snowpiles from last night off my car Quick. Make a crater in your back yard and shade that stuff from the sun. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Tyler Mode Posted January 29, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 Love these days! 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 The winds are working out perfectly with this. Much of last night was clam here which allowed the temp to drop, now it's breezy today which is keeping the temp down, and then it calms down pretty early this evening according to the models. 36/25 so far today. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said: Love these days! This month has sure been hard on the snowpack in the Basin. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 37 in Corvallis with a direct north wind. What a beautiful day! Just exceptionally clear. Wish we got more days like this in the winter. 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 18 minutes ago, MossMan said: Lovely spring day! Even have the front door open for more light. Guess I should take the wreath down. Door open when it's in the 30s? Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 28 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Really nice signal at the end of the 12Z EPS. Not bad! C'MON!!!! 00z ECMWF in 9 hours 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 Pretty easy to see how much different the north half of Central and Eastern WA and the south half are in the winter! 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Pretty easy to see how much different the north half of Central and Eastern WA and the south half are in the winter! Summer too... that is a basin. 4 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Pretty easy to see how much different the north half of Central and Eastern WA and the south half are in the winter! Gets snowy again once you move south out of the Columbia Basin into the highlands of eastern Oregon. 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 5 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Not bad! C'MON!!!! 00z ECMWF in 9 hours if nothing materializes then I give up on these dreadful one sided winters in seattle/tacoma/etc. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 14 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Door open when it's in the 30s? It’s a pretty hardcore storm door so no cold air coming in. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 2 hours ago, BLI snowman said: Over/under 45 at PDX today!!? 39˚F as of latest report. Looks like under wins. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 Really too bad there wasn't any serious cold air available in BC with this. Could have easily been a region wide blast. As it is a decent cold snap, but it could have been much more. 5 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said: It’s been mentioned by others but it would be pretty nice to enter a reasonably wet pattern at some point. We are starting to fall pretty far behind for the year to date. It has been leaning dry. Sometimes it's hard to notice this time of year since so many days have been dreary anyway. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 48 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: 37 in Corvallis with a direct north wind. What a beautiful day! Just exceptionally clear. Wish we got more days like this in the winter. Green! 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: Really nice signal at the end of the 12Z EPS. Crumbs 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 4 minutes ago, RentonHill said: Crumbs It's only an ensemble mean that is pretty far out. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 14 minutes ago, RentonHill said: Crumbs Hmmm… The John Candy classic (eh) Who’s Harry Crumb was released on 2/3/89. 3 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 6 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Hmmm… The John Candy classic (eh) Who’s Harry Crumb was released on 2/3/89. Dewey Cox was released in December 2007 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 14 hours ago, snow_wizard said: I was talking about the 500mb PV. The SSW is apparently going to disrupt it. That’s the TPV, and it’s almost always “split” in some manner or another. But of course it’s never good news when it’s fully consolidated over NE-Canada (like it will be next week). 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 But have to say I’m not liking the trends across guidance of late. After this current brush with arctic cold, there’s a good chance we won’t see any arctic air enter the lower-48 again until sometime in March (IMO). SSW will fail/PV will restrengthen, with lackluster wave driving thanks to the broad Aleutian High. And no Scandinavian Ridge either. So nothing to prevent a move to full blown +NAM and/or +EPO. All precursors point to a warm/boring February across the CONUS. Especially in the East, but probably coast to coast. 2 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 40 at SEA on the hour. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 Phil just said it’s over. I’m ready for summer anyway. 1 3 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 2 hours ago, Deweydog said: A gift for you… https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudden_stratospheric_warming You’re not entirely wrong, Jim, although you definitely seem ironically hung up on what is a fairly minor warming episode when compared to an event which results in a reversal (2018, 2019, 2021…). When you were upset with people earlier this month for putting too much emphasis on a possible event, the potential was a few notches better, as was the potential timing. If there was a meaningful SSW on the horizon, you know I would be all over it, haha. There is nothing about the pattern going forward that will augment wave driving in a manner that will threaten the PV. It’s just not going to happen. Sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but some things are out of our control as wishcasters. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 15 minutes ago, RentonHill said: Dewey Cox was released in December 2007 Underrated JCR classic. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 8 minutes ago, Phil said: But have to say I’m not liking the trends across guidance of late. After this current brush with arctic cold, there’s a good chance we won’t see any arctic air enter the lower-48 again until sometime in March (IMO). SSW will fail/PV will restrengthen, with lackluster wave driving thanks to the broad Aleutian High. And no Scandinavian Ridge either. So nothing to prevent a move to full blown +NAM and/or +EPO. All precursors point to a warm/boring February across the CONUS. Especially in the East, but probably coast to coast. Yous guys can have it in March. You’re welcome. 2 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 Love sunny/snowy. Hopefully, the snow helps maximize the cold 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 The precursor patterns were strong in 2017/18, 2018/19, and 2020/21. All culminated a major SSW events that culminated in bonafide “blocking” patterns that redirected RWTs, which is how they delivered in the PNW and elsewhere across the NH. There is nothing even remotely close to that going forward. To the contrary, the upcoming NH pattern will help strengthen the PV/TPV and lock up the arctic airmass in the high latitudes. Even though it’s a “cool” pattern for the west, it will become progressively less continental (and less cool in general) as the polar airmass gradually retracts. And may eventually end up warm/zonal altogether. The pattern may grow more favorable for upward wave driving during the second half of February, but that pattern itself is associated with warmth in the PNW/other places. So that pattern, should it manifest, will take at least a couple weeks to knock out the vortex, at which point we will be into March. Not ready to close the curtain just yet, but it’s getting close. 5 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 I don't know when this will turn around, but the Washington Cascades are still significantly below average precipitation for every period from the last 7 days to the last 12 months. They're 15-25"+ below normal in the last six months (shown below). Hoping that eventually the storm train returns for Feb-April. 4 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 6 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: I don't know when this will turn around, but the Washington Cascades are still significantly below average precipitation for every period from the last 7 days to the last 12 months. They're 15-25"+ below normal in the last six months (shown below). Hoping that eventually the storm train returns for Feb-April. Looks like we're going to need another big Spring. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 4 hours ago, Phishy Wx said: how old is that pic? looks like a snowfield. the copyright date isn't necessarily the photo date. I can't be 100% certain, but it says Imagery 2023, Map Data 2023. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 9 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: I don't know when this will turn around, but the Washington Cascades are still significantly below average precipitation for every period from the last 7 days to the last 12 months. They're 15-25"+ below normal in the last six months (shown below). Hoping that eventually the storm train returns for Feb-April. I am sure March and April will be non-stop storms and mountain snow. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 Just now, TT-SEA said: I am sure March and April will be non-stop storms and mountain snow. I hope so honestly. Throw in some cold core convection, hail, and t-storms too. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 11 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: I don't know when this will turn around, but the Washington Cascades are still significantly below average precipitation for every period from the last 7 days to the last 12 months. They're 15-25"+ below normal in the last six months (shown below). Hoping that eventually the storm train returns for Feb-April. Snowpack isn't bad which is good to see, but hopefully we can see a wetter pattern set up 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 7 hours ago, Ray said: Well said! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowySeeker50 Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 Can see the Olympics with todays clear skies. Nice day for a walk 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 Another disappointing day on the forum. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Another disappointing day on the forum. How so? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 Cheer up, Day 13 of the Druncle is shaping up! Obviously it's a lock, it's coming, and it's a MBG! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by Cascadia_Wx,
Legendary
Recommended by Meatyorologist
16 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.