Really, really lovely cumulonimbus action tonight! I just happened to have my drone in the car and got some solid shots of DT Seattle/Lake Washington/Mercer Island/Bellevue looking north from Skyway. Alas, the focal length of the lens doesn't do the vertical height justice and my WB was off rendering it into semi-gross HDR territory, but still... fun looking weather! It was quite windy- I was flying right at 390 ft and the drone was giving me all sorts of warnings about sustained winds/gusts.
A most incredible snow storm. At times the snowfall rates have been as heavy or slightly heavier than January 2017. Temp 27.5, Dewpoint: 27.1 with gusty east wind and very heavy snow continuing. I'm at 11 1/2" now! UNBELIEVABLE!!!! This pic does no justice at all.
NBM is quite an interesting product! Their weighting algorithm is moderately complex and dynamic, though does has some drawbacks as we saw yesterday. For those who don't know, NBM is an attempt by NOAA to create a super probabilistic forecast model that ingests output from all the models above and outputs forecast guidance for local offices that help them to gauge the relative odds of particular weather outcomes. The 'special sauce' is the post-processing, normalization and weighting that they d
After decades of fire suppression, I think it's time do the opposite if you know what I mean....
I'll start with the palm tree forests, already ordered my flamethrower off Temu.
Looks like the odds makers are going with a 61% chance of Trump being convicted in New York. Given what a horrible witness Cohen was that seems dubious to me. There have to be 2 or 3 people on the jury who don't hate Trump and they might be hard to swing to a guilty verdict. Another problem is you almost have to fit a square peg into a round hole to come up with anything Trump may have done that is outside the statute of limitations. The part of the case they could actually convict him on is very convoluted.
The odds are -400 on a hung jury. I would bet on those odds if I was a gambling man.
It was obvious it would get hot. The GFS went to like 118. It was overblown by that measure, but still unreal. For some reason the GFS meteograms just go absurd with high temps for Seattle in the summer.
As I've mentioned before. I can never recall having a major bout of forest fire smoke here during the part of the 20th century I witnessed. Some of that is because they used to do a lot fire suppression.
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