October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[MossMan]

Clouds. Hopefully they clear off tonight.

[Gradient Keeper]

18z GEFS says "No Soup(or Stew?) for you!"

[Winterdog]

Clouds. Hopefully they clear off tonight.

Unfortunately the latest satellite loop shows the high thin clouds becoming more of an issue later tonight at least for us northerners.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Up to 52F. Should be our coldest high yet but we shall see if we get a last minute jump to 55F or so. DPs in the 20s now.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[Front Ranger]

Possible state record low set in Nebraska this morning as well (for October), with a -16 reading at Harrison 9NE. Listed state record for the month is -15 in 1925.

That makes 4 potential state records?

[Deweydog]

How many degrees did KOLM break their October record by last night?

[High Desert Mat?]

I guess no one wants me to turn the sprinkler on again tonight to see if I can reach the ground with icicles. It should be around 10 tonight for a low.

 

Btw, the official low at RDM this morning was 3.

[Kayla]

FWIW... the 12Z EPS is quite a bit farther east with the cold air next week compared to the operational run.

 

It also shows a warmer and wetter pattern developing by the end of the run.  

 

It's way colder for here so it is also trending west. It's going to be okay.

[umadbro]

I guess no one wants me to turn the sprinkler on again tonight to see if I can reach the ground with icicles. It should be around 10 tonight for a low.

 

Btw, the official low at RDM this morning was 3.

I personally don't care what you do or don't do.

[TT-SEA]

It's way colder for here so it is also trending west. It's going to be okay.

I don't mind a repeat... it's been beautiful here.

 

But I don't live above the arctic circle like you.

[MossMan]

47/28 on the day. Currently 38.

[snow_wizard]

I'm not too surprised by the ECMWF solution today.  It has been advertising a very strong cold surface high over Western Canada for a few runs now and the trend has also been for a stronger GOA ridge next week on all of the models.  A stronger GOA ridge will cause the Canadian surface high to drop straight south instead of SE like earlier runs.  A very cold outcome is pretty possible.

[TacomaWaWx]

Can’t beat orcas island on a cold late October day!

[snow_wizard]

47/28 on the day. Currently 38.

 

The 33 at SEA today was pretty noteworthy.  They have had 4 mins of 35 or lower now this month. I'm guess you might have to go back decades to find the last time that happened in October.  The fact it has happened with three different cold air masses puts it in rarified territory.

 

At any rate I think a lot of places will be colder tonight than last night.  I managed 28 even though it struggled to decouple last night.  The air is still bone dry so this could be good!

[TacomaWaWx]

49/30 back home in Tacoma, 3rd day in a row below 50. Had the coldest morning of the season yet today.

[wx_statman]

That makes 4 potential state records?

 

If we count unofficial readings, then 6 states exceeded previous *official* state records. It's a little difficult to sort things out at the moment, but this is what I'm aware of:

 

-46 at Peter Sinks, UT (outside of sink locations, two unofficial stations in Randolph hit -23 and -22 which also exceed the state record for towns)

-33 at two unofficial stations in WY (Union Pacific 345 and WYDOT 56)

-21 at two unofficial stations in ID (Copper Basin RAWS and Fairfield AGRIMET)

-21 at Jefferson, CO (CoAgMet)

-17 at a Union Pacific weather station in NV (also an official -16 at Austin Airport exceeding state record of -10 from 1970)

-16 at Harrison 9NE COOP, NE

 

*EDITED - Austin, NV actually hit -16 this morning, not -15. 

[Omegaraptor]

Wind just calmed at HIO and the temp dropped from 48 to 41 in one hour.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

45 and pleasant this evening. Sushi for dinner.

[Jesse]

45 and pleasant this evening. Sushi for dinner.

I ate sushi in October 2002.

[Deweydog]

I ate sushi in October 2002.

Haha!

 

Analogs are DUMB

[Winterdog]

47/23 today. Currently 36 with a DP of 31.

[Jesse]

[ShawniganLake]

[Deweydog]

We’re losing Thanksgiving, guys.

[ShawniganLake]

We’re losing Thanksgiving, guys.

I for one am not feeling it.

[Deweydog]

I for one am not feeling it.

That’s because your Thanksgiving is in the past.

[Omegaraptor]

HIO is down to 37.

[Deweydog]

HIO is down to 37.

Could go lower than that.

[Deweydog]

I was helping a friend build a deck today in the Washougal highlands and it was cold. The ground was FROZEN.

 

Said conditions were unusual for October.

[umadbro]

Could go lower than that.

It'll be higher by noon tomorrow

[Jesse]

[TT-SEA]

Someone is very anxious about bad analogs.

[Deweydog]

My lips are chapped.

[umadbro]

Someone is very anxious about bad analogs.

Agreed. Jesse wouldn't mock someone. That's above him.

[GHweatherChris]

11/20

[Jesse]

[BLI snowman]

The last time a Washington D.C. baseball team played in a World Series Game 7 was in 1925, a year that is also the proud owner of several record lows that were recently broken across the West.

[Deweydog]

Good luck finding an analog for a team losing every home game in a seven game series.

[Phil]

The last time a Washington D.C. baseball team played in a World Series Game 7 was in 1925, a year that is also the proud owner of several record lows that were recently broken across the West.

But we lost that one. #BadAnalog