East Dubzz Posted October 28, 2019 Report Share Posted October 28, 2019 18z GFS pretty similar to the 12z run. Still staying in fantasy land with some of these totals. Question: The GFS has snow for like 24 straight hours. Is the Euro showing the same? Or how long does that have it sticking around? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 28, 2019 Report Share Posted October 28, 2019 No change on 18z GFS. Still a huge snow event in E Iowa. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted October 28, 2019 Report Share Posted October 28, 2019 Upper atmo definitely cold. 39 degrees and we got flakes. Super small though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted October 28, 2019 Report Share Posted October 28, 2019 I'd say continue looking for a NW shift in the models over the next couple days. At least enough for it to make sense. I don't see a low this weak having the highest amounts in SE Iowa in late October. Models tend to not account for climo until a couple days before. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 28, 2019 Report Share Posted October 28, 2019 This is for the whole week 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 28, 2019 Report Share Posted October 28, 2019 I'd say continue looking for a NW shift in the models over the next couple days. At least enough for it to make sense. I don't see a low this weak having the highest amounts in SE Iowa in late October. Models tend to not account for climo until a couple days before.I don't forsee significant track shifts at this point. Maybe a little bit here or there, like up to 50 miles but nothing huge. All the relevant features are over land in the US/Canada so I think the general track is fairly well set. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 28, 2019 Report Share Posted October 28, 2019 i think the bigger question is does the storm wrap up a little more like the GFS shows and therefore higher qpf. Euro was showing the more wrapped up solution for days before dropping it in recent days, now the GFS has picked up on it. I find the Euro is usually only wrong when it shows the heaviest snow over my area. So it will probably be right this time. LOL. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted October 28, 2019 Report Share Posted October 28, 2019 I hate living on the lake sometimes haha 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxmidatlantic Posted October 28, 2019 Report Share Posted October 28, 2019 Travis trit. Drift off to dream in my arms.... Quote A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted October 28, 2019 Report Share Posted October 28, 2019 NWS forecast now has 2 inches of snow tonight for Cedar Rapids. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 28, 2019 Report Share Posted October 28, 2019 Local met going with 1-2" tonight! I'm excited. First snowfall of the season knocking on my doorstep! Just got done with some last minute outdoor work. Cleaned all the leaves out of the gutters. I like doing that when all or most of the leaves have fallen and before the gutters get full of snow and ice. Might even have a quick fire before the snow moves in! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted October 28, 2019 Report Share Posted October 28, 2019 got all the plants and bushes trimmed leaves blown outta flower beds and gutters cleaned should be good for a week....bring on the first WWA! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted October 28, 2019 Report Share Posted October 28, 2019 Flakes started flying about 40 minutes ago here SW of Des Moines. Now it's starting to pick up. Visibility dropping and temp too. Good stuff to see, especially in October. 34/21 here...no accumulation, yet. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted October 28, 2019 Report Share Posted October 28, 2019 Don't tell me this is going to be another year where models show Nebraska getting the storm a week out and then it completely whiffs and hits to the east, because that's exactly what this one is doing. We get cold and basically dusted, not exactly a good feeling after we were bullseyed for days last week. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted October 28, 2019 Report Share Posted October 28, 2019 Don't tell me this is going to be another year where models show Nebraska getting the storm a week out and then it completely whiffs and hits to the east, because that's exactly what this one is doing. We get cold and basically dusted, not exactly a good feeling after we were bullseyed for days last week. Remember when you broke all time snow records last year?? Pretty sure it’s our turn!!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Yikes folks, it’s a little early in the year for this. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Yes, but accumulations won't be as much as those farther west of me. Warm lake is not a friend during October snows.No matter what happens, I'd say its a heck of a way to end October and start November. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Snowing in Kansas City 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 "Several inches of snow will fall across this stretch, with some locales receiving up to a foot," Longley said from Accu-weather.In addition to the heavy snow, strong winds will also help to create blowing and drifting snow, and may lead to near-blizzard conditions at times. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Remember when you broke all time snow records last year?? Pretty sure it’s our turn!!!Clint's in GI. GI got screwed while those of us in Lincoln and Omaha got smashed. He can complain. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 I agree with the bolded...in future cycles, this pattern could easily produce those results given how these troughs dive S out of B.C into the inter-mountain west along with a slight SER. The clash between the air masses in future cycles are going to be eye candy. Frontal boundaries have been common so far this month. Keep that Bermuda High just off shore and we are in business. '79 was beastly, but w/o typical bliz winds (tho I'm sure the best winds were had around your area): Dec 2000 was stout and finished with legit bliz conditions for final 4-6 hrs where I was: Can you imagine what getting either would be like, less than one week after whatever Olga's winter version might have delivered? 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 29, 2019 Author Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 '79 was beastly, but w/o typical bliz winds (tho I'm sure the best winds were had around your area): 19790115_072_total.png Dec 2000 was stout and finished with legit bliz conditions for final 4-6 hrs where I was: 20001213_072_total.png Can you imagine what getting either less than one week after whatever Olga's winter version might have delivered?Where do I sign up for these? And yes, I was thinking the same thing earlier today! Haha 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Clint's in GI. GI got screwed while those of us in Lincoln and Omaha got smashed. He can complain. Yeah, hope he gets pummelled at least once this winter! Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 '79 was beastly, but w/o typical bliz winds (tho I'm sure the best winds were had around your area): 19790115_072_total.png Dec 2000 was stout and finished with legit bliz conditions for final 4-6 hrs where I was: 20001213_072_total.png Can you imagine what getting either would be like, less than one week after whatever Olga's winter version might have delivered? Those are patently false and I know this because there are 12" reports in eastern Iowa on both of those maps, and I can assure you that doesn't happen here. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
erburns18 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Whole time I lived in Iowa City for school never snowed over 7 inches Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Last band slowly working through now on this first wave. Got a dusting on the cars and grass. Although I have to say my favorite part was taking my daughter out in. She was mesmerized. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Anyone have the 18z Euro? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Whole time I lived in Iowa City for school never snowed over 7 inches Years? Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 I'm still sitting at 40º, which means the precip should start as rain shortly. However, Ottumwa went from 39º and light rain at 7pm to 33º and light snow at 8pm, so it should switch over quickly. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Anyone have the 18z Euro?Further SE 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Further SE 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Dry air killing this first wave. I havent seen a flake yet. And its still 35 degrees. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 It's snowing here! It did not begin as rain. 4 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Nevermind! It literally JUST started snowing and its coming down pretty hard! Already a dusting on the the deck! 34 degrees! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Just started snowing, so this is the first snowfall in Cedar Rapids. October 28, 2019. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Snow is falling in North Liberty 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Still just flurries, though. The air is a bit dry. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Snow was coming down pretty good here. Just lightened up a little now 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Slick roads in the area, NWS Hastings Twitter. https://twitter.com/nwshastings/status/1188994148264624129?s=21 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Grass is getting covered, probably 1/4-1/2" and still snowing lightly. Roads are just wet. 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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