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July 2023 PNW Observations and Discussions


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5 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

 Dallas has had about an inch of rain total since June 1st and somehow its still fairly green despite being frequently in the 100s.  

 

 

dl6.jpg

That is because it is being watered by the sweat of the populace. 

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7 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Here is the 4-panel cloud loop for the rest of the week... low clouds never really fill in and not much in the way of mid-level clouds after the band passing through this morning.    Looks fairly sunny but never totally sunny.    And should be smoke-free.   The left two panels are the most meaningful in terms of being cloudy or sunny... the ECMWF tends to make high clouds look thicker than reality.  Should be a visually beautiful week ahead with pleasant temps.

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-clouds_fourpanel-1690264800-1690297200-1690588800-10.gif

Remember, it's depicting coverage, not density. It's the same logic behind KSEA reporting 'overcast' during what is otherwise barely filtered sunshine.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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1 minute ago, Phil said:

The sky is a deeper blue here for sure. Less gunk.

It's hazier and more humid than it has been recently. Just on Sunday, we had vividly clear air, to the point where you could see the details of the Cascades. Stratocumulus today is making the sky beautiful though!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Skies clearing out in the city of ALBANY. Should hit the low to mid 80s this afternoon. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, Meatyorologist said:

It's hazier and more humid than it has been recently. Just on Sunday, we had vividly clear air, to the point where you could see the details of the Cascades. Stratocumulus today is making the sky beautiful though!

Damn I’d love to see a day like that. This air is already clearer than anything I’ve seen in 6+ weeks.

Just made it to Everett. Crazy to think the last time I was here was pre-covid, 4yrs ago. Doesn’t feel that long ago!

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9 minutes ago, Phil said:

D**n I’d love to see a day like that. This air is already clearer than anything I’ve seen in 6+ weeks.

Just made it to Everett. Crazy to think the last time I was here was pre-covid, 4yrs ago. Doesn’t feel that long ago!

Guessing you'll be using PAE for primary station?

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Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft

Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft

☥𓂀✡️

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Phil, I can't remember why you are in Seattle? Do you actually have family there, I've never quite understood that part, or if you are actually a real person who actually exists...

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Oh and BTW, I will be in DC the 2nd full week of October, at least Monday-Wednesday. I will be staying at the Hyatt, drinks on me. Open invitation. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 hours ago, Phil said:

Landed. Keeping an eye out for the SeaTac sensor.

Pretty sure it’s where I circled in this pic.

A82061CC-9C4A-40B2-90DD-207BF6D142AE.jpeg

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2024 Warm Season Stats

Number of 80+ days - 2

Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86)

Number of 90+ days - 0

Number of 95+ days - 0

Number of 60+ lows - 0

 

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The first weekend in August looks locked in for a warm period. Probably doesn’t qualify as a true heat wave although KSEA will surely find a way to hit 90 or 91.  I’m amazed at how good the model consensus is, even the GEFS isn’t all that different from the Euro although slightly warmer. Euro ensembles are in beautiful lockstep. 

IMG_0565.png

IMG_0563.png

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27 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Phil, I can't remember why you are in Seattle? Do you actually have family there, I've never quite understood that part, or if you are actually a real person who actually exists...

He is an early AI test model that went crazy over a decade ago so they took him up to Stampede Pass in hopes his microprocessor would freeze…But it only made him grow stronger! 
image.gif

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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EUG had 0.01" of precip. Springfield had nothing measurable unfortunately.

Up to 80F here.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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31 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

EUG had 0.01" of precip. Springfield had nothing measurable unfortunately.

Up to 80F here.

I can’t remember any models showing precip getting that far south, so this actually represents overperformance!

Hopefully you have better luck with the next system, whenever it comes. Although summers do tend to get drier the further south one gets, just the way it is.

It's called clown range for a reason.

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7 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

before we call this alarmist, its happened many times in the climatological past

 

 

Not only has it happened before... it was the theme of a spectacularly realistic move called The Day After Tomorrow!  

If this plays out (as of course it will) then you can expect a worldwide flash freeze within days.   Millions of people would die instantly.   Does not sound like an emergency though... just a cold lovers dream.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Not only has it happened before... it was the theme of a spectacularly realistic move called The Day After Tomorrow!  

If this plays out (as of course it will) then you can expect a worldwide flash freeze within days.   Millions of people would die instantly.   Does not sound like an emergency though... just a cold lovers dream.   

except it has happened a few times before, but obviously less dramatic than a Hollywood take on a global flash freeze

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1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said:

except it has happened a few times before, but obviously less dramatic than a Hollywood take on a global flash freeze

Yes... its how warming periods are naturally reversed.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said:

well I guess I've changed my mind, not a D**n thing to do now but enjoy the chaotic ride.  

Not much you can do... unless you have a way to get the entire world to end use of fossil fuels immediately.   But we are going for a ride either way.    The entire history of the Earth has been one long chaotic ride.     Might as well enjoy it because you don't have a choice.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

still sitting in the mid 70s over here.. I guess we can get a nice day or two before the serious heat rolls back in next week

It's 82F right now which is pretty close to historical normals for my area. Honestly with it being just above 80, my body is actually a bit cool when I go outside after temps were 15 degrees warmer. last week.

I went to a Mariners game on this date in 2018. They played the Giants and it was something like 90 degrees out and was baking in the bleachers. Baseball reference says first pitch that day was 74F and they were wrong. Hoping someone with weather history can confirm this.

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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1 minute ago, LowerGarfield said:

It's 82F right now which is pretty close to historical normals for my area. Honestly with it being just above 80, my body is actually a bit cool when I go outside after temps were 15 degrees warmer. last week.

I went to a Mariners game on this date in 2018. They played the Giants and it was something like 90 degrees out and was baking in the bleachers. Baseball reference says first pitch that day was 74F and they were wrong. Hoping someone with weather history can confirm this.

High was 92 at SEA that day.

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