January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part I)

[smerfylicious]

Just now, VancouverIslandSouth said:

This is different, significant snow starts quite a bit earlier over the Strait of Georgia, from Monday night all through to Tuesday evening.

That's pretty D**n sexy. How are temps looking for that timeframe? Is this a borderline or phantom snow read?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

This run is significantly worse for the Willamette Valley.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Tonight's 00z versus yesterday's 06z, 12z, 18z, the 00z isn't looking much like them

 

 

WOOHOO

[Requiem]

I don't adore that westward dig but I feel as though things end up trending too far east than they do too far west (hoping I don't jinx this)

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Just now, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Tonight's 00z versus yesterday's 06z, 12z, 18z, the 00z isn't looking much like them

 

 

WOOHOO

 

Edit: well it's similar to the 06z now that I look closer, but that was a good run anyways 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7 (4-run trend)

[Weiner Warrior]

2 minutes ago, SpaceRace22 said:

Too bad the snow levels wont ever get below 1000ft

Sea level temps mid to upper 30's so probably 500 to 1000 ft is likely. 

[Phishy Wx]

its decent  i guess

[smerfylicious]

1 minute ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Tonight's 00z versus yesterday's 06z, 12z, 18z, the 00z isn't looking much like them

 

 

WOOHOO

Look at that phat Greenland high sitting right on Greenland. That's niiiice. 

[Cold Snap]

4 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said:

This is different, significant snow starts quite a bit earlier over the Strait of Georgia, from Monday night all through to Tuesday evening.

Looks good from Tacoma north.

[SeanNyberg]

I'm not worried about the slight shift in the GFS.

It brings more snow chances to Seattle earlier on and the same general setup is still in play. This thing will wobble and pulse for the next five days, as long as it doesn't flatten we are good!

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, Requiem said:

I don't adore that westward dig but I feel as though things end up trending too far east than they do too far west (hoping I don't jinx this)

Westward digs have been very common in recent years when we have a big league airmass nearby. They’re great at stalling the true surface cold somewhere up around the Puget Sound. See Jan 2020, December 2021 etc.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Ehhhh........

[SpaceRace22]

1 minute ago, Weiner Warrior said:

Sea level temps mid to upper 30's so probably 500 to 1000 ft is likely. 

You realize the cold part hasn't actually happened on the 00z yet, right?

[Weiner Warrior]

Bellingham and vancouver get nailed

[VancouverIslandSouth]

3 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

That's pretty D**n sexy. How are temps looking for that timeframe? Is this a borderline or phantom snow read?

Quite borderline, particularly anywhere south of the low. North of the low it may hold out as snow with support from low level outflow and precipitation rates. 

[Requiem]

GEM seems fine up to hour 192 fwiw 

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

17 minutes ago, Jbolin said:

I wonder how the 12Z Brazilian is looking? 

Let the pun-fun begin. 

That is password protected.  Not a joke, there is a Brazilian Atmospheric Model, but I can't find it anywhere publicly accessible.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Another massive snow run for me. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

[Kolk1604]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Ehhhh........

 

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, SpaceRace22 said:

You realize the cold part hasn't actually happened on the 00z yet, right?

Yeah, still not very far into the run yet. The snowfall shown on the gfs early next week would not be snow for people below 500’ most likely. Temps are well above freezing. 

[Christensen87]

Chicago gets a nice blizzard too. 

[Doinko]

[lowlandsnow]

GEM looks really good

[Weiner Warrior]

Arctic front. Here comes the kold

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

The 0Z GFS is about the same as last night's 0Z temp wise a week from now.  Not as cold as 12Z, maybe delayed like Jesse said.

[SouthHillFrosty]

[RentonHill]

regardless of what happens after this its a total victory imo that we still end up with this situation

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8

[Doinko]

[Phishy Wx]

its partially over

[Timmy]

At least the icon looks fine

Edited January 4 by Timmy

[Chewbacca Defense]

UUUUHHHHHHH......91 pages and we are only 3 days in?

 

Feel like that is some sort of record or something.....

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Bummer for folks in Western Oregon. Another border hugger event.

[Kolk1604]

1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said:

its partially over

How so? 

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Looks a bit warmer, but much snowier on the 0Z GFS, not as good for places further south though.

[Ken in Wood Village]

2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 8

See what's coming over the high pressure from Alaska. I think that's another low which could be coming our way.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Bummer for folks in Western Oregon. Another border hugger event.

Not really. The WV only had two inches through this run on the 18z at the same time.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 9'er