my God, this forum has devolved into the worst of the worst. It's always emotional and reactionary in here, but it seems that the rational and seasoned members have pulled back to make way for the kids.
I'm going to step back for the day too. It's just too much uninformed nonsense.
I am excited for a lot of you guys, because it seems like this is your first time tracking a PNW winter storm. I remember my first time.
I am also going off trends. The ECMWF has slowly evolved from wet and active to showing no systems and sunshine for most of the next 10 days. If you just looked at the models for the first time since last week you might be expecting a death ridge and now it looks much more reasonable. But if you track the ECMWF every day... the slow and steady trend to drier and sunnier over the last few runs is quite noticeable.
The EPS may lean dry but it lacks the granular resolution to resolve small scale precip opportunites. Not that it's wrong, but there may be more opportunities than it wants to let on.
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