my God, this forum has devolved into the worst of the worst. It's always emotional and reactionary in here, but it seems that the rational and seasoned members have pulled back to make way for the kids.
I'm going to step back for the day too. It's just too much uninformed nonsense.
I am excited for a lot of you guys, because it seems like this is your first time tracking a PNW winter storm. I remember my first time.
Ballsy! I’m not certain at all. I can see a conduit to the GFS solution verifying this time.
The reason I’m skeptical is because the progression on the GFS *perfectly* fits its springtime bias towards amplifying Aleutian/GOA lows. I can’t trust it.
The GFS/GEFS is still the structural outlier, though. GEPS/EPS are much more similar in terms of the overall pattern, even with regional differences.
But that doesn’t say much about which one is right/wrong, though I’ll give 65/35 odds that the GFS will fold today. We’ll see.
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