Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: 06z GFS Day 16 Beautiful pattern ruined by cutoff lows north of Hawaii. Either way, mother of all backdoor blasts as a PV lobe guns it SE into our area. Speculation of course, but that could become a big time major snow pattern, and yeah bitter backdoor blast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Vodka kold. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Much stronger signal for GOA blocking on the 06z GEFS. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Much stronger signal for GOA blocking on the 06z GEFS. Yep, but it's a bit too far east. At least we have a strong block though. It could shift westward the next several frames. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Yep, but it's a bit too far east. At least we have a strong block though. It could shift westward the next several frames. Ensembles show a so-so signal for backdoor cold into Eastern Washington, Columbia Basin. That is an improvement. With the block in that location it would take very little to blast us with reload after reload. C'MON!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Another impressively cold winter morning added to 2020. Sitting at 45 degrees before the sunrise. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 The end of the GFS is pretty close. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 00Z EPS... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Getting closer Tim. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Looking at the GFS ensemble, it looks like the GOA is a little to close to the west coast for us in the long range. Which does seem consistent with the EURO weeklies in that time frame. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Pdx is down to 46! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 FWIW (nothing) the CFS shows a nice cold snap the first week of January. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 There’s frozen water falling from the sky. 1 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, Phil said: There’s frozen water falling from the sky. Where at ? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: 2,700 miles away of course! Aren't you excited?! Time to hook up all my high definition flatscreens and mount outside my windows. Then live stream various cameras from back there ️ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Pretty big North/South temp. gradient on the 12z GFS. Trough doesn't dig into Oregon and then slides east. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Whew for a minute I thought December may be saved. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 The encouraging thing about recent model trends is at least we're seeing blockier signals emerge in the mid/long range. Doesn't look like Alaska will stay in the freezer too long, much weaker PV. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 It’s over. Currently 43 degrees and cloudy. .05” on the day. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Looking at the GFS ensemble, it looks like the GOA is a little to close to the west coast for us in the long range. Which does seem consistent with the EURO weeklies in that time frame. Yes we don't want GOA to cause a DELHI (darned eternally-lasting high isobars) overhead. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 9 hours ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: The average high in Yellowknife now during winter is about 8 degrees. So you think it will warm up 27 degrees? Even the most extreme climate sceneries don't show anything close to that. My post was obviously not serious. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Other than some high latitude blocking in the wrong place for the PNW, the 12z gfs sucks 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Man alive, what a storm. Looks like at least 80% of Pennsylvania is under snowfall. 5 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Major outlier. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 18 minutes ago, jakerepp said: Man alive, what a storm. Looks like at least 80% of Pennsylvania is under snowfall. PA is going to be buried... 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 hour ago, hawkstwelve said: 2,700 miles away of course! Aren't you excited?! Roles will be reversed soon enough. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Pretty big letdown for the 12Z GFS run. 00Z and 06z both showed some nice chilly weather next week, perfect for the lead up to Christmas. Hoping the Euro looks better. 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, iFred said: With winter officially canceled, maybe we should just play by plays of snow elsewhere. I'm sure everyone will enjoy it. @Phil how many meters of snow do you have? So fun watching the rest of the country getting snowy holiday cheer while we get 43 degree drizzle!!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 14 minutes ago, Phil said: Roles will be reversed soon enough. Yes please, but when you make posts like this can you please included acronyms no one understands? Pls and thx 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Timmy said: Yes please, but when you make posts like this can you please included acronyms no one understands? Pls abs thx Is someone asking Santa for ripped abs this Christmas? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, iFred said: With winter officially canceled, maybe we should just play by plays of snow elsewhere. I'm sure everyone will enjoy it. @Phil how many meters of snow do you have? Sad that 3” is the heaviest snowfall I’ve seen in almost 2 years. I’d lick a pole if we reach 4”. Sleet line already breathing down my neck. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 12z GFS ensembles You can see the operational is somewhat of an outlier around the 22nd-23rd, with many members still showing the cold trough for that period. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Jesse said: Is someone asking Santa for ripped abs this Christmas? They could be a little better, but I do have an entire gym to myself as we are the only type of business currently not allowed to operate... so that Christmas wish is coming true! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, Phil said: Sad that 3” is the heaviest snowfall I’ve seen in almost 2 years. I’d lick a pole if we reach 4”. Sleet line already breathing down my neck. Ugh, I rather go from a rain event to snow rather then snow to rain. I see the sleet and rain line pushing in Enjoy the moment best you can Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Pretty mild night. Overcast with a low of just 44 here. 46 currently. Next system should start to move in in the next few hours. At least snow levels look to drop to pass level tonight with that one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Not bad. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Now that is a freaking snowstorm in PA. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 16 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: 12z GFS was definitely an outlier with how it handled the block after Christmas, thankfully. Close to ideal placement of largescale pattern features. Just need the NE Pacific block to amplify... 3 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, hawkstwelve said: No more South Sound special next Monday night on the 12z Euro. But Randy is back in the gray! All that should really matter to all of us. That poor guy is due for some SNOW! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: No more South Sound special next Monday night on the 12z Euro. But Randy is back in the gray! And the 3rd shade of grey at that!! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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