bainbridgekid Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Euro v. GFS at day 9: 3 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Numbers have started to pop up over the last half hour. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Just had a powerful gust here. 4 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Nice block placement on the ECMWF tonight. The initial cold shot is well within 10 days now. Still a lot of questions on details, but overall a cold pattern looks pretty likely. Still decent potential for a memorable event. BTW....for those who didn't see the 18z parallel GFS it had a lot of lowland snow. The first really good run I've seen from that model. 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Just had a big boy gust here!! 2 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 The temps are absolutely ridiculous tonight. Lots' of mid to upper 50s right now. Pretty typical before a coming cold wave. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 3 hours ago, paulb/eugene said: I ordered a 522 dm upper low over KSEA at 264h on Amazon. 514 dm not available apparently Its probably a non-con item and is floating somewhere in problem solve 🥸 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: Just had a big boy gust here!! Almost nothing here so far. Anytime the low is northwest of us it just kills the wind here. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Pretty underwhelming, but EURO does show a surge of westerlies as the low passes with the pressure rise. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 1 minute ago, Requiem said: Pretty underwhelming, but EURO does show a surge of westerlies as the low passes with the pressure rise. It was as forecasted. The euro seems to be bad with surface winds. Don’t trust it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 It appears PDX has soared to 61 degrees. That is pretty crazy stuff. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 This seems like one of those times the EPS tonight could be considerably better/colder than the Op. We'll have to see the next 2-3 days if there is any cross polar flow into NWT. Real key. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 6 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: It was as forecasted. The euro seems to be bad with surface winds. Don’t trust it. Yeah, sorta burned myself with this one, thought we’d at least reach 45 or so at PDX with models intensifying wind speeds. Ah well, maybe another time. 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: It appears PDX has soared to 61 degrees. That is pretty crazy stuff. Knew it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Just lost power for a few seconds. Lots of flickering. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: It appears PDX has soared to 61 degrees. That is pretty crazy stuff. Going from 59 at 6:53 to 61 now is definitely not the definition of soared to 61. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 6 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: This seems like one of those times the EPS tonight could be considerably better/colder than the Op. We'll have to see the next 2-3 days if there is any cross polar flow into NWT. Real key. So far pretty similar to 12Z EPS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 21 minutes ago, The Blob said: Its probably a non-con item and is floating somewhere in problem solve 🥸 Just get your money back. Amazon has canceled my items a couple times within 24 hours I'm credited. This also works with Amazon gift cards too which is how I first discovered it though I'm not sure a bout something as big as an Amazon Storm!. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Should say 850s similar through hour 300 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 EURO still insists on that strong westerly surge so I’ll hold out some hope. Hoquiam got nailed as soon as the front itself came in. 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 1 hour ago, dolt said: Eugene has joined the 60 degree club. Broke the daily record high of 59F set back in 1983. We will also break the record for the warmest average temp and warmest low temp for the date of 54.5F and 51F from 1991 as we only made it down to 52F. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 7 minutes ago, Requiem said: Yeah, sorta burned myself with this one, thought we’d at least reach 45 or so at PDX with models intensifying wind speeds. Ah well, maybe another time. I don’t think we’ve peaked with the winds quite yet. 4 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 I just had my biggest gust thus far probably 45mph. Decent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 I remain cautiously optimistic. If the block ends up being similar to what we see now with that tilt, the cold air could certainly be there to tap into. That would be a major smack in the face to have ideal blocking, but no cold air in BC/AB/NWT.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: I remain cautiously optimistic. If the block ends up being similar to what we see now with that tilt, the cold air could certainly be there to tap into. That would be a major smack in the face to have ideal blocking, but no cold air in BC/AB/NWT.... That is a relative term. Is there ever "warm" air in January in the NWT? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Current Snohomish Co outages... Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 7 minutes ago, Deweydog said: I don’t think we’ve peaked with the winds quite yet. The stronger winds haven’t quite made it here yet based on radar but they are closing in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Wow wind is really cranking now. Probably 40ish mph. Very heavy rain...up to 2.21” with very heavy rain currently. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Stormiest weather we've had in awhile for Seattle. No flickering or brown outs though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Pressure bottomed out at 989.4mb here. Rising quickly now. 992mb. Strong SSW winds with power flickering. The west surge is racing down the Strait. Trial island went from ~10mph to gusting to 70mph in a matter of minutes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Great looking EPS once again. The control is insanely blocky and quite cold. No doubt the models are going to struggle with the exact configuration of the blocking for a while yet. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Heavy rain and wind. Just lost power in Des Moines/Kent. Was in the middle of a quiz...not anymore Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Is the euro back to being king for seeing this so early? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Power is flickering here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Really loud now...can hear big limbs breaking. Not good timing for this wind really saturated soils. Power flickering here. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, einsteinjr said: Is the euro back to being king for seeing this so early? Definitely saw it early but unless the westerly surge here is very strong it overestimated the winds insanely. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, einsteinjr said: Is the euro back to being king for seeing this so early? The euro owned the other models with this storm. Track and intensity. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Big gust just came through. This one had to be 40+. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Wind is roaring here now. 43 mph so far at KPAE. Wouldn't surprise me to see them touch 50 in the next couple hours. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 13, 2021 Report Share Posted January 13, 2021 Gotten some gusts over 45 now. Lots of substation flashes...might lose power soon here winds really blowing. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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