Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 On 11/17/2021 at 10:29 PM, TT-SEA said: So it would be a different air mass then? You haven’t been paying attention. It’s the exact same air mass, only different. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 Approaching 11.5" on the month now. 0.29" since midnight, 0.75" with the "event." 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 19, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 Saw this map posted on FB by our old friend Andy in Woodinville. 4 1 5 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Saw this map posted on FB by our old friend Andy in Woodinville. That would be nice 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: That would be nice That is centered right over Christmas too. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 1 hour ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: Looks like PDX will end up with .37'' total. I was a little too pessimistic with my .25'' forecast. Bust either way. Update... PDX is at .40 now. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: That is centered right over Christmas too. Pretty strong signal for a 7 day mean. Could theoretically happen! Would be nice to not have to wait all the way until February before any meaningful winter weather. (Not to complain about 2019 and 2021 of course!) 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 7 hours ago, North_County said: Thanks for sharing, Chewbacca. My parents' place makes an appearance. Right here. They've already gutted it. Floor to basically ceiling. Good to hear they have already gutted it, *hopefully* that will save them in the long run in terms of rehabilitating the house. Have you been able to get in and look at your business yet? I'm hoping to catch up with my neighbor this weekend (he is a WSDOT Engineer) to find out how things are looking on the road/bridge front. 2 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Update... PDX is at .40 now. That changes everything 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 1 minute ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: That changes everything Makes your prediction is a little farther off. And its not like another .25 would make a difference either... on top of a sopping wet landscape that is now in dormancy. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 26 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Makes your prediction is a little farther off. And its not like another .25 would make a difference either... on top of a sopping wet landscape that is now in dormancy. The bottom line is that the bulk of the precipitation shifting north within 36 hours of the event. You’re right, .25” , .40”, .50”… it doesn’t make a difference. I was annoyed that the models overpromised yet again. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 Really coming down out there still. Now at 1" even with this system and 0.54" since midnight, temp down to 42. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 12Z GFS back to showing the next weak system diving into CA on Monday. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 When I checked an hour ago it was 44F and rainy at my location. 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Saw this map posted on FB by our old friend Andy in Woodinville. could we have another Christmas miracle?! 2 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 I think the next two weeks will be pretty boring weather wise. Rest up for our HUGE winter that is coming. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 12Z GFS brings in a couple fronts over the next 10 days... on Thanksgiving Day and next Saturday... but is still drier than normal over the next 10 days. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 WX station has been down since the windstorm (it doesnt reconnect to wifi after wifi comes back on for some reason) but its probably 27-28 based on nearby stations. Looks like maybe an inch or so. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 Sure looks beautiful at Whistler this morning... 8 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 Cleared out overnight here. Low of 29F 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 Cypress mountain in North Vancouver is actually opening for limited skiing today. Just 1 lift going by the sounds of it. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 Low of 41 this morning looks like the rains wrapped up…0.43” this morning and 1.03” in the last 18 hours. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 Sunny and cold. Currently 40 degrees. .02” on the day. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 50F and cloudy but dry. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 Just your run of the mill 946mb cutoff low… 1 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 6 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Just your run of the mill 946mb cutoff low… That exact same thing happened in December 1949 right before the arctic hammer dropped. 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said: That exact same thing happened in December 1949 right before the arctic hammer dropped. Now it will retrograde to about KONA. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Saw this map posted on FB by our old friend Andy in Woodinville. Alaska is warm. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 Crazy view of the sediment transfer from all the flooding rivers after the storm. You can see mud from the Fraser, Nooksack, and Skagit as well as from other rivers on Vancouver Island and in the Coastal Range. 6 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 2 hours ago, Meatyorologist said: Pretty strong signal for a 7 day mean. Could theoretically happen! Would be nice to not have to wait all the way until February before any meaningful winter weather. (Not to complain about 2019 and 2021 of course!) It’s actually the control run. Not the mean. Basically just another operational at a lower resolution I think. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 Excited to see our Holliday season may interact with some cold and snow! North winds blowing around 15-20 last night. .82 precipitation and temperatures pretty consistent through the night at 42* Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: Crazy view of the sediment transfer from all the flooding rivers after the storm. You can see mud from the Fraser, Nooksack, and Skagit as well as from other rivers on Vancouver Island and in the Coastal Range. Looks like it’s trending south….weird 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 7 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: It’s actually the control run. Not the mean. Basically just another operational at a lower resolution I think. I know, I was saying that it's a pretty cold 7 day average, even if it is just one member. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 14 minutes ago, Phil said: Alaska is warm. Alaska is a big state, parts are still cold. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 22 minutes ago, Phil said: Alaska is warm. 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Alaska is a big state, parts are still cold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 Per radar it's still raining moderately at home. Decent little soaker. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 After months of showing December torching, the CFS now shows the month below average. LOL 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 12Z ECMWF disagrees with the GFS for the Monday system. The ECMWF brings it right into western WA instead of diving down into CA. At least the ECMWF knows where rain is desperately needed. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 Hard to imagine the rain over the past week made so little a dent in OR/Eastern WA drought, but I guess they're still quite a bit below on the year. And yes, I realize the recent precipitation has been concentrated more to the north. 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 19, 2021 Report Share Posted November 19, 2021 1 minute ago, Skagit Weather said: Hard to imagine the rain over the past week made so little a dent in OR/Eastern WA drought, but I guess they're still quite a bit below on the year. And yes, I realize the recent precipitation has been concentrated more to the north. 12Z ECMWF just pounds western WA and BC again later next week with additional AR events. Nature is cruel. More excessive rain where it's not needed and very little where it is needed. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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