PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil

[BLI snowman]

7 minutes ago, Phil said:

Really noticed the higher sun angles today. Becoming less subtle now.

High was in the upper 20s but felt downright balmy in the sun. Tim season is starting.  

Phil cold weather flexing, tacitly boasting about his high in the 20s.

[weatherfan2012]

2 hours ago, Phil said:

This one hurts.  

And Larry Cosgrove was talking up another big storm of some sorts in early febuary in his post today.Yet many  are still debating on how this one going to turn out.

[Phil]

14 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Phil cold weather flexing, tacitly boasting about his high in the 20s.

Haha. I actually wasn’t.  Upper 20s on January is meh.

[Disclaimer: not a flex]. 

[Gradient Keeper]

3 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Really nice day. Hard to complain, but I'll find a way. 

That's the spirit!

[Gradient Keeper]

A few things....

18z GEFS dismal in terms of no longer featuring any backdoor cold. The incoming trough is a few notches colder though. Ummm.... Oh, and for snowpack a dry ridge, inversions is far better than warm rains.

00z GFS in 2 hours 52 minutes

[Phil]

Legit monster.

A lot more strat/trop coupling evident now vs Dec/early Jan, so this could play a significant role in the pattern evolution going forward.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Trough next week looking worse and worse down here. Probably won’t even be cold enough for snow up here. 

[MossMan]

11 minutes ago, Phil said:

Legit monster.

A lot more strat/trop coupling evident now vs Dec/early Jan, so this could play a significant role in the pattern evolution going forward.

I Want that puke green over my house…Keep it away from the east coast. They have had enough. 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, MossMan said:

I Want that puke green over my house…Keep it away from the east coast. They have had enough. 

Not entirely sure... but I don't think that level translates directly to surface conditions.    

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Almost time stick a fork in this turd. 

[TT-SEA]

These inversion days have a repeating pattern here... sunny right from the start and then the fog becomes visible down in the valley by around noon as onshore flow increases slightly and then dense fog moves up from the valley and into my area around 4 p.m. and lasts for about 30 minutes.  Then there is a weak shift in the flow back to offshore and we go from almost zero visibility to being able to see for miles in about a minute just before sunset.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nice evening. 

[MossMan]

I know why things have gone south for us…Nobody has posted these yet!! Here you go! You’re welcome!! 
It will snow now. 

[Cjmessling]

We have been fogged in at my house nonstop for the last 4-5 days. I live just south of Bonney Lake at 700’

1/22 36.5/27.0

1/23 36.7/28.2

1/24 34.5/28.6

1/25 34.7/29.7

today high of 33.8 and already down to 32.0 I’ll take it as it’s plummeted my monthly average to 39.2

 

last two days my work in SeaTac has shaken the fog. The thick fog starts about a mile from my house on the way home every day

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Nice sunny afternoon here. Not sick of this ridge yet.

[Dave]

Down to 33 degrees already. 37 at the airport. It's not always colder there.

[Phishy Wx]

 

[Chewbacca Defense]

Sky took on a really strange color this afternoon, I think it was blue....not too sure though, it was hard to see because I was having to squint.

 

Currently 33.  Been busy with training/learning and wiped out at night, so I have had a hard time keeping up with the forum.  So...when's it gonna get cold and snow?

[TacomaWaWx]

We did manage to clear out but by the time it did, it actually helped drop our temp. Perfect timing for the sunset and to help cool off. Down to 34 now after a high of 38. 3rd one so far in this inversion pattern. Today was also the coldest day of the inversion. 

[TacomaWaWx]

27 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Nice sunny afternoon here. Not sick of this ridge yet.

The fog has really held on well here in the south sound…particularly east of Puget sound. It’s a pretty meh pattern but it did help to drop us to +0.0 so far for the average temp this month. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

43/25 day here another chilly one.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

19 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

 

All those were decently chilly at times here. 

[Phil]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

I Want that puke green over my house…Keep it away from the east coast. They have had enough. 

18z Euro says no dice.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Not entirely sure... but I don't think that level translates directly to surface conditions.    

Correct. Though it does translate on the larger scale IE: strong Greenland/NE-Canada vortex (+NAO/+NAM) with more of the cold being pushed off to the east and/or bottled up in the arctic.

Basically the opposite of February 2021, which saw the Canadian-Arctic cold pool come unglued from the pole and unload into the west-central CONUS.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Sucks for Judah. I hope his grass is brown and all he gets is warm rain 

 

 

 

 

[Phil]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Almost time stick a fork in this turd. 

I’d be very surprised if there isn’t a multi week -PNA episode next month.

But probably won’t come anywhere close to December given what (for now) looks like a top-10 strong PV for February.

[Phil]

4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Sucks for Judah. I hope his grass is brown and all he gets is warm rain 

 

 

 

 

Gotta love the NAM.  18z says blizzard cancel. 00z says nevermind, blizzard is back on.

Either way I expect to get screwed. Hope I’m wrong.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

17 minutes ago, Phil said:

Correct. Though it does translate on the larger scale IE: strong Greenland/NE-Canada vortex (+NAO/+NAM) with more of the cold being pushed off to the east and/or bottled up in the arctic.

Basically the opposite of February 2021, which saw the Canadian-Arctic cold pool come unglued from the pole and unload into the west-central CONUS.

More central. It got cold here for like 3 days last February. 99.9% of that cold went east of the Rockies. 

[BLI snowman]

31 minutes ago, Phil said:

18z Euro says no dice.

 

00z NAM says tough (no) sledding.

[FroYoBro]

Not sure what is going on with the man baby up in the hills, but I have really been enjoying the weather in the last week. Getting actual winter like temperatures at night and some crisp afternoon sunshine. Nice change of pace. 

[awright-31]

01-25-2022 OBS for MBY

High temp - 39* recorded at 12:30 pm
Low temp - 33* recorded at 6:15 pm

New precip - 0.00"
January month-to-date precip - 10.54"
We have received 134% of our normal January precip 81% of the way through the month.

New snow - 0"
Winter 21-22 Snow to Date - 10.9" 

[TT-SEA]

17 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

Not sure what is going on with the man baby up in the hills, but I have really been enjoying the weather in the last week. Getting actual winter like temperatures at night and some crisp afternoon sunshine. Nice change of pace. 

Air stagnation is gross.

[TacomaWaWx]

Wow we cooled off quickly this evening…dropped down to 32. Was starting to doubt this pattern would get us below freezing. 10th freeze this season. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Nice cold pool

 

925mb temps advection fairly impressive too

[bainbridgekid]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

These inversion days have a repeating pattern here... sunny right from the start and then the fog becomes visible down in the valley by around noon as onshore flow increases slightly and then dense fog moves up from the valley and into my area around 4 p.m. and lasts for about 30 minutes.  Then there is a weak shift in the flow back to offshore and we go from almost zero visibility to being able to see for miles in about a minute just before sunset.  

That would make a hell of a time lapse.

[BLI snowman]

4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Nice cold pool

 

925mb temps advection fairly impressive too

 

75mph at Vista House!

[Requiem]

Tomorrow looks like the strongest bout of east winds in the Portland area so far this winter-- decent gradient and strong inversion really funneling those winds through the Gorge.

[snow_wizard]

This inversion is getting really impressive now.  A lot of places already down to freezing over a wide area.

[Gradient Keeper]

Offshore gradients are really picking up and PDX-DLS has already eclipsed -8mb. This is already stronger than the forecast model peak of around -7mb. It is going to increase steadily overnight into tomorrow morning. For those of you east of I-205 this will likely be the strongest east winds of the Winter. I wouldn't rule out a Wind Advisory issued this evening as well. C'MON!!!!

 

- 7 PM

[Gorge/Gap Gradients]

PDX-DLS: -8.2mb

TTD-DLS: -8.0mb

[Cross Cascade Gradients]

PDX-YKM: -7.8mb

PDX-MWH: -7.8mb

PDX-GEG: -6.5mb

OTH-GEG: -9.2mb

*Legend: PDX = Portland, DLS = The Dalles, TTD = Troutdale, YKM = Yakima, MWH = Moses Lake, GEG = Spokane, OTH = North Bend

A -Negative value denotes easterly/northerly flow

A +Positive value denotes westerly/onshore flow

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Almost time stick a fork in this turd. 

I'm glad I was never invested into this possible cold snap, I've pretty much stopped looking at models and just scan the forum for a quick update. I'd love to see more lowland snow but I just don't think it's going to be a cold and snowy February this time.