Niko Posted November 13, 2018 Report Share Posted November 13, 2018 Not sure anyone noticed yesterday in their neck of the woods, but I was able to see smoke in the air IMBY from the wildfires out west in Cali. Amazing! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 13, 2018 Report Share Posted November 13, 2018 Currently cloudy and cold. Temps aren't really budging at all from that freezing mark. A few spotty flurries can be seen flying in the air. Snowcover on the ground makes it look so Wintry. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
possum Posted November 13, 2018 Report Share Posted November 13, 2018 Snow on the ground in nwtn. Its early for here. Very early. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted November 13, 2018 Report Share Posted November 13, 2018 The Memphis metro including my hometown are under a WWA for 1-2" possible tomorrow night. This has the potential to be the largest November snowfall since 1976 or maybe even 1929. 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 13, 2018 Report Share Posted November 13, 2018 Our local NWS is saying a warm up for the next 3 days, cold and potential snow Saturday, cold Sunday and warmer again for Thanksgiving week. They also mentioned a stormy pattern ahead for after the Thanksgiving Holiday. For NWS Hastings to be mentioning this over 10 days away surprised me, as they usually don't talk about things more than a week out. Interesting. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 13, 2018 Report Share Posted November 13, 2018 18z GFS came in even stronger in Iowa Saturday with the clipper, but surface temps are too warm and has mostly rain changing to snow with accums generally 1". QPF up to 1/2" this run in spots though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 13, 2018 Report Share Posted November 13, 2018 The end of the 12Z Euro run is a mild one for all of us on here. However, there is a ton of cold air being built in Canada in the process. When that comes down here, it'll be brutal. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted November 13, 2018 Report Share Posted November 13, 2018 26* forecast for low in the morning. Okay. That's 2 cold days. Our blood down here is like water. This Texan is ready for warm weather now. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 The 18z FV3 GFS has a powerhouse storm at the end of Thanksgiving weekend then another comes on its heels. We’ll see. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 The 18z FV3 GFS has a powerhouse storm at the end of Thanksgiving weekend then another comes on its heels. We’ll see.At some point, the action should re-cycle back your way. By what Tom's been posting about the LRC that could be the right time. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 The end of the 12Z Euro run is a mild one for all of us on here. However, there is a ton of cold air being built in Canada in the process. When that comes down here, it'll be brutal.You are correct. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 Currently at 24F w partly cloudy skies. Temps bottom out to 20F. BRRRRRRR Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 Local offices will be issuing Snow Squall Warnings this winter for areas receiving short duration moderate to heavy snow, similar to t-storm and tornado warnings. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 14, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 I'm impressed reading all the comments on here of the snow and cold records being set. I did think we would be entering a historic stretch, but I wasn't anticipating Houston setting an all-time early snow record. Not only that, but we are seeing the impacts of early winter felt from all points of our widespread sub forum and not certain regions. I've said it all along, this winter is going to be spectacular and what we are witnessing is just a preview of what is coming. #iceagewinter 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 I'm impressed reading all the comments on here of the snow and cold records being set. I did think we would be entering a historic stretch, but I wasn't anticipating Houston setting an all-time early snow record. Not only that, but we are seeing the impacts of early winter felt from all points of our widespread sub forum and not certain regions. I've said it all along, this winter is going to be spectacular and what we are witnessing is just a preview of what is coming. #iceagewinterJust wish I had my holiday decorations out already. It's cold out there! 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 Most models again telling me to stack flakes Thursday with the cut-off low. RGEM most rofbust as of 12z runs Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 This cut off low needs to be watched. Mix precip for my area as of now, but as better info gathers by models tomorrow, details will become more clearer. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 balmy 16 atm. Pretty unbelievable. Sure hope it lasts the winter! prefer a late flip as to an early flip! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 Already down to 23F. My temps are dropping like a rock. My low for tanite has now been changed to upper teens. This is one cold airmass. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 @ Tom STL may be next on the historic events list. Cobb outputting 13.2" and NAM has a foot 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 This cut off low needs to be watched. Mix precip for my area as of now, but as better info gathers by models tomorrow, details will become more clearer.GFS looking more solid thru SMI bud 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 Hey all. I'm still around. It was exciting to see snow Monday, but as you noticed, other than it being snow and stupid cold for November, it didn't leave much to write about. I stayed on the marginal temp spot too long but got to see moderate snow for over an hour. I know it won't be the last. Enjoy the break. That was a warning shot. A heckuva warning shot if you ask me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 Looks like it's going to be another cold Husker game this weekend, maybe with a few snowflakes this time. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 Yesterdays high of 30° was the coldest high here at Grand Rapids since April 7th. There were on and off snow showers all day but did not accumulate. The low here at my house so far has been 24.1° the current temperature here is 25.5° Grand Rapids has had 20 cloudy days in a row so today's forecast of mostly sunny later in the day will be welcomed, 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 14, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 @ Tom STL may be next on the historic events list. Cobb outputting 13.2" and NAM has a footSome models even clip my area and the city proper with some snow. Would be nice to see and add to the already wintry "feel" this month. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 14, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 It's pretty wild to see Carbondale, IL under a Winter Storm Warning for 3-5" of snow this early in the season. This brings back memories of Dec '00 when I attended SIUC back in the good ol' days. I think something similar is setting up for this winter down that way. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 14, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 Yesterdays high of 30° was the coldest high here at Grand Rapids since April 7th. There were on and off snow showers all day but did not accumulate. The low here at my house so far has been 24.1° the current temperature here is 25.5° Grand Rapids has had 20 cloudy days in a row so today's forecast of mostly sunny later in the day will be welcomed, We had an official high of 29F, coldest start to a November in 22 years! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 Currently at 18F w sunny skies. Its bitter cold out there. Low was a frosty 16F. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 Looks like SEMI is in for a couple of inches of snow w the next system. TWC says 3-5". 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 14, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 Could it happen??? I think so...GEFS have been been spot on of late and now advertising the idea of a SSW event late month that looks to dislodge the Polar Vortex. Incredible. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 Blocking really takes hold by end of November. My forecast after Thanksgiving looks reaaaaal stormy. Fun times ahead! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 Rest of November looks very average around Michigan. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 Clipper still looks on track for Friday night into Saturday for much of Iowa. The NAM keeps going back and forth between further north and further south. All other models are south of the NAM though. Still only looks like 1-2" at this point though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 Rest of November looks very average around Michigan. Not here. I am running way below average. It stays cold right thru the month. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 It's pretty wild to see Carbondale, IL under a Winter Storm Warning for 3-5" of snow this early in the season. This brings back memories of Dec '00 when I attended SIUC back in the good ol' days. I think something similar is setting up for this winter down that way. Man, this storm bugs me lol. It takes a gorgeous track racing right towards us, then goes "oh s*** better stay away from that part of town" then veers due east right before it hits Chicago. Regardless, if this isn't a sign of an awesome pattern, idk what is. It's MID november, and we're getting snow in Houston for gods sake. This is going to be a good year, I can't wait. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 Not here. I am running way below average. It stays cold right thru the month.yes, sorry I meant snow/stormy wise. While it's been cold, this doesn't seem anything close to 2014. In fact it looks extremely uneventful until after Thanksgiving. Below normal temps around the west side for sure. I see you guys probably will end up with more snow than here. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 yes, sorry I meant snow/stormy wise. While it's been cold, this doesn't seem anything close to 2014. In fact it looks extremely uneventful until after Thanksgiving. Below normal temps around the west side for sure. I see you guys probably will end up with more snow than here. So far IMBY I have picked up 4.1" of snow and more to come, if you can believe that. Average is 1.6" for the month of November here. How much snow have you picked up in your neck of the woods so far this month? Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 Still at below freezing w a current temp of 30F w abundant of sunshine. Feels good to see the sun again after all of these cloudy days. VitaminD bigtime. Edit: A small pond of water in my sub has frozen over in a thin layer of ice. Cant remember when that happened in November, especially, this early in the month. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 That defo band looks quite interesting tomorrow for parts of our area. Something to watch as it could lay down a quick couple inches. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted November 14, 2018 Report Share Posted November 14, 2018 So far IMBY I have picked up 4.1" of snow and more to come, if you can believe that. Average is 1.6" for the month of November here. How much snow have you picked up in your neck of the woods so far this month? Hard to measure due to the warmth still near the lake(Seems to melt quicker than inland), but I've had around 3.1". GRR has had more for sure, though not sure the total. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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