FroYoBro Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Really interesting Portland discussion. Seems like they are going with the WRF and NAM which show the valley eventually turning to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Between 6-12” at my house this morning just outside Bellingham. Lots of drifts so the depths are all over the place. 3 Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 It appears that Mt. Vernon and Burlington are nearly the only schools open today. What a surprise...the GFS actually doesn't look to bad for up here, but I have a strong suspicion it's not correctly modeling the shadowing and we'll get shafted again. Dropped to 24F last night. Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Snowing in Hoquiam. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 FWIW, 06z Euro totals through 4PM Tuesday. Although I think at this point, as the NWS said, the model of the day will be radar, satellite, and obs.That would be amazing if that actually verified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 From 35 years of paying very close attention to weather in the past when it starts snowing in Hoqium it's a very very good sign. 4 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 FWIW, 06z Euro totals through 4PM Tuesday. Although I think at this point, as the NWS said, the model of the day will be radar, satellite, and obs. can you post oryguns? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Looks like I got another inch overnight. Up to 14" now. And mother nature may add more. Cold air damming may be my friend and the friend of others in/near Hood Canal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 From 35 years of paying very close attention to weather in the past when it starts snowing in Hoqium it's a very very good sign. Don't you ever sleep? Over the past 72 hours, the most you are off is about 2 or 3 hours. RMAOFLpoai;lsndf;lasdfnl;asld;fkn! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew. Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Highest amounts they say above 500'. You could be a big winner.We shall see, this has high bust potential written all over it. Would love to see it happen though. Will be interesting to see what the models hone in on this afternoon. Kind of reminds me of superbowl 2017 when we got rain even at 1500 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 12Z GFS is a little farther north with the low tonight and tomorrow morning and also a little more aggressive with the warm air than the 00Z run.Should bode well for our WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Don't you ever sleep? Over the past 72 hours, the most you are off is about 2 or 3 hours. RMAOFLpoai;lsndf;lasdfnl;asld;fkn!Yeah not much sleep in the last week. Making memories! 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 The Rock is ready to receive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 You had an epic event in Feb 2014. We largely missed out on that.So did I. I was 15 miles ESE towards the foothills and only got 3". Happy Valley had close to 15". Out near Estacada there was only 2-3". Somewhat localized event overall but it was still noteworthy for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Looks like we may be losing all the snow we’ve gotten with the event today. Was fun while it lasted. Yesterday was the heaviest snowfall i’ve seen in a while and overall fun to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 12Z GFS is a little farther north with the low tonight and tomorrow morning and also a little more aggressive with the warm air than the 00Z run.Well that should do it for me. It was a fun stretch while it lasted! Currently cloudy and 25. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 WRF shows the warm nose even into my area this evening... probably too aggressive. It also cools off again overnight. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Well the 36km WRF shows pretty good snow making it to the valley in the early hours. The higher resolution WRF just shows a little snow mostly on the highest hills. I wouldn't bet on much happening here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Heavy echos west side PortlandBets theirs some heavy snowmunder in the west hills Unsure what a snowmunder is though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 11, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Not sure if someone posted this...but everyone needs to remember no forks until the end of February That was sure premature. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Currently 24F here with light snow falling, wasn't expecting anything this early, could be a good sign for what's coming later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 I am scouring the models trying to figure out what might happen out here tonight. I did notice that the WRF shows more of SE wind out here... as opposed to coming straight from the east. I think that is a less conducive for pumping in cold air through the pass. Might not matter if we end up holding onto the cold air in place. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 11, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Wind holding out of the east, flakes are getting bigger.Glad to hear you have an east wind still. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Heavy snow currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 WRF shows the Fraser outflow still going strong tomorrow afternoon. Incredible. Whatcom County and Vancouver Island are not going to warm up tomorrow. Different story south of Mt. Vernon though. It even shows a SW wind into Snoqualmie Pass. I also did not realize how close North Bend and Leavenworth are as the crow flies! **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 11, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 From 35 years of paying very close attention to weather in the past when it starts snowing in Hoqium it's a very very good sign.Cold air will be more stubborn to leave I'm assuming then. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 The northern Oregon Cascades are going to get destroyed with snow in the next 24 hours. Will be interesting to see how much the ski spots pile up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Cold air will be more stubborn to leave I'm assuming then. Models always make that mistake. It will hold longer than the models show. Question is how much longer? **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 UW MM5 site is down now. Direct links are not showing up here. They should appear when the site comes back up. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDaddyMike Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 hmmm, looking at radar, seems like cold air is winning right now. moisture turning to snow just inland a bit in the southern washington coast. Is this expected in a turn to rain scenario? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 This round is over here. Up to 33 with a lot of snow falling/blowing off the trees. Looks like some more moisture incoming, which could fall as wet snow, but I doubt will accumulate much. Next round, if it happens should start to take shape in about 18-24 hours as the heavy precip shield sags south again. That late week trough shown on the GFS is kind of a classic snow maker up here. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 hmmm, looking at radar, seems like cold air is winning right now. moisture turning to snow just inland a bit in the southern washington coast. Is this expected in a turn to rain scenario? Models show cold air even in SW WA this morning. The warm front is just starting to lift north. It should turn to rain down there. The reason there is the possibility of snow in Portland tonight is due to the very heavy precipitation rates expected down there. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 1/2 inch new. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 hmmm, looking at radar, seems like cold air is winning right now. moisture turning to snow just inland a bit in the southern washington coast. Is this expected in a turn to rain scenario? Not that the HRRR is a good model, but we are talking about the next few hours so it does provide some information. This is the precip type map for 9 a.m. showing snow down in SW WA... And here is the map for 4 p.m... probably too aggressive but you get a general idea of the progression today. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Yea it’s tough to measure when there is drifting. Take a bunch and average them out. We had blowing and drifting yesterday, like I’ve never seen in Shawnigan Lake. It’s generally very calm here when it snows. Looks like YYJ finally broke their streak and recorded over 6" of snow, about twice as much as fell here yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 11, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 HRRR is pretty much always too aggressive with the warm air. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Looks like YYJ finally broke their streak and recorded over 6" of snow, about twice as much as fell here yesterday.Yesterday was ridiculous. Sidney got 9 inches and we got 2.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 HRRR is pretty much always too aggressive with the warm air.Yes. But you get a sense of the general direction. And it does recognize the snow in SW WA this morning. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted February 11, 2019 Report Share Posted February 11, 2019 Cold pattern continues in the long range on the 12z GFS with more brushes of arctic air and very cold onshore flow. Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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