December 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[TT-SEA]

Busy Monday here...

 

[Guest CulverJosh]

I was in the conference call this morning. Unfortunately I didn’t get to be involved in all of it due to work but what I did hear sounded a little like wish casting almost too good to be true. I felt like a kid in a candy store. I know they have the same models as we look at but I think he’s extrapolating to the extremes. Don’t know how else to put it. The main thing I got out of it was that the pna tanks around the 10th and bottoms out a few days later. Just hope I wasn’t being duped.

Yes, but he had that part a little off. Starts dropping around New Years later in the convo.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

Euro 46 day forecast (weeklies).  500mb anomalies:

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I haven’t done anything ban-worthy. Just because I call Phil out on his bologna and don’t take his acronyms as gospel? Not everybody is going to agree all the time. It’s an open forum isn’t it? Have we all become ultra-sensitive?

 

Everything I have said is legitimate. Sorry, but I can’t post privileged information without permission so there is that factor involved.

 

Just because certain people on here have personal vendettas doesn’t mean you can influence bannings on your accord. If I get banned for playful back and forths then there is seriously something wrong with society. Rob went on a profanity laden rant the other day and all everyone did was give him sympathy, even though it is something he has done numerous times, throughout many years. Get real guys.

 

This is gonna be a fun evening.  Looking forward to Fred having to play daddy.

[stuffradio]

I was in the conference call this morning. Unfortunately I didn’t get to be involved in all of it due to work but what I did hear sounded a little like wish casting almost too good to be true. I felt like a kid in a candy store. I know they have the same models as we look at but I think he’s extrapolating to the extremes. Don’t know how else to put it. The main thing I got out of it was that the pna tanks around the 10th and bottoms out a few days later. Just hope I wasn’t being duped.

Is this like a cult thing? What's this "conference call" everyone talks about? Are they the people who paint all the red in the models?

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

Temp. anomalies:

 

 

 

[Requiem]

I haven’t done anything ban-worthy. Just because I call Phil out on his bologna and don’t take his acronyms as gospel? Not everybody is going to agree all the time. It’s an open forum isn’t it? Have we all become ultra-sensitive?

 

Everything I have said is legitimate. Sorry, but I can’t post privileged information without permission so there is that factor involved.

 

Just because certain people on here have personal vendettas doesn’t mean you can influence bannings on your accord. If I get banned for playful back and forths then there is seriously something wrong with society. Rob went on a profanity laden rant the other day and all everyone did was give him sympathy, even though it is something he has done numerous times, throughout many years. Get real guys.

I don’t know if you’re being serious or honestly think people on here are stupid, but no one is going to believe you without any sort of proof (which you haven’t given). Give us something for heaven’s sake. A screenshot of the email, the recording of the conference call, the name of your mysterious contact— something that proves you’re not just some garden-variety troll. I want to believe you, but I’m finding it very difficult.

[Guest CulverJosh]

This is gonna be a fun evening. Looking forward to Fred having to play daddy.

Play daddy? Tell me where I broke the rules?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Play daddy? Tell me where I broke the rules?

 

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

7 day precip anomalies, and the still pic is the total precip anomaly.

 

 

[High Desert Mat?]

Play daddy? Tell me where I broke the rules?

Don’t worry, Tiger has been a negative nelly for awhile now. Just watch his posts for the next week before the models start to go in the other direction.

[Guest CulverJosh]

DK Beats Chest.gif

Be serious for a second. He makes threats about Fred coming in here? Fred and I have an understanding. Be better than dumb talk like that.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Don’t worry, Tiger has been a negative nelly for awhile now. Just watch his posts for the next week before the models start to go in the other direction.

 

Just made a positive post about several solid members on the druncle ensemble. But yes, I get bummed easily.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Be serious for a second. He makes threats about Fred coming in here? Fred and I have an understanding. Be better than dumb talk like that.

 

I like you, Josh. Would love to sit down and have a beer with you, but I honestly don't want to see you go down this slippery slope to the point where you won't be able to get yourself back up.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Euro 46 day forecast (weeklies). 500mb anomalies:

 

modezwkly_20200104_1200_animation.gif

Interesting, the offshore blocking never really goes away. You would think we could get some amplification during that time frame.

[ShawniganLake]

Yes, but he had that part a little off. Starts dropping around New Years later in the convo.

Hmm the other day you said +PNA anomalies. Now the story is for the PNA to tank. So which one is it?

[Gradient Keeper]

18z GEFS is interesting. we go through a period of mini-torching and then 850s fall off a cliff. It appears our favorite Uncle ends his rehab on the 4th. Promising. Not that he'll be drunk again, but we may see some decent backdoor cold. A bunch of colder members. I wonder if we might establish a cold pool before then with all of the strong ridging flopping inland. Looking at the 500mb HA we're so close to going into a full-on blast. Amplify! Amplify! Amplify!

[Omegaraptor]

Dec 98 happened in there. That s**t was pretty cold. By late 20th, early 21st century standards.

I know it didn’t really deliver in the lowlands, but if you’re a skier or snowboarder who doesn’t care, 98-99 was one of the greatest winters of all time. The one-season snowfall world record was set on Mt Baker in 98-99.

 

Other than that, yeah it was a shitt stretch.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Hoping for a bit of winter star watching after the kiddos get to bed.

[High Desert Mat?]

Be serious for a second. He makes threats about Fred coming in here? Fred and I have an understanding. Be better than dumb talk like that.

Come on josh, you know Matt on here, he’s never serious. It’s always a joke. You should lighten up and not take things serious either.

[Deweydog]

Interesting, the offshore blocking never really goes away. You would think we could get some amplification during that time frame.

There hasn’t been offshore blocking in almost a month and doesn’t appear to return any time soon.

[Winterdog]

I can’t believe any of you actually place any legitimacy in this hogwash. Any NWS employee that comes on like Nostradamus has got to be off balance or playing some game.

[Deweydog]

Everybody got their shoppin’ done?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

CFS is pretty solid for January!

[FroYoBro]

POST THE CALL

POST THE CALL

POST THE CALL

[ShawniganLake]

Everybody got their shoppin’ done?

Thank god for amazon and my wife. I think I spent about 45min at the mall and most of that was at the food court.

[ShawniganLake]

I know it didn’t really deliver in the lowlands, but if you’re a skier or snowboarder who doesn’t care, 98-99 was one of the greatest winters of all time. The one-season snowfall world record was set on Mt Baker in 98-99.

 

Other than that, yeah it was a shitt stretch.

I was specifically referring to this

 

[Omegaraptor]

CFS is pretty solid for January!

The CFS is actually pretty decent in terms of accuracy if you simply assume the opposite of whatever it shows will verify.

[Gradient Keeper]

CFS is pretty solid for January!

Does it still show the goodies developing around Day 10-11? or did it delay things until mid month? It must be handling the PV differently.

[GHweatherChris]

Good lord

[FroYoBro]

I think Josh should be banned if he doesn't post the call by midnight tonight. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I'm going to go punch my neighbor! Merry xmas Mother f***er!!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

The CFS is actually pretty decent in terms of accuracy if you simply assume the opposite of whatever it shows will verify.

It runs 4 times a day, different solution most every time, so it is right about once a day!

[MossMan]

Wow things have turned dark outside and on the forum!

 

Anyway it’s currently 38 degrees with .01” in the ol rain gauge!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Wow things have turned dark outside and on the forum!

 

Anyway it’s currently 38 degrees with .01” in the ol rain gauge!

 

No appreciable snow and cold will do that to this place.

[stuffradio]

I haven’t done anything ban-worthy. Just because I call Phil out on his bologna and don’t take his acronyms as gospel? Not everybody is going to agree all the time. It’s an open forum isn’t it? Have we all become ultra-sensitive?

 

Everything I have said is legitimate. Sorry, but I can’t post privileged information without permission so there is that factor involved.

 

Just because certain people on here have personal vendettas doesn’t mean you can influence bannings on your accord. If I get banned for playful back and forths then there is seriously something wrong with society. Rob went on a profanity laden rant the other day and all everyone did was give him sympathy, even though it is something he has done numerous times, throughout many years. Get real guys.

You shouldn't be even talking about privileged information if you can't post it. Why bring things up if you can't post it? Also, this isn't Survivor. Just because someone says "ban CulverJosh" doesn't mean we will ban you. If we think you or anyone else is getting out of hand, we will deal with that, regardless of if someone said to ban them or delete their posts or not.

[Cloud]

I haven’t done anything ban-worthy. Just because I call Phil out on his bologna and don’t take his acronyms as gospel? Not everybody is going to agree all the time. It’s an open forum isn’t it? Have we all become ultra-sensitive?

 

Everything I have said is legitimate. Sorry, but I can’t post privileged information without permission so there is that factor involved.

 

Just because certain people on here have personal vendettas doesn’t mean you can influence bannings on your accord. If I get banned for playful back and forths then there is seriously something wrong with society. Rob went on a profanity laden rant the other day and all everyone did was give him sympathy, even though it is something he has done numerous times, throughout many years. Get real guys.

You touting “privileged information” but then teased/trolled this forums for weeks with it? Perhaps, it would be wise to not post anything to start. This kind of BS isn’t productive or constructive for the community, that’s why it should be ban-worthy.

 

Get real dude.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I can only post what the guy gives. Mat gave what we can now.

 

Lots of [REDACTED] incoming.