Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion

[Blizzard777]

My lights are staying up until the end of the next arctic blast! Could be March of 2022!

Lol!!!

I do have my backyard decked out so if it decides to snow before 3/2022 I’m ready! 

[GHweatherChris]

[HighlandExperience]

We are both leaving the state for a week in mid February for family vacations (not together) and we are worried that we are going to miss something epic!

Good sign. Means snow will be dispersed

[Guest LaPineLurker]

Fuzz has leveled off. This is looking a lot like early to mid-November.

 

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna.shtml

[Omegaraptor]

Fuzz has leveled off. This is looking a lot like early to mid-November.

 

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna.shtml

 

Except the forecasts and models show us getting dumped on unlike early-mid November.

[Guest LaPineLurker]

Except the forecasts and models show us getting dumped on unlike early-mid November.

True. Itll be wetter but does look like 7-10 days again of split flow towards the end of the month and into Feb.

[Deweydog]

Except the forecasts and models show us getting dumped on unlike early-mid November.

She just moved here from Texas. Cut her some slack.

[Esquimalt]

She just moved here from Texas. Cut her some slack.

How dare you assume her gender

[Omegaraptor]

She just moved here from Texas. Cut her some slack.

 

Indeed. Pretty major adjustment weather-wise moving from anywhere in Texas to Culver, Oregon. 

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

True. Itll be wetter but does look like 7-10 days again of split flow towards the end of the month and into Feb.

Not that splitty. California stays dry. Jet stream pretty much aimed at the PNW the whole run. Look at the 300mb winds.

[Omegaraptor]

Not that splitty. California stays dry. Jet stream pretty much aimed at the PNW the whole run. Look at the 300mb winds.

 

 

384hr map... little rain in CA south of Stockton and Nevada sans the northernmost parts gets almost nothing. Northern CA west of the South Cascades and Sierra is not a dry climate and the rainfall shown here is very typical for this time of year. In a split flow pattern they usually get absolutely drenched.

 

Not every instance of the PNW not getting rain in winter is a split flow pattern.

[umadbro]

GFS has a cluster of ensmbles that are showing SOMETHING that first week of February...

Don't do it...

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Snowmizer!! Are you getting worried like I am?

We just have to hope it happens before we leave. Yes I feels like we are leaving at the wrong time dude.

[AbbyJr]

We are both leaving the state for a week in mid February for family vacations (not together) and we are worried that we are going to miss something epic!

Oh snowmizer is a user on this forum.  Silly me.

[Guest LaPineLurker]

Valentines Day Snowstorm. Book it!!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Valentines Day Snowstorm. Book it!!

 

For Minneapolis.

[Cloud]

Valentines Day Snowstorm. Book it!!

Here we go again. Is this from your friend at NWS? 

[Deweydog]

For Minneapolis.

I think he’s from Minneapolis.

[Guest LaPineLurker]

I actually think itll snow before then. First week of Feb.

[Kayla]

I actually think itll snow before then. First week of Feb.

 

Did Bigfoot tell you?

[Guest LaPineLurker]

Currently 31.3 here. Should see some snow developing by morning.

[Weiner Warrior]

Currently 31.3 here. Should see some snow developing by morning.

What are you lurking for in LaPine?

[Gradient Keeper]

Did Bigfoot tell you?

:lol: :lol:

[BLI snowman]

Currently 31.3 here. Should see some snow developing by morning.

 

 

Where's "here"? I seem to recall you mentioning Culver, Prineville, Madras, Mt. Scott, Brownsville, L.A. (hence the pine that's lurking there), and Lake Stevens, but I can't for the life of me remember where your current location is.

 

I know you're a brand new member but it definitely helps us if you put your location in your profile 

[Guest LaPineLurker]

West of the cascades needs a region-wide snowstorm. These posts are all proof of that.

[Phil]

Wasn't there an Alaskan TPV pattern prior to this recent arctic cold blast?

Yeah, but it resulted in the legitimately cold air remaining bottled well north of the border.

[Guest CulverJosh]

Bedtime for me. Just wanted to say hello.

[Phil]

For Minneapolis.

Hopefully for me. I’ve only had 2.6” of slop this winter and plenty of warm overnight lows.

 

[Cue Tim with the mandatory “that’s what she said”].

[HighlandExperience]

[AbbyJr]

Yeah, but it resulted in the legitimately cold air remaining bottled well north of the border.

We got lots of cold up in SW BC.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nice trough for Super Bowl weekend. 

[TT-SEA]

00Z GFS looks cold for the weekend after this coming weekend.

[umadbro]

Hopefully for me. I’ve only had 2.6” of slop this winter and plenty of warm overnight lows.

 

[Cue Tim with the mandatory “that’s what she said”].

You're doing way better than me!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Brief overruning event...

 

[Omegaraptor]

Brief overruning event...

 

 

Lock it in!!!

[umadbro]

Brief overruning event...

 

Already staring out my window at the street light now.

[TT-SEA]

Lock it in!!!

 

Details are clearly in focus now... good from Seattle northward.     Might shift a few miles either way.

[Cloud]

Details are clearly in focus now... good from Seattle northward.     Might shift a few miles either way.

Seattle Public Schools already cancel school for the week with this one.

 

 

[Slushy Inch]

[BLI snowman]

Pattern at least looks active moving forward. A continued improvement over November/December.