Requiem Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 No significant changes on the 00z GFS. It still thinks the temps will plummet sometime after 11 PM. Actually pretty different from last run. More widespread snow, which will definitely affect the WRF (aka Cliff Mass's one true love). Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 No significant changes on the 00z GFS. It still thinks the temps will plummet sometime after 11 PM. Lol I believe in the 4-5 inches it gives me. I’ll take pictures! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Down to 34 degrees. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 36 here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Looking at trends onsatellite and radar, a deformation band hinted at in a number ofmodels, has begin to spread inland across the southern half of theCoast Range and Willamette Valley. Looking over meso modelsolutions, it looks like this deformation is expected to lift northtowards the Columbia late tonight and linger into Saturday morning.A strengthening offshore flow out of the gorge is indicated in modelsoundings to sufficiently cool the northern half of the WillametteValley and the lower Columbia Valley to allow snow to become thedominant precipitation type by late tonight, and remain so throughSaturday morning. With increasing confidence in both the placementof the deformation zone precipitation and thermal profiles, will goa little bit out on a limb and add the north Willamette Valley, thewestern Gorge, and the Lower Columbia/I-5 corridor in southwestWashington to the list of winter weather advisories for late tonightand Saturday morning. In general expect accumulations to be light,with the best chances for a couple of inches of snow to be atelevations above 500 ft, as well as the west side of the valley nearthe Coast Range where the easterly flow will add a bit moreorographic lift. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Looking at trends onsatellite and radar, a deformation band hinted at in a number ofmodels, has begin to spread inland across the southern half of theCoast Range and Willamette Valley. Looking over meso modelsolutions, it looks like this deformation is expected to lift northtowards the Columbia late tonight and linger into Saturday morning.A strengthening offshore flow out of the gorge is indicated in modelsoundings to sufficiently cool the northern half of the WillametteValley and the lower Columbia Valley to allow snow to become thedominant precipitation type by late tonight, and remain so throughSaturday morning. With increasing confidence in both the placementof the deformation zone precipitation and thermal profiles, will goa little bit out on a limb and add the north Willamette Valley, thewestern Gorge, and the Lower Columbia/I-5 corridor in southwestWashington to the list of winter weather advisories for late tonightand Saturday morning. In general expect accumulations to be light,with the best chances for a couple of inches of snow to be atelevations above 500 ft, as well as the west side of the valley nearthe Coast Range where the easterly flow will add a bit moreorographic lift.Sounds good! IT IS GOING TO SNOW! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Lol I believe in the 4-5 inches it gives me. I’ll take pictures!Heck ya!!!! Vincent Chang told me it was going to snow too! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Snow. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Temperature check! I have no idea Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Temperature check! I have no idea2 warm 4 sno Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 It’s really cold and snowy with a brutal northeast wind here. Lots of cold smoke drifting around. Hope PDX sees something by the morning, you guys deserve it! 2 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 The GEM produces 100% accurate snowfall maps right? It is never wrong as far as I know. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Snow.No mowing for you. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 36 and breezy I thought I saw a flake when I was driving home from dinner. 16oz rib eye incase anyone was wondering what I ordered. Too bad that radar over southern Vancouver island is basically just picking up Virga. Nothing is really reaching the surface Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 The GEM produces 100% accurate snowfall maps right? It is never wrong as far as I know. Would be a nice little February 2019 apology from nature. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 37 with a very light mist. If the models are right, it should start to get interesting in a couple hours. 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Would be a nice little February 2019 apology from nature.Heck ya it would! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Would be better of the east wind had started by now but it's dead calm. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Nevermind. Wind just started an ENE direction. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Would be better of the east wind had started by now but it's dead calm. It is 39F with a dp of 36 in The Dalles. Hmm... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 We will see how far north the precip makes it...been getting flurries on and off so far tonight. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 If this pans out...when was the last time that Portland had the biggest event of the winter after 3/10? Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Sprinkles!!! (They’re not just for winners anymore!) 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 If this pans out...when was the last time that Portland had the biggest event of the winter after 3/10? 2011-12 in some parts of the metro (SE portions) with the 3/21-22 storm. 2001-02 as well on 3/17. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 2011-12 in some parts of the metro (SE portions) with the 3/21-22 storm. 2001-02 as well on 3/17. Yeah, I figured 2012 might be a candidate. Portland did better on 3/17/02 than anything they saw in January that year? Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Up to 40 at The Dalles. LOL 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Up to 40 at The Dalles. LOL That's not good. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 33. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 32 here with some flurries. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Yeah, I figured 2012 might be a candidate. Portland did better on 3/17/02 than anything they saw in January that year? Parts of the metro area, sure. Clark County did a bit better with the St. Patrick's Day event. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 I have a lot less confidence about this than other events for being so close. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 I have a lot less confidence about this than other events for being so close.Temps here and in the gorge don't look good. Though it is now 32F @ 800 ft in the coast range and snowing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Temps here and in the gorge don't look good. Though it is now 32F @ 800 ft in the coast range and snowing. Models didn't show easterly flow kicking in till a bit later. Most are also advertising at least a little snow, so I'd be horrified if all of them were just wrong. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Temps here and in the gorge don't look good. Though it is now 32F @ 800 ft in the coast range and snowing. I dont think we need easterly flow. It is 36 here and if it were to start precipitating it would be snow.We just need the moisture to develop and get some intensity to drag the temps down. Wish we could see the moisture rolling in rather than praying this deformation band actually develops. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 Years ago I was going fishing with my buddy for winter steelhead on the Siuslaw, west of Eugene. It was 15 degrees, but we were prepared. We had those chemical hand warmers, a propane heater, and hot coffee in our thermoses. What we weren't prepared for was the river was half frozen. We put the drift boat in and it wouldn't break the ice. We bagged it and went home. On another note, I took a drive a couple of hours ago and it was 38 degrees. Still negative on the splat test, however. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 00z hanging in there 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 East wind is really ripping here in Bellingham. It's the typical Whatcom County scenario: cold enough to snow but way too dry. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 East wind is really ripping here in Bellingham. It's the typical Whatcom County scenario: cold enough to snow but way too dry.Nice. HWWarning verifying? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 00z hanging in there More than hanging in there-- that's quite a bit more than the 18Z. 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted March 14, 2020 Report Share Posted March 14, 2020 40F with some light rain. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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