Still all playing out like '19, '20, and '21.
Try a mental exercise, close your eyes.
Think of cold, snow, a wintery landscape. Think of the cityscapes of Vancouver, Seattle, Portland, and Eugene, and picture them with just globs of snow heaped over them. Keep your eyes closed and imagine maps filled with those pepto pinks and purples. Imagine that arctic air spilling over Vancouver Island and making its way back to Washington and Oregon. Imagine regional blizzard warnings and snow cov
Yeah, the delta on Monday will be telling with Graphcast and Spire. People forget (or don't know) that both models only work off of initialization data and then use various degrees of image based machine learning at very high terrain definitions. Its effectively taking those analog lists to the next level. This means though that there is no real condition modeling taking place, but rather a "I think this feature will develop here because it typically does when these patterns at these levels are
Congratulations Tanis! Glad to have atleast one great meteorologist on this weenie fest website, you have a bright future ahead of you in the PNW meteorology biz.
Back to civilization now after a successful 12 day climb of North America's tallest peak, Denali, home of some of the most extreme weather on the planet, with my 4 great friends Roger, Matt, Scott, and Aaron. For the first half of the climb we were very lucky with the weather and only needed 9 days to get enough good weather days to acclimatize and summit on the evening of the 20th. After we reached the summit we got about 20 minutes of clear sky -28 degree weather with light wind until a cloud moved in on us. Every day since then has been pretty bad climbing conditions but okay for decending, forecast calls for not a single good summit weather day until atleast the 30th so the 20th was our last summit chance for quite a while. Coolest temperature we observed on the trip was -43 and if I had to guess I'd say the highest wind speeds were only in the 80sMPH, typically you'd experience atleast a couple days with 100+MPH winds.
Feeling blessed to have had a successful trip with great weather and no injuries on the team. When I tried to do it back in the late 80s we had HORRIBLE weather for almost the entire 3 week trip and could never summit.
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