Still all playing out like '19, '20, and '21.
Try a mental exercise, close your eyes.
Think of cold, snow, a wintery landscape. Think of the cityscapes of Vancouver, Seattle, Portland, and Eugene, and picture them with just globs of snow heaped over them. Keep your eyes closed and imagine maps filled with those pepto pinks and purples. Imagine that arctic air spilling over Vancouver Island and making its way back to Washington and Oregon. Imagine regional blizzard warnings and snow cov
Yeah, the delta on Monday will be telling with Graphcast and Spire. People forget (or don't know) that both models only work off of initialization data and then use various degrees of image based machine learning at very high terrain definitions. Its effectively taking those analog lists to the next level. This means though that there is no real condition modeling taking place, but rather a "I think this feature will develop here because it typically does when these patterns at these levels are
Both March and April were warmer and drier than average at PDX and VUO, the latter of which seems to have a lot less in the way of UHI issues. And May is obviously tbd since we’re not even halfway through the month yet.
But even going off of your recent cherry picked station of choice, I wouldn’t say there’s a lot to “pay for” this summer. Which doesn’t matter anyway since odds are overwhelming that we’ll have another hott one regardless. Any more rain or cool weather we can scrape together before the hellfire sets in is a blessing.
Downtown Portland temp anomalies so far.
March: 0.0
April: +.1
May: 0.0
Definitely on the dry side for the first half of spring, but thanks to the very wet start, most places in NW OR/SW WA are running close to double normal May precip to this point. And promise in the pattern ahead.
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