January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part I)

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Thoughts on the 18z? Not a disaster, but concerning. My January snowfall record may be threatened by the end of next week… but I’m still nervous.

[Deweydog]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Thoughts on the 18z? Not a disaster, but concerning. My January snowfall record may be threatened by the end of next week… but I’m still nervous.

Thinking of you during this most difficult of times!

[iFred]

Just now, Phishy Wx said:

Thought I was losing my mind. Can’t access from home laptop (xfinity) only on phone on 5G and a completely different network. Weird

Can you ping? What do you get when you curl it?

[PrideOfPrineville]

00z is coming to the rescue and will maintain the northern branch.  That being said, the southern branch doesn't come into play until 10 days from now on the 18z, which is drunk anyway.

[Jbolin]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Thoughts on the 18z? Not a disaster, but concerning. My January snowfall record may be threatened by the end of next week… but I’m still nervous.

It's the 18Z, take a shot and move on.

[Cloud]

14 minutes ago, SeanNyberg said:

The frustratingly short 18z Euro is starting now. It only goes out to Tuesday morning, but who knows. Maybe we can get something from it. 

Phil will be able to extrapolate beyond hour 90 with his alphabet soup if you need him to.

[PrideOfPrineville]

Just now, Cloud said:

Phil will be able to extrapolate beyond hour 90 with his alphabet soup if you need him to.

I wonder if he is the same Phil I've seen on Twitter.

[Phishy Wx]

3 minutes ago, iFred said:

Can you ping? What do you get when you curl it?

Site can’t be reached

 

err_connection_reset

 

curl it?  Not sure i follow

[Poulsbo Snowman]

8 minutes ago, iFred said:

Had to undo a MySQL patch. The site is being hit by what I can assume are LLM crawlers for ByteDance and CommonCrawl, all at once. They're hitting some older pages that are causing a stuck pid. Drained traffic, did the roll back, checked, and here we are.

Phil?

[Corncob]

12 minutes ago, SnowySeeker50 said:

Latest NWS discussion dropping snow chances

If NWS is already talking about it, they must be worried for the worst . They don’t predict snow til it’s snowing!

[SunAndSnow]

1 hour ago, SnowySeeker50 said:

 

Does anyone know what the threshold is for hazardous temps?

[SnarkyGoblin]

6 minutes ago, Poulsbo Snowman said:

Phil?

lol.  made sense to me! 

[OysterPrintout]

New member joins and starts casually posting frequently.

Me: nice to see great welcome 

Also me: pretty sure this person is domebuster

[Dave]

1 minute ago, SunAndSnow said:

Does anyone know what the threshold is for hazardous temps?

I would love to see some hazardous temperatures. In Dec 2013, we had some diamond dust in Eugene. That was pretty sweet. I've only ever seen that in the mountains or central Oregon.

[Anti Marine Layer]

19 minutes ago, iFred said:

Lol.

You're not being detained, but David Cross was.

I think they are planning a January 6 attack on the Weather Forums tomorrow. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I can’t find anything to complain about this ensemble. What do you guys have?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said:

New member joins and starts casually posting frequently.

Me: nice to see great welcome 

Also me: pretty sure this person is domebuster

The guy who blocked me on social media because I was insufficiently loyal to Trump?

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I can’t find anything to complain about this ensemble. What do you guys have?

It’ll look different by Tuesday

[Dave]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The guy who blocked me on social media because I was insufficiently loyal to Trump?

Weather talk only, bro.

[iFred]

14 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

Site can’t be reached

 

err_connection_reset

 

curl it?  Not sure i follow

Should be fixed

[SnarkyGoblin]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The guy who blocked me on social media because I was insufficiently loyal to Trump?

Does. Not. Compute.

[Sandy rocks]

In 1989 the wind chills through the gorge were like -50, they had to close school when there wasn't even any snow. I guess that would be hazardous.

[AquaMoonCoffee]

9 minutes ago, SunAndSnow said:

Does anyone know what the threshold is for hazardous temps?

Daily minimum temperatures less than the 15th percentile, or near freezing or sub-freezing temps. But I believe it's also up to some interpretation as is seen fit as well.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

Does. Not. Compute.

Politics thread, please.

[PrideOfPrineville]

Anybody else here leave Christmas lights up at least through the first couple weeks of January?  I do it just in case there are some good snows, which we may get this year.

[Phishy Wx]

4 minutes ago, iFred said:

Should be fixed

I can get to the West of the Rockies page but not into the January thread itself

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

Here is 18z Euro at the end

[Timmy]

2 minutes ago, PrideOfPrineville said:

Anybody else here leave Christmas lights up at least through the first couple weeks of January?  I do it just in case there are some good snows, which we may get this year.

I was gonna take mine down this weekend, but I’m waiting this year

[PrideOfPrineville]

1 minute ago, Timmy said:

I was gonna take mine down this weekend, but I’m waiting this year

Right on, they always look better when it snows.  I did get all of the inside stuff down.

[SouthHillFrosty]

[Meatyorologist]

5 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Here is 18z Euro at the end

Compare to the 12z?

[Skagit Weather]

6 minutes ago, PrideOfPrineville said:

Anybody else here leave Christmas lights up at least through the first couple weeks of January?  I do it just in case there are some good snows, which we may get this year.

I usually try to leave them up until mid January or the first snow, whichever happens later. That means I've sometimes had them up into March, when I've been forced to take them down without snow. I usually turn them off though by late January unless there's snow coming.

[snow_wizard]

850s get brutally cold on this GFS run.  Way below -30 over the North Cascades.  This run spits out a -40 for Winthrop.

[PrideOfPrineville]

I've never watched this guy before but he isn't bad.  Haven't checked to see how many videos he does per day, week, month.

 

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

2 hours ago, RentonHill said:

my nostrils cracked open just looking at this

 

The 18z GFS has PDX drop into the single digits starting Saturday morning. Once that Arctic air gets firmly entrenched in the Columbia Basin it’s going to be hard to scour it out.

[Iceresistance]

I wasn't kidding when I said it could be VERY Dangerous and not 384 hour fantasyland

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

11 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Here is 18z Euro at the end

12z hour 96

 

 

[MossMan]

18 minutes ago, PrideOfPrineville said:

Anybody else here leave Christmas lights up at least through the first couple weeks of January?  I do it just in case there are some good snows, which we may get this year.

2nd week of March for me! 

[snow_wizard]

15 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Here is 18z Euro at the end

It's going to be pretty hard to shank this one now.  The point of no return pattern is so close.

[LowerGarfield]

1 hour ago, Dave said:

We're gonna get something. Most likely it will be meh compared to Western WA. But enough to at least call this winter not a total bust. Hopefully, it won't be ZR.

Yes. I saw the ZR in my corner in the clown range of the GFS and I held my breath. It gives me a couple of days with it. If I had to guess it will end up being rain but still something to watch as we have family driving those days.