my God, this forum has devolved into the worst of the worst. It's always emotional and reactionary in here, but it seems that the rational and seasoned members have pulled back to make way for the kids.
I'm going to step back for the day too. It's just too much uninformed nonsense.
I am excited for a lot of you guys, because it seems like this is your first time tracking a PNW winter storm. I remember my first time.
The front Tuesday looks very weak still, probably looking at only a couple tenths of an inch of rain at best. I have better hopes with the multiple CZ's Tuesday night through Wednesday evening.
12z seems like a reasonable if not somewhat fast way the pattern could unfold, with a seamless three-step retrogression of the (very weak) middle-US ridge, first into the intermountain west with an AR overhead, then the axis drifting right onto the west coast or just offshore producing a heatwave, then out to sea, causing a trough to crash in from the north.
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