Meatyorologist Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Just now, iFred said: what are the surface feature for this member compared to the OP Powerful secondary low rushing northward. Top-tier pressure falls. But this has a one-in-fifty shot of actually occuring, so it won't happen..... 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 12z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Might have to make it out to Discovery Park if the NAM keeps showing this. Immediate bursts of strong wind are so exciting! 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Might have to make it out to Discovery Park if the NAM keeps showing this. Immediate bursts of strong wind are so exciting! Interesting that the NAM is the main one showing strong wind other models don’t look too crazy. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Up to 0.33” today. Looks like the rain will transition to showers here in the next hour or so. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 This is a map of maximum wind speeds within 250m of the surface from the WRF. I hadn't looked at this before (I think it's a relatively new product), but I assume that this above-ground layer is where we get our strongest gusts from? Anyone know? 3 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 22 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: Yeah we do have an easier time of it. Power lines are underground for us as well, so more often than not when we lose power it’s due to an equipment failure at a substation. Also I live right next to a fire station, and I am assuming they get a little priority when it comes to getting the lights back on. Kinda bummed I will be “in the dungeon” at work tomorrow so I won’t really get to watch the storm. I hated that when I worked for Costco! Into box while wild weather happened outside. So many times I had to escape my department for a fake bathroom break to look out the entrance doors for a weather check. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 20 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Might have to make it out to Discovery Park if the NAM keeps showing this. Immediate bursts of strong wind are so exciting! Immediate electricity loss as well! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 1 hour ago, MossMan said: Nobody sleeps when flakes are threatening to fall...Except for Supercell Timmy...He’s sleeping like a baby...Unless Thundersnow is involved. 57 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: February 2019 was a pretty sleepless month. It takes a storm like Jan 3-4 2017 to keep me wide awake the whole night. I remember being up until 4am sipping cabernet during that, got 3 hours of sleep but I paid for it the next afternoon We get so many snows, in Feb 2019 I counted as many as 20 days I observed sticking snow. Gotta get SOME sleep! 4 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsktkr Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: I hated that when I worked for Costco! Into box while wild weather happened outside. So many times I had to escape my department for a fake bathroom break to look out the entrance doors for a weather check. I remember those days when I worked in machine and sheet metal shops.....no windows in those either but we did have big bay doors so that helped a bit. Torture! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 1 minute ago, rsktkr said: I remember those days when I worked in machine and sheet metal shops.....no windows in those either but we did have big bay doors so that helped a bit. Torture! Torture is good word for it!!! Lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: I hated that when I worked for Costco! Into box while wild weather happened outside. So many times I had to escape my department for a fake bathroom break to look out the entrance doors for a weather check. That would frustrate me so badly! All of my jobs until my current one was working outside in the elements, and with my current job I am not tied to my office chair and have the flexibility to go outside anytime...Also my office window is big and can glance up from the monitor and look right out...I am truly spoiled haha! 3 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather1011 Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Wind warning up here up to 55 mph 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Looks like pretty wet snow but I would sure love to be in Winthrop right now!! 1 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 17 minutes ago, MossMan said: Looks like pretty wet snow but I would sure love to be in Winthrop right now!! My snow this winter is going to be a lot nicer. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Slight increase in wind gusts in the North and South Sound on the 18z GFS vs. 12z. Betting my house on the NAM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Betting my house on the NAM 40 to 45 in bothell is a good bet now 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Just now, seattleweatherguy said: 40 to 45 in bothell is a good bet now NWS being ultra conservative rn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 2 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: NWS being ultra conservative rn There is a better chance of winds where you are than where im at Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: This looks like a god throwing up with his arms crossed. Dewey, Buster, a rebuttal? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Just now, seattleweatherguy said: There is a better chance of winds where you are than where im at I love anything but wind....I got some huge tree's that are leaning towards my house and make's me nervous in a wind event. So you can keep the wind!!! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: I love anything but wind....I got some huge tree's that are leaning towards my house and make's me nervous in a wind event. So you can keep the wind!!! 3 tall pines in our yard that could one day smash the 1996 Jeep Cherokee.. But they've survived this many decades so far. I think we peaked 70 in the Columbus Day Storm, if it were 80-90 we might not have these trees. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 We had scary winds with last weeks storm (recorded gust below) tomorrow's wind storm is supposed too be similar but last 12 hours. So a much longer duration event. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: We had scary winds with last weeks storm (recorded gust below) tomorrow's wind storm is supposed too be similar but last 12 hours. So a much longer duration event. I'm surprised Lee Vinning didn't blow away in that. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 16, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Up to 64F. Record high for the date is 71F so we won't quite get there but with only getting down to 49F overnight, we are looking at a double-digit + temp departure. I doubt we have a below-normal temp month for a very long time. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Bit nervous for the homes and businesses along the waterfront near Birch Bay. With some models showing Whatcom County and the San Juans catching some of the stronger winds, and King Tides starting tomorrow through Thursday, it could get bad. Don't know if anyone rembers this video from a couple years ago, but I believe the restaurant reopened again not too long ago. And I'm sure this year hasn't been too kind with COVID restrictions and access to their primary customer base (Canadians) cut off. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Up to 0.53” today...4.06” on the month. Still raining out there but it’s lighter now. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 2 hours ago, DJ Droppin said: 12z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals When does the low elevation snow take place? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 11 minutes ago, Timmy said: When does the low elevation snow take place? MARCH 21ST 1 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 12 minutes ago, Timmy said: When does the low elevation snow take place? On March 14th 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, Timmy said: When does the low elevation snow take place? Ummmm...... One moment please. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 It is precipitating felines and canines at the moment. 1 2 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 16 minutes ago, Timmy said: When does the low elevation snow take place? See Rule No. 3. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Chances that HIO doesn’t even gust to 30? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 The winds are completely dead here. "The calm before the 38 mph wind gusts." 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 24 minutes ago, Timmy said: When does the low elevation snow take place? Tuesday night the 24th Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 25 minutes ago, Timmy said: When does the low elevation snow take place? Very gross 36F mixing event 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 18 minutes ago, Timmy said: When does the low elevation snow take place? It looks like the first possible snow occurs Tuesday, November 24th 1-11 PM with an Anafront setup, so definitely a bit iffy as you know. Then the second shot Wednesday, November 25th 3-7 AM. IF this transpired you would get dumped on. C'MON!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 41 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Up to 64F. Record high for the date is 71F so we won't quite get there but with only getting down to 49F overnight, we are looking at a double-digit + temp departure. I doubt we have a below-normal temp month for a very long time. N/S gradient really in effect today. Only 52 here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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