SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said: Today is the 17 year anniversary of me becoming a weather weenie. 8" of snow in Seattle which blew my 12 year old mind after such a relatively snowless early childhood. What are your memories from January 6th, 2004? My best memories are from January 5, 2004. We had a couple inches of snow in the morning and then snow began late evening. 24/19 day. Snow fell pretty heavily between midnight and 8am on the 6th before turning to heavy ZR, by the end of the day on the 7th we had over 1” of ice accumulation and a lot of cleanup to do! Temps nudged above freezing by noon on the 8th. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 I remember on the morning of the 6th it was absolutely pouring as the temp was 18. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Today is the 17 year anniversary of me becoming a weather weenie. 8" of snow in Seattle which blew my 12 year old mind after such a relatively snowless early childhood. What are your memories from January 6th, 2004? Flurries the day before send us home on our first day at school since Christmas break. Then I woke up that next morning with 5” of snow on the ground. I think it snowed close to 15” the next day or two. Then came a bunch of zr on top but we stayed below freezing for awhile. Despite the news saying every day it was gonna warm up. And watching a reporter being blown around in Troutdale with blowing snow and sub 25 degree weather 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 0.30” since midnight here. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 That weak low in the GOA is the fly in the ointment, retrograde that, or cut it off a little further south and west, then we are in biznaz. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 6 hours ago, smerfylicious said: It's been years since I've seen the WA cascade snowpack this healthy. Everything over 120%. Olympics close to 150%. Lower Snake pack needs a bit of work at 97% and the east side of the mountains only ~110%. Would be good to have a cool spring, followed up by an average-to-cool summer...might be able to keep some of the pack over 5000' feet into September if lucky. Edit: Might as well point out here that Mt. Baker probably added another 20" or so tonight...Stevens Pass likely will end up having added 17-20" by the time the sun comes up. Very healthy mountain passes up here. Nelsen might need to rethink his "Nina that acts like Nino" blog post. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 18 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Today is the 17 year anniversary of me becoming a weather weenie. 8" of snow in Seattle which blew my 12 year old mind after such a relatively snowless early childhood. What are your memories from January 6th, 2004? https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-2004-jan-08-na-storm8-story.html We made the LA times Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Nelsen might need to rethink his "Nina that acts like Nino" blog post. Oregon Cascades are below average. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 Pesky cutoff low nukes the GFS in the long range. But the GFS is all over the place with the pattern after day 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Not the worst! The ensembles were a bit of a step back from the 0z, overall. Hopefully 12z GEFS improves. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 The super long range still ends with amplified Alaskan ridging Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 Just now, Front Ranger said: Nelsen might need to rethink his "Nina that acts like Nino" blog post. Californians would probably disagree as well. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 Polar vortex migrates to Chicago. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Oregon Cascades are below average. Yeah, but the overall snowpack profile is more Nina than Nino. In a Nino, you would tend to see heavier snowpack further south, less as you go north. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 Day 16 GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Polar vortex migrates to Chicago. With the polar vortex now disrupted, let's see if we see a major shift in the models. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 A long ways to go, but probably the best potential of any GFS run yet. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 13 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Just a wee bit different than the 06z. Is that low trying to fook everything up? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 There have definitely been a lot of GFS runs lately that would theoretically look really good at Day 18-19. 428 hour blasts are the new 384 hour blasts! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 That’s a ton of cold air in North America. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 Southeast is pretty cold in la la land 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 The smaller details are not great on the 12z GFS, but it seems like it is getting there. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 1 minute ago, SalemDuck said: Southeast is pretty cold in la la land -25 850mb temps for Phil! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 Record cold for an Inauguration Day? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 1 minute ago, GobBluth said: Record cold for an Inauguration Day? Good thing they are not having a parade anyway. Otherwise Biden could end up like Zachary Taylor. 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, GobBluth said: Record cold for an Inauguration Day? Would be pretty tough to even approach 1985 for that. That was the year they cancelled the ceremony and held it inside. Chicago got to -27 with that airmass and Atlanta got to -8. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 45 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Today is the 17 year anniversary of me becoming a weather weenie. 8" of snow in Seattle which blew my 12 year old mind after such a relatively snowless early childhood. What are your memories from January 6th, 2004? I was living in the Goose Hollow/Kings Hill neighborhood of Portland, right at the base of the West Hills. The hills were both lofting the cold outflow from the gorge high enough into the atmosphere that I got sleet while most of the rest of the metro area was getting freezing rain, and locally enhancing precipitation. End result is I got an insane amount of sleet, something like 4" total, on top of 6" of snow, and only a trace of glaze. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 17 minutes ago, SalemDuck said: Southeast is pretty cold in la la land The same GFS that was calling for it to hit -2˚F at KBLI last January. It will be cold, but not that cold. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: I was living in the Goose Hollow/Kings Hill neighborhood of Portland, right at the base of the West Hills. The hills were both lofting the cold outflow from the gorge high enough into the atmosphere that I got sleet while most of the rest of the metro area was getting freezing rain, and locally enhancing precipitation. End result is I got an insane amount of sleet, something like 4" total, on top of 6" of snow, and only a trace of glaze. That is nuts. We didn't have as much sleet with that event down in Marion County, it switched from snow to ZR pretty quick. The one we had a ton of sleet with was 12/20/2008. That was actually probably the wildest variation of weather I have experienced living in the Willamette Valley, we went from rain, to heavy snow, to sleet, to ZR, over the course of about 18 hours. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 13 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Good thing they are not having a parade anyway. Otherwise Biden could end up like Zachary Taylor. I thought that was William Henry Harrison. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 38 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Oregon Cascades are below average. They are in the 85-90% range with what will probably be a pretty stellar back half of the season on the way. Could be much worse. Eastern Oregon is looking even better. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 6, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 Is this Mark Nelson/Nielsen whatever guy like the Cliff Mass of Oregon? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 Just now, MossMan said: Is this Mark Nelson/Nielsen whatever guy like the Cliff Mass of Oregon? He wishes! 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 1 hour ago, bainbridgekid said: Today is the 17 year anniversary of me becoming a weather weenie. 8" of snow in Seattle which blew my 12 year old mind after such a relatively snowless early childhood. What are your memories from January 6th, 2004? Our infant son at the time was sick, probably the result of that classic new parent mistake of having a six month old go out and do naked snow angels on New Year’s Day. Lesson learned!!! I also remember getting an impressive amount of sleet with that storm, likely the result not of a deeper cold layer but the sheer intensity of the low level cold itself. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: Is this Mark Nelson/Nielsen whatever guy like the Cliff Mass of Oregon? Kinda. I don’t think he loathes this climate quite as much. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 GEFS looking a tick better through hour 306. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 Who needs their dose of puppy? 5 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 22 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: I thought that was William Henry Harrison. Yeah Taylor died soon after assuming office, but I had him confused. Just thinking of another President who like Biden died soon after taking office. 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Yeah Taylor died soon after assuming office, but I had him confused. Just thinking of another President who like Biden died soon after taking office. Have you been to the future or something? Does February deliver again? 2 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 1 minute ago, jakerepp said: Have you been to the future or something? Does February deliver again? It does! 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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